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Neil McCann
Kilmarnock
St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
St. Mirren
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
82834 EUR · live
Away
1.11 · implied 90.1%
74.2%
-15.9 vs price
Home
130.0 · implied 0.8%
15.4%
+14.7 vs price
Draw
11.0 · implied 9.1%
10.4%
+1.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
43518 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
51.0%
-48.0 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
49.0%
+48.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2064 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
79.3%
-19.7 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
20.7%
+19.7 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
⚽
F. Taylor · assist N. Agrafiotis0–1
38'
G. Kiltie · Foul
42'
N. Agrafiotis · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
J. Brandon ◂ J. Yfeko
46'
🔁
A. Tshibola ◂ E. Ring
46'
🔁
D. Daniels ◂ T. John-Jules
61'
🔁
J. Young ◂ N. Agrafiotis
66'
🔁
R. McKenzie ◂ M. O'Hara
66'
🔁
L. Thomas ◂ C. Mochrie
74'
🔁
E. Sule ◂ I. Kabia
74'
🔁
J. Richardson ◂ F. Taylor
78'
🔁
B. Rice ◂ T. Lowery
82'
J. Richardson · Argument
82'
B. Rice · Foul
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Neil McCannCraig McLeish 
Recent form
KilmarnockLHDundee United0-4
LHCeltic1-5
LASt. Johnstone3-4
WALinfield3-2
WAGlentoran4-0
St. MirrenDHMotherwell3-3
WHSt. Johnstone1-0
WAFalkirk FC2-0
WAArbroath4-2
WHPartick Thistle1-0
Match facts
Kickoff
02 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Highlights & clips
Kilmarnock
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
St. Mirren
1
M. Stryjek
6.2
4
C. McCarthy
7.6
14
G. Stanger
7.4
2
J. Brandon
6.9
↑ 46'
36
A. Tshibola
6.6
↑ 46'
7
R. McKenzie
6.6
↑ 66'
49
B. Rice
6.3
↑ 78'
21
M. Schjonning-Larsen
7.0
11
G. Kiltie
7.1
29
D. Daniels
6.6
↑ 46'
9
J. Hugill
6.3
1
J. Chapman
7.7
47
C. Ramsay
8.0
13
A. Gogić
6.9
53
H. Fieldson
7.3
3
D. John
6.4
48
P. Nsio
7.2
8
R. Carr
7.7
16
L. Thomas
6.7
↑ 66'
2
J. Richardson
6.9
↑ 74'
9
E. Sule
6.5
↑ 74'
20
J. Young
6.3
↑ 61'
Substitutes
12GC. Ferrie
15DJ. Yfeko↓ 46'6.9
19DJ. Meier
5MM. O'Hara↓ 66'7.0
8ME. Ring↓ 46'6.7
18MT. Lowery↓ 78'6.6
37MC. Burke
10FT. John-Jules↓ 46'7.0
27FI. Owen
Coach: Neil McCann
Substitutes
31GR. Mullen
6DL. Jackson
5DR. King
30MF. Taylor↓ 74'8.4
37MC. McEvoy
10MS. Ramos
23FC. Mochrie↓ 66'6.4
19FI. Kabia↓ 74'6.2
25FN. Agrafiotis↓ 61'5.9
Coach: Craig McLeish
Top stats
47%Possession53%
0.43Expected goals (xG)1.09
9Total shots10
2Shots on target1
0Big chances1
7Corners3
Shots
3Shots off target5
4Blocked shots4
4Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances missed1
-0.35Goals prevented0.16
Attack
17Touches in box29
75Final third entries44
2Offsides1
13Free kicks12
5Fouled in final third0
Passing
457Passes520
370Accurate passes445
23/62 (37%)Long balls38/73 (52%)
4/20 (20%)Crosses3/14 (21%)
23Throw-ins24
Duels
55Duels45
48/85 (56%)Ground duels37/85 (44%)
14/27 (52%)Aerial duels13/27 (48%)
8/19 (42%)Dribbles5/21 (24%)
9Dispossessed11
Defending
27Tackles20
63Tackles won70
6Interceptions13
18Clearances28
48Recoveries53
Discipline
12Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
0Saves2
0Big saves1
9Goal kicks5
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2St Mirren to win 39% · 2.65 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.70 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.80 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.34 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 3.90 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.75 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.91 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle
Who winsKilmarnock to win (DNB) 51% · 2.00 @ 888Sport
1X2Kilmarnock to win 34% · 3.00 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.71
Kilmarnock
3.52
Draw
2.40
St. Mirren
Double Chanceconsensus
1.53
Kilmarnock or Draw
1.27
Kilmarnock or St. Mirren
1.40
Draw or St. Mirren
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.50
Yes
2.43
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
4.00
YES
1.20
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.70
YES
1.22
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.67
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.66
Over 2.50
2.17
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.63
Over 3.50
1.46
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.80
Over 4.50
1.16
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.95
Kilmarnock
1.77
St. Mirren
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
3.81
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.83
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.61
Over 9.50
2.17
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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