Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
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**St. Johnstone vs Dundee United** — a proper midtable scrap where **Dundee United arrive on a roll** but Perth's defense has tightened up lately. 🔥
St. Johnstone sit solid with 2W-2D in their last five, though they took a beating at home to Celtic. **Dundee United are the sharper side right now** — three wins in their last five and a 3-0 demolition of St. Mirren shows teeth. The H2H is genuinely tight across 38 meetings (12 wins each, 12 draws), so no built-in advantage either way.
Key storylines:
- **Dundee United's attacking tempo** led by J. Randall and W. Ferry will test St. Johnstone's back line, even with Z. Mitchell sidelined
- St. Johnstone lean on **J. Fowler's presence up top** to stay compact and hit on the break
- **B. Esselink and K. Ciubotaru** defending for Dundee against T. Steven and M. Todd's creativity in midfield
Expected lineups:
- **St. Johnstone**: T. Steward, E. Alić, J. Holt, C. Diabate, L. Smith, R. McAlear, S. Stanton, J. Gullan, M. Todd, T. Steven, J. Fowler
- **Dundee United**: J. Walton, K. Ciubotaru, M. Forbes, B. Esselink, J. Rawlins, Z. Iqbal, D. Tait, P. Camará, W. Ferry, J. Randall, D. Bennie
Prediction:
**Dundee United 2–1 St. Johnstone**. Dundee's momentum gives them a slight edge, but Perth will make life uncomfortable.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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