Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**St. Johnstone's looking to build after a rough patch, but Hibernian's equally scrappy — this is peak Scottish Premiership chaos energy.** Neither side's been convincing lately, but the head-to-head tells the real story: dead even over the long haul. 📊
St. Johnstone have won 2 of their last 5 and just drew 1-1 away at Dundee, while Hibernian scraped a 2-1 win versus Dundee but got hammered 1-3 at home by Hearts. Both teams are searching for form.
Key storylines:
- **St. Johnstone's back line** (E. Alić, C. Diabate, Z. Mitchell anchoring) will need to stay tight against Hibernian's attacking trio of M. Boyle, A. Mayor, and A. Šuto.
- **Hibernian are short-staffed** with J. Iredale out on suspension and R. Bushiri sidelined by injury — defensive depth is thin.
- **Midfield battle** between S. Stanton and J. Holt for Saints versus G. Hanley and J. Mulligan for Hibs could decide possession.
Expected lineups:
- **St. Johnstone**: T. Steward, E. Alić, C. Diabate, Z. Mitchell, L. Smith, S. Stanton, J. Holt, R. McAlear, T. Steven, J. Gullan, R. Paton
- **Hibernian**: R. Sallinger, J. Obita, J. Kerr, W. O'Hora, F. Passlack, G. Hanley, J. Mulligan, M. C. Chaiwa, A. Mayor, M. Boyle, A. Šuto
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Both teams are too defensive-minded and undercooked to break through — a fair result on the day. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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