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Mario Kohnen
RC Sporting Charleroi
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
RC Sporting Charleroi
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
7285 EUR
Home
1.82 · implied 54.9%
70.7%
+15.7 vs price
Away
4.9 · implied 20.4%
18.9%
-1.5 vs price
Draw
4.0 · implied 25.0%
10.4%
-14.6 vs price
Half time
82 EUR
Draw
2.36 · implied 42.4%
94.2%
+51.9 vs price
Home
2.58 · implied 38.8%
4.9%
-33.9 vs price
Away
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
20713 EUR · live
Over
1.33 · implied 75.2%
71.3%
-3.9 vs price
Under
4.1 · implied 24.4%
29.0%
+4.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1016 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
92.9%
+0.3 vs price
Over
25.0 · implied 4.0%
7.0%
+3.0 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
20'
A. K. Traoré · Simulation
22'
VAR
Penalty check · A. Ousou
24'
⚽
P. Guiagon (pen)1–0
30'
A. K. Traoré · Violent conduct
31'
A. Ousou · Argument
39'
⚽
Ó. Gil · assist W. George1–1
Half-time · 1–1
45'
C. Ikwuemesi · Argument
46'
🔁
I. I. Cissé ◂ A. Boukamir
47'
VAR
Goal not given after review · C. Keita
59'
⚽
K. V. D. Kerkhof2–1
64'
🔁
D. Opoku ◂ Ó. Gil
64'
🔁
T. Ogiwara ◂ H. Teklab
68'
🔁
A. Bojang ◂ P. Pflücke
70'
🔁
Ł. Łakomy ◂ W. George
74'
🔁
F. Mbemba ◂ P. Guiagon
74'
🔁
J. N. Romsaas ◂ A. Scheidler
76'
🔁
S. Yamada ◂ C. Ikwuemesi
76'
🔁
K. Vaesen ◂ W. Balikwisha
79'
⚽
F. Mbemba · assist I. I. Cissé3–1
83'
🔁
A. Colassin ◂ A. Bernier
Full-time · 3–1
Coaches
Timmy Simons 
Recent form
LHRayo Vallecano2-3
WHRFC Seraing2-1
DARC Lens2-2
LAFeyenoord1-3
DHStade de Reims2-2
LHLille3-6
DASC Heerenveen4-4
LAClub NXT U230-3
WHKoninklijke Lierse Sportkring1-0
WHLommel SK5-1
Where to watch
DAZN Belgium
Match facts
Stadium
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
City
Charleroi
Kickoff
09 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Pro League
Highlights & clips
30
M. Koné
6.6
3
K. V. D. Kerkhof
7.9
4
A. Ousou
8.3
95
C. Keita
7.0
24
M. Nzita
7.2
19
I. I. Cissé
7.6
↑ 46'
18
Y. Khalifi
7.7
25
A. Colassin
6.7
↑ 83'
9
A. Bojang
6.7
↑ 68'
8
J. N. Romsaas
6.7
↑ 74'
20
F. Mbemba
8.6
↑ 74'
16
D. v. d. Heuvel
8.8
28
E. Pletinckx
6.8
3
N. Dussenne
7.3
34
R. Nyakossi
6.7
26
T. Ogiwara
6.2
↑ 64'
24
Ł. Łakomy
6.5
↑ 70'
8
S. Schrijvers
6.7
99
D. Opoku
6.8
↑ 64'
17
K. Vaesen
6.5
↑ 76'
20
S. Yamada
6.4
↑ 76'
9
A. K. Traoré
4.9
Top stats
59%Possession41%
3.08Expected goals (xG)1.3
24Total shots12
10Shots on target3
3Big chances3
6Corners2
Shots
7Shots off target6
7Blocked shots3
18Shots inside box9
6Shots outside box3
3Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed2
-0.02Goals prevented0.89
Attack
53Touches in box21
39Final third entries65
5Offsides1
12Free kicks7
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
496Passes340
417Accurate passes266
34/58 (59%)Long balls22/52 (42%)
4/22 (18%)Crosses8/20 (40%)
19Throw-ins15
Duels
61Duels39
48/78 (62%)Ground duels30/78 (38%)
19/31 (61%)Aerial duels12/31 (39%)
10/19 (53%)Dribbles4/17 (24%)
11Dispossessed12
Defending
25Tackles20
48Tackles won55
6Interceptions15
20Clearances27
65Recoveries63
Discipline
7Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves6
1Big saves0
12Goal kicks11
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 41 bookmakers
CornersOver 10.5 corners 50% · 1.95 @ Betway
CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.61 @ Betway
CornersOver 8.5 corners 72% · 1.33 @ Interwetten
Who winsCharleroi to win (DNB) 70% · 1.36 @ Betsson
1X2Charleroi to win 52% · 1.82 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 2.10 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 26% · 3.82 @ Marathon
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.43 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.81 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.28 @ 10bet
1X2OH Leuven to win 21% · 4.56 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.77
RC Sporting Charleroi
3.68
Draw ▲
4.30
Oud-Heverlee Leuven ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.21
RC Sporting Charleroi or Draw
1.26
RC Sporting Charleroi or Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1.87
Draw or Oud-Heverlee Leuven ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.72
Yes ▼
2.03
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.69
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50
3.78
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.79
Over 2.50 ▼
1.99
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.93
Over 3.50 ▼
1.39
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.48
Over 4.50 ▼
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.30
RC Sporting Charleroi ▼
3.15
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
10.75
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
8.40
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.95
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
3.24
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.53
Over 9.50 ▲
2.35
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.86
Over 10.50
1.83
Under 10.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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