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Craig McLeish
St. Mirren
Celtic
St. Mirren
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Celtic
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
843154 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
85.0%
-13.1 vs price
Draw
40.0 · implied 2.5%
8.2%
+5.7 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.8%
+6.7 vs price
Half time
4975 EUR · live
Away
8.2 · implied 12.2%
65.4%
+53.2 vs price
Home
1.8 · implied 55.6%
23.2%
-32.4 vs price
Draw
3.15 · implied 31.7%
11.4%
-20.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
91736 EUR · live
Over
1.45 · implied 69.0%
88.2%
+19.2 vs price
Under
3.15 · implied 31.7%
11.8%
-19.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5585 EUR · live
Under
1.24 · implied 80.6%
78.4%
-2.2 vs price
Over
5.2 · implied 19.2%
21.6%
+2.3 vs price
17 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
8'
C. Donovan · Foul
22'
⚽
N. Agrafiotis (pen)1–0
31'
VAR
Goal not given after review · C. Durán
37'
C. Ramsay · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
51'
⚽
L. Scales · assist B. Nygren1–1
62'
🔁
S. Ramos ◂ F. Taylor
68'
🔁
E. Sule ◂ N. Agrafiotis
68'
⚽
Y. Hyun-Jun · assist C. Durán1–2
69'
🔁
L. Thomas ◂ C. Mochrie
72'
🔁
J. Forrest ◂ H. Hassan
73'
🔁
S. Tounekti ◂ Y. Hyun-Jun
73'
🔁
O. Sørensen ◂ M. Baur
83'
🔁
J. Young ◂ R. Carr
83'
🔁
S. Mheuka ◂ C. Durán
87'
🔁
D. Murray ◂ C. Donovan
Full-time · 1–2
90'+5
VAR
Goal not given after review · S. Mheuka
90'+6
E. Sule · Argument
90'+7
S. Ramos · Argument
90'+7
P. Nsio · Argument
Coaches
Craig McLeishMartin O'Neill 
Recent form
St. MirrenWAKilmarnock1-0
DHMotherwell3-3
WHSt. Johnstone1-0
WAFalkirk FC2-0
WAArbroath4-2
CelticWHAberdeen3-0
WHFalkirk FC2-1
LALASK1-5
WHLASK3-0
WAKilmarnock5-1
Where to watch
Arena Sport 1 SRB
Canal Gol Brazil
Sportdigital+
NOW TV UKSky Go UKSky Sports Football
MAGENTA | 4HD
NOW TV UKSky Go UKSky Sports Football
Arena Sport 1 SRB
Sport TV5
Arena Sport 1 SRB
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Highlights & clips
St. Mirren
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Celtic
1
J. Chapman
7.1
47
C. Ramsay
7.0
13
A. Gogić
7.6
53
H. Fieldson
7.0
3
D. John
6.3
20
J. Young
6.9
↑ 83'
48
P. Nsio
6.8
16
L. Thomas
6.7
↑ 69'
10
S. Ramos
6.3
↑ 62'
19
I. Kabia
7.0
9
E. Sule
6.6
↑ 68'
1
V. Sinisalo
6.8
47
D. Murray
6.8
↑ 87'
20
C. Carter-Vickers
7.7
6
A. Trusty
7.0
5
L. Scales
8.2
42
C. McGregor
6.6
18
O. Sørensen
6.9
↑ 73'
49
J. Forrest
6.6
↑ 72'
8
B. Nygren
6.4
17
S. Tounekti
6.4
↑ 73'
29
S. Mheuka
6.5
↑ 83'
Substitutes
31GR. Mullen
6DL. Jackson
30MF. Taylor↓ 62'6.8
8MR. Carr↓ 83'6.3
2MJ. Richardson
37MC. McEvoy
25FN. Agrafiotis↓ 68'6.5
23FC. Mochrie↓ 69'6.3
24FJ. Farquhar
Coach: Craig McLeish
Top stats
40%Possession60%
1.74Expected goals (xG)2.93
19Total shots23
6Shots on target8
2Big chances4
6Corners10
Shots
6Shots off target10
7Blocked shots5
8Shots inside box20
11Shots outside box3
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed3
-0.79Goals prevented0.29
Attack
19Touches in box47
42Final third entries60
0Offsides2
14Free kicks6
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
354Passes528
269Accurate passes447
26/65 (40%)Long balls21/37 (57%)
2/12 (17%)Crosses6/27 (22%)
13Throw-ins19
Duels
50Duels50
47/81 (58%)Ground duels34/81 (42%)
6/26 (23%)Aerial duels20/26 (77%)
5/12 (42%)Dribbles9/26 (35%)
12Dispossessed11
Defending
28Tackles19
75Tackles won68
12Interceptions11
30Clearances18
44Recoveries57
Discipline
6Fouls15
4Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves5
14Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Celtic to win 64% · 1.77 @ 10bet
Who winsCeltic to win (DNB) 73% · 1.20 @ Bwin
CornersOver 10.5 corners 52% · 1.96 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 62% · 1.61 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 73% · 1.37 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 3.25 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.75 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 2.80 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 20% · 3.10 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
1X2St Mirren to win 16% · 5.43 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
6.00
St. Mirren
4.68
Draw
1.46
Celtic
Double Chanceconsensus
2.62
St. Mirren or Draw
1.17
St. Mirren or Celtic
1.09
Draw or Celtic
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.25
No
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.50
YES
1.48
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
11.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.79
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50
5.38
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.47
Over 2.50
2.55
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.22
Over 3.50
1.64
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.84
Over 4.50
1.25
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
4.60
St. Mirren
1.17
Celtic
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
3.83
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
2.83
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.57
Over 9.50
2.23
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.93
Over 10.50
1.84
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Celtic to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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