Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Aberdeen's flying high, and St. Mirren are in proper freefall.** The Pittodrie boys look primed to capitalize on their visitors' recent horror show. 🔴
Aberdeen have mixed form but landed a **4-1 hammering** last time out, while St. Mirren have shipped **five, three, and one** in their last three — they're leaking goals like a sieve. Both sides are missing key bodies, but Aberdeen's depth looks sharper here.
Key storylines:
- **Aberdeen's attack vs St. Mirren's creaky backline** — K. Nisbet and T. Olusanya should find space against a defense that's been carved open repeatedly
- **Set-piece battles** — L. Mayo and G. Molloy's physicality could trouble St. Mirren's shape on dead balls
- **Midfield control** — C. Cadden and A. Afeez need to dominate and cut off St. Mirren's supply line early
Expected lineups:
- **Aberdeen**: M. Müller, L. Mayo, G. Molloy, M. Knoester, C. Cadden, A. Afeez, K. Nisbet, T. Olusanya, C. Ronan
- **St. Mirren**: J. Chapman, H. Fieldson, A. Gogić, L. Jackson, R. Carr, D. John, S. Ramos, C. Mochrie
Prediction:
**Aberdeen 3–0 St. Mirren**
The lean is firmly **Aberdeen** — St. Mirren are in crisis mode and Aberdeen have the form to punish them at home. 📍
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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