St. Mirren 1-1 Hibernian: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. St. Mirren 1-1 Hibernian.

90+4'

K. Phillips

Yellow card for K. Phillips (St. Mirren) for argument.

90+2'

A. Abdulai

Yellow card for A. Abdulai (Hibernian) for argument.

90+2'

P. Nsio

Yellow card for P. Nsio (St. Mirren) for argument.

90'

2 minutes of added time.

89'

F. Taylor

Yellow card for F. Taylor (St. Mirren) for foul.

89'

J. Young

Attempt saved. J. Young (St. Mirren), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

88'

C. Ramsay

Attempt missed. C. Ramsay (St. Mirren), right-footed shot. xG 0.24.

86'

St. Mirren

Offside, St. Mirren.

83'

J. Kerr

Goal! St. Mirren 1-1 Hibernian. Own goal by J. Kerr.

83'

P. Nsio

Attempt blocked. P. Nsio (St. Mirren), header from a corner. xG 0.22.

83'

P. Nsio

Attempt saved. P. Nsio (St. Mirren), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.34.

82'

St. Mirren

Corner, St. Mirren.

81'

K. Phillips

Attempt blocked. K. Phillips (St. Mirren), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

81'

J. Young

Attempt saved. J. Young (St. Mirren), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

81'

S. Ramos

Attempt missed. S. Ramos (St. Mirren), right-footed shot. xG 0.55.

80'

R. Carr

Substitution, St. Mirren: F. Taylor comes on for R. Carr.

79'

J. McGrath

Substitution, Hibernian: T. Klidje comes on for J. McGrath.

79'

N. Cadden

Substitution, Hibernian: R. Matondo comes on for N. Cadden.

78'

J. Mulligan

Attempt blocked. J. Mulligan (Hibernian), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

78'

M. Ivezić

Goal! St. Mirren 0-1 Hibernian. M. Ivezić (Hibernian) scores, assisted by O. Elding.

77'

Hibernian

Corner, Hibernian.

77'

Hibernian

Corner, Hibernian.

73'

R. Carr

Attempt missed. R. Carr (St. Mirren), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

72'

J. Mulligan

Attempt blocked. J. Mulligan (Hibernian), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

71'

C. Mochrie

Substitution, St. Mirren: S. Ramos comes on for C. Mochrie.

70'

O. Elding

Attempt missed. O. Elding (Hibernian), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.10.

70'

E. Sule

Substitution, St. Mirren: J. Young comes on for E. Sule.

70'

Hibernian

Corner, Hibernian.

68'

M. C. Chaiwa

Substitution, Hibernian: A. Abdulai comes on for M. C. Chaiwa.

66'

A. Gogić

Yellow card for A. Gogić (St. Mirren) for foul.

63'

St. Mirren

Offside, St. Mirren.

59'

L. Thomas

Substitution, St. Mirren: P. Nsio comes on for L. Thomas.

56'

Hibernian

Corner, Hibernian.

56'

J. Mulligan

Attempt blocked. J. Mulligan (Hibernian), header. xG 0.16.

50'

J. Newell

Attempt missed. J. Newell (Hibernian), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. St. Mirren 0-0 Hibernian.

45'

H. Fieldson

Attempt blocked. H. Fieldson (St. Mirren), header from a set piece. xG 0.06.

39'

J. Mulligan

Yellow card for J. Mulligan (Hibernian) for foul.

37'

C. Mochrie

Yellow card for C. Mochrie (St. Mirren) for foul.

36'

D. John

Attempt missed. D. John (St. Mirren), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

32'

N. Cadden

Attempt blocked. N. Cadden (Hibernian), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

25'

Hibernian

Offside, Hibernian.

23'

M. Fraser

Attempt missed. M. Fraser (St. Mirren), header from a corner. xG 0.11.

22'

St. Mirren

Corner, St. Mirren.

22'

St. Mirren

Corner, St. Mirren.

21'

J. Mulligan

Attempt missed. J. Mulligan (Hibernian), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

20'

J. Mulligan

Attempt blocked. J. Mulligan (Hibernian), header. xG 0.18.

8'

Hibernian

Corner, Hibernian.

3'

St. Mirren

Offside, St. Mirren.

1'

Kick-off: St. Mirren vs Hibernian.

Where the money is

92900 EUR matched · captured 6 days, 21 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 50686 EUR · live

Away 11.0 · implied 9.1%

50.5%

+41.4 vs price

Draw 1.08 · implied 92.6%

33.3%

-59.3 vs price

Home 25.0 · implied 4.0%

16.6%

+12.6 vs price

Half time 137 EUR

Home 4.3 · implied 23.3%

48.8%

+25.6 vs price

Away 2.94 · implied 34.0%

46.4%

+12.4 vs price

Draw 2.38 · implied 42.0%

4.8%

-37.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 21144 EUR · live

Under 1.07 · implied 93.5%

67.9%

-25.5 vs price

Over 15.0 · implied 6.7%

32.1%

+25.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 24 EUR

Over 8.2 · implied 12.2%

100.0%

+87.8 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

37' C. Mochrie · Foul

39' J. Mulligan · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

59' 🔁 P. Nsio ◂ L. Thomas

66' A. Gogić · Foul

68' 🔁 A. Abdulai ◂ M. C. Chaiwa

70' 🔁 J. Young ◂ E. Sule

71' 🔁 S. Ramos ◂ C. Mochrie

78' ⚽ M. Ivezić · assist O. Elding0–1

79' 🔁 R. Matondo ◂ N. Cadden

79' 🔁 T. Klidje ◂ J. McGrath

80' 🔁 F. Taylor ◂ R. Carr

83' ⚽ J. Kerr1–1

89' F. Taylor · Foul

Full-time · 1–1

90'⁺² A. Abdulai · Argument

90'⁺² P. Nsio · Argument

90'⁺⁴ K. Phillips · Argument

Coaches

Craig McLeish

Marink Reedijk

Recent form

St. Mirren

WHDundee FC2-1

LAAberdeen1-3

LAHeart of Midlothian0-5

LHDundee United0-3

LARangers0-1

Hibernian

LHCeltic1-2

LHFalkirk FC1-2

LADundee United0-1

DHAberdeen1-1

LHKilmarnock0-1

About this match

**St. Mirren's looking for a spark, while Hibernian are properly struggling.** Two clubs desperate for a win collide in Paisley, but form-wise, this is a pick-your-poison situation 🔴

