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Steve Robinson
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
4-1-3-2 · 4-1-3-2
Kilmarnock
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
61703 EUR · live
Draw
1.11 · implied 90.1%
45.8%
-44.3 vs price
Home
26.0 · implied 3.8%
44.8%
+41.0 vs price
Away
23.0 · implied 4.3%
9.7%
+5.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
13416 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
58.4%
-40.6 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
41.6%
+40.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
951 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
95.3%
+0.1 vs price
Over
7.8 · implied 12.8%
4.6%
-8.2 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
36'
C. Cadden · Foul
38'
A. Tshibola · Foul
43'
T. Lowery · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
M. Knoester ◂ T. Yogane
46'
🔁
A. Mouloua ◂ M. Ntelo
46'
🔁
T. Olusanya ◂ K. Nisbet
52'
A. Mouloua · Foul
52'
N. McCann · Argument
62'
🔁
F. Marshall ◂ L. Smith
62'
🔁
R. McKenzie ◂ D. Daniels
62'
M. Knoester · Foul
74'
🔁
G. Molloy ◂ N. Guinness-Walker
75'
L. Mayo · Foul
76'
🔁
T. John-Jules ◂ E. Ring
82'
A. Tshibola · Foul
84'
🔁
M. O'Hara ◂ G. Kiltie
88'
S. Armstrong · Foul
Full-time · 0–0
Coaches
Steve RobinsonNeil McCann 
Recent form
AberdeenLACeltic0-3
LHRangers0-1
LADundee FC0-2
WHHeart of Midlothian2-1
WALinfield2-0
KilmarnockLHSt. Mirren0-1
LHDundee United0-4
LHCeltic1-5
LASt. Johnstone3-4
WALinfield3-2
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Highlights & clips
Aberdeen
4-1-3-2 · 4-1-3-2
Kilmarnock
27
M. Müller
7.4
28
C. Cadden
6.8
23
L. Mayo
6.8
26
D. Happe
7.0
21
G. Molloy
6.7
↑ 74'
32
A. Afeez
7.0
40
F. Marshall
7.0
↑ 62'
17
S. Armstrong
7.7
5
M. Knoester
7.1
↑ 46'
20
T. Olusanya
6.1
↑ 46'
9
A. Mouloua
6.4
↑ 46'
1
M. Stryjek
7.2
2
J. Brandon
6.7
4
C. McCarthy
7.0
14
G. Stanger
7.4
21
M. Schjonning-Larsen
7.4
36
A. Tshibola
6.6
5
M. O'Hara
6.3
↑ 84'
18
T. Lowery
6.8
10
T. John-Jules
6.8
↑ 76'
7
R. McKenzie
6.5
↑ 62'
9
J. Hugill
6.6
Substitutes
30GD. Klein
24DN. Guinness-Walker↓ 74'7.7
22DJ. Milne
7MT. Yogane↓ 46'6.7
10MA. Briedl
18MA. Palaversa
15FK. Nisbet↓ 46'6.8
11FL. Smith↓ 62'6.8
31FM. Ntelo↓ 46'6.5
Coach: Steve Robinson
Substitutes
12GC. Ferrie
3DM. Kamara
19DJ. Meier
8ME. Ring↓ 76'7.5
11MG. Kiltie↓ 84'6.7
49MB. Rice
20MN. Cleșcenco
29FD. Daniels↓ 62'6.8
27FI. Owen
Coach: Neil McCann
Top stats
55%Possession45%
0.85Expected goals (xG)0.93
10Total shots11
2Shots on target4
1Big chances1
6Corners7
Shots
5Shots off target5
3Blocked shots2
6Shots inside box8
4Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances missed1
0.56Goals prevented0.29
Attack
21Touches in box18
54Final third entries73
13Free kicks13
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
468Passes381
391Accurate passes297
17/42 (40%)Long balls20/49 (41%)
4/29 (14%)Crosses6/20 (30%)
30Throw-ins24
Duels
48Duels52
31/69 (45%)Ground duels38/69 (55%)
13/23 (57%)Aerial duels10/23 (43%)
2/11 (18%)Dribbles7/16 (44%)
10Dispossessed7
Defending
16Tackles19
63Tackles won84
15Interceptions8
26Clearances35
58Recoveries53
Discipline
13Fouls13
5Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
2Big saves0
2Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Aberdeen to win 55% · 2.10 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.40 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.80 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.91 @ William Hill
Who winsAberdeen to win (DNB) 60% · 1.31 @ Bwin
1X2Draw 24% · 2.75 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
1X2Kilmarnock to win 21% · 4.50 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.71
Aberdeen
3.85
Draw
4.40
Kilmarnock
Double Chanceconsensus
1.20
Aberdeen or Draw
1.23
Aberdeen or Kilmarnock
2.05
Draw or Kilmarnock
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes
2.17
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.75
YES
1.40
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
5.25
YES
1.12
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.30
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.30
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.66
Over 2.50
2.18
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.65
Over 3.50
1.45
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.90
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.29
Aberdeen
3.30
Kilmarnock
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.67
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.34
Over 8.50
2.71
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.62
Over 9.50
2.12
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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