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Rik De Mil
KAA Gent
KV Mechelen
KAA Gent
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
KV Mechelen
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
66954 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.3%
-15.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.9%
+9.8 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.8%
+6.7 vs price
Half time
1371 EUR · live
Away
14.5 · implied 6.9%
42.5%
+35.6 vs price
Home
1.04 · implied 96.2%
32.8%
-63.3 vs price
Draw
14.5 · implied 6.9%
24.6%
+17.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
85379 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
77.8%
-19.3 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
22.2%
+18.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1690 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.1%
-9.9 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
10.9%
+7.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
28'
🔁
K. Corbanie ◂ G. Diouf
37'
⚽
T. Araújo1–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'
⚽
J. Vergara · assist M. Sonko2–0
46'
🔁
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi ◂ B. Raman
46'
🔁
M. Paskotsi ◂ C. Burgess
71'
🔁
M. Delorge ◂ T. D. Vlieger
71'
🔁
H. Goore ◂ A. Kadri
76'
🔁
I. Struyf ◂ J. Marsa
77'
🔁
M. Kireev ◂ D. Praet
80'
🔁
I. Cisse ◂ J. Vergara
85'
M. Decoene · Foul
86'
🔁
C. J. V. Meirvenne ◂ B. Bafdili
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Rik De MilFrederik Vanderbiest 
Recent form
KAA GentWAIFK Göteborg1-0
DHLNZ Cherkasy0-0
DALNZ Cherkasy0-0
WAFC Twente2-0
DAFC Twente2-2
KV MechelenDAUSL Dunkerque0-0
LAWillem II Tilburg0-1
LHADO Den Haag2-3
WAKSK Heist1-0
WHKoninklijke Sporting Hasselt2-1
Where to watch
DAZN Pro League 1
DAZN Pro League 1
Match facts
Stadium
Planet Group Arena
City
Gent
Kickoff
09 Aug, 11:30 UTC
Competition
Pro League
Highlights & clips
KAA Gent
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
KV Mechelen
33
D. Roef
7.5
5
M. Ngom
7.1
3
M. Paskotsi
6.9
↑ 46'
44
S. Van Der Heyden
7.3
57
M. Volckaert
7.3
17
M. Delorge
7.0
↑ 71'
22
L. Lopes
7.3
20
T. Araújo
8.3
45
H. Goore
6.8
↑ 71'
11
M. Sonko
7.5
75
I. Cisse
6.5
↑ 80'
13
N. Miras
8.4
39
M. Decoene
6.6
20
K. Corbanie
6.1
↑ 28'
18
I. Struyf
6.6
↑ 76'
23
M. Zekri
5.9
6
F. Hammar
6.2
8
D. Salifou
6.3
17
C. J. V. Meirvenne
6.5
↑ 86'
10
M. Kireev
6.5
↑ 77'
9
M. Van Brederode
6.4
19
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi
6.6
↑ 46'
Substitutes
30GK. Peersman
16DC. Burgess↓ 46'7.0
56DM. Diallo
27MT. D. Vlieger↓ 71'7.4
37MA. Kadri↓ 71'6.8
8ML. Bénes
59ME. H. Seck
28MM. E. Âdfaoui
47FJ. Vergara↓ 80'7.8
Coach: Rik De Mil
Substitutes
1GO. De Wolf
4DG. Diouf↓ 28'7.1
3DJ. Marsa↓ 76'6.7
26MD. Praet↓ 77'6.7
40MA. Ouahabi
7MT. Koudou
14FB. Raman↓ 46'6.2
11FB. Bafdili↓ 86'6.2
27FK. Vanrafelghem
Coach: Frederik Vanderbiest
Top stats
53%Possession47%
1.18Expected goals (xG)0.26
15Total shots5
8Shots on target2
2Big chances0
4Corners1
Shots
4Shots off target2
3Blocked shots1
10Shots inside box3
5Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
0.22Goals prevented0.45
Attack
25Touches in box10
58Final third entries60
1Offsides1
11Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
516Passes462
437Accurate passes383
38/69 (55%)Long balls25/52 (48%)
7/19 (37%)Crosses0/13 (0%)
23Throw-ins27
Duels
60Duels40
39/66 (59%)Ground duels27/66 (41%)
16/25 (64%)Aerial duels9/25 (36%)
4/9 (44%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
7Dispossessed20
Defending
25Tackles12
68Tackles won58
7Interceptions14
17Clearances21
46Recoveries48
Discipline
11Fouls11
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves7
0Big saves2
4Goal kicks7
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 41 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.85 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.50 @ Interwetten
Who winsGent to win (DNB) 66% · 1.44 @ Bet365
1X2Gent to win 48% · 1.98 @ SportingBet
1X2Draw 27% · 3.60 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 2.10 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.33 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.35 @ Betano
1X2Mechelen to win 25% · 4.29 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.83
KAA Gent ▲
3.46
Draw ▼
4.01
KV Mechelen ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.24
KAA Gent or Draw
1.27
KAA Gent or KV Mechelen
1.88
Draw or KV Mechelen ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.79
Yes
1.94
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.31
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.88
Over 2.50
1.89
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.15
Over 3.50
1.34
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.45
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.39
KAA Gent ▲
2.85
KV Mechelen ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
13.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
11.10
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
6.10
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50 ▼
3.71
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.42
Over 8.50
2.62
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.73
Over 9.50 ▼
2.00
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.16
Over 10.50 ▼
1.61
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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