St. Mirren snagged a win over Dundee last time out, though they've been leaky elsewhere (0-5 hammering at Hearts). Hibernian, meanwhile, are winless in five and just got done by second-tier Falkirk at home — that stings. Historically, Hibs have the edge in this fixture, but neither side's got rhythm right now.

Key storylines:

- **St. Mirren's defensive injuries** pile up with Baccus, Dijksteel, and Agrafiotis sidelined, forcing a reshuffled backline anchored by Gogić and Ramsay
- **Hibernian's missing list is brutal** — five players out including key defenders Bushiri and Wright, leaving Hanley and Devaney to hold the line
- **Home advantage could be the decider** with St. Mirren needing to capitalize on their Paisley ground against a Hibs side that can't buy a result

Expected lineups:

- **St. Mirren**: Chapman, Gogić, Ramsay, Nsio, Fieldson, Carr, John, Mochrie, Kabia, Sule, Young
- **Hibernian**: Sallinger, Kerr, Hanley, Devaney, Ivezić, Passlack, Mulligan, Elding, Mayor, Klidje, Boyle

Prediction:

**St. Mirren 2-1 Hibernian** — Home side edges it, but both teams are fragile enough to make this messy. Lean St. Mirren. ⚽

Match facts

Kickoff

28 Oct, 19:45 UTC

Competition

Scottish Premiership

Highlights & clips

St. Mirren 3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1 Hibernian

1 J. Chapman 5.9 22 M. Fraser 6.5 13 A. Gogić 6.8 53 H. Fieldson 6.8 47 C. Ramsay 6.2 30 F. Taylor 6.7 ↑ 80' 88 K. Phillips 8.2 3 D. John 6.5 48 P. Nsio 6.5 ↑ 59' 20 J. Young 7.2 ↑ 70' 10 S. Ramos 6.0 ↑ 71' 1 R. Sallinger 7.3 25 F. Passlack 7.3 6 J. Kerr 7.0 5 M. Ivezić 7.0 3 A. Mayor 6.6 47 A. Abdulai 6.4 ↑ 68' 11 J. Newell 6.2 18 T. Klidje 6.5 ↑ 79' 8 J. Mulligan 5.7 39 R. Matondo 6.4 ↑ 79' 7 O. Elding 7.1

Substitutes

35GG. Tamosevicius 6DL. Jackson 8MR. Carr↓ 80'7.3 16ML. Thomas↓ 59'6.3 2MJ. Richardson 4ML. Donnelly 37MC. McEvoy 23FC. Mochrie↓ 71'7.0 9FE. Sule↓ 70'6.6

Coach: Craig McLeish

Substitutes

13GJ. Smith 4DG. Hanley 12DA. Williams 15DJ. Iredale 17MJ. McGrath↓ 79'7.3 14MM. C. Chaiwa↓ 68'7.2 19MN. Cadden↓ 79'7.1 34MZ. Bruce 22FA. Šuto

Coach: Marink Reedijk

Top stats

42%Possession58%

1.72Expected goals (xG)1.36

11Total shots9

3Shots on target1

2Big chances1

3Corners5

Shots

5Shots off target3

3Blocked shots5

10Shots inside box7

1Shots outside box2

1Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed0

-0.19Goals prevented-0.49

Attack

19Touches in box28

52Final third entries62

3Offsides1

14Free kicks13

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

347Passes490

248Accurate passes395

21/70 (30%)Long balls30/63 (48%)

7/13 (54%)Crosses7/20 (35%)

28Throw-ins28

Duels

55Duels45

44/78 (56%)Ground duels34/78 (44%)

14/28 (50%)Aerial duels14/28 (50%)

5/12 (42%)Dribbles10/19 (53%)

4Dispossessed16

Defending

25Tackles11

52Tackles won82

10Interceptions13

22Clearances13

53Recoveries51

Discipline

13Fouls14

5Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

0Saves3

10Goal kicks5

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

St Mirren 30%

27%

Hibernian 43%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.27 @ 1xBet

1X2Hibernian to win 43% · 2.50 @ Bet365

Who winsHibernian to win (DNB) 52% · 1.61 @ 10bet

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 2.80 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 3.90 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.91 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 27% · 2.64 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.44 @ betfair

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle

1X2St Mirren to win 30% · 3.28 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.10

St. Mirren

3.45

Draw

2.20

Hibernian

Double Chanceconsensus

1.66

St. Mirren or Draw

1.25

St. Mirren or Hibernian

1.33

Draw or Hibernian

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.66

Yes

2.12

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.33

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

12.60

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.19

Over 1.50

4.27

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.66

Over 2.50

2.12

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.79

Over 3.50

1.42

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.00

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.23

St. Mirren

1.59

Hibernian

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.14

Over 7.50

3.89

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.27

Over 8.50

2.87

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.52

Over 9.50

2.32

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.90

Over 10.50

1.86

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.30

Over 11.50

1.54

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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