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Lars Friis
Cercle Brugge
Sint-Truidense VV
Cercle Brugge
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Sint-Truidense VV
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
293060 EUR · live
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
62.5%
+62.4 vs price
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
30.6%
-67.4 vs price
Home
100.0 · implied 1.0%
6.9%
+5.9 vs price
Half time
1145 EUR · live
Draw
1.4 · implied 71.4%
41.4%
-30.0 vs price
Away
1.37 · implied 73.0%
32.2%
-40.8 vs price
Home
6.2 · implied 16.1%
26.3%
+10.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
8270 EUR · live
Over
1.16 · implied 86.2%
74.6%
-11.7 vs price
Under
7.2 · implied 13.9%
25.4%
+11.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2865 EUR · live
Under
1.42 · implied 70.4%
63.5%
-6.9 vs price
Over
3.4 · implied 29.4%
36.5%
+7.1 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
1'
⚽
R. Merlen · assist I. Sebaoui0–1
18'
N. Ishiwatari · Foul
28'
⚽
S. Ngoura1–1
37'
⚽
R. Merlen · assist R. Vanwesemael1–2
Half-time · 1–2
47'
⚽
N. Ishiwatari · assist I. Sebaoui1–3
57'
J. Pupe · Foul
62'
🔁
L. Michal ◂ E. Kakou
73'
🔁
I. Diakité ◂ D. Vanzeir
73'
🔁
E. Nunes ◂ V. Martens
79'
L. Mbe Soh · Foul
81'
🔁
L. Amani ◂ L. Mondele
81'
🔁
K. Kouassi ◂ S. Ngoura
82'
⚽
E. Nunes2–3
87'
🔁
W. Janssens ◂ N. Ishiwatari
87'
🔁
S. Taniguchi ◂ F. S. Soelle
87'
🔁
O. Diouf ◂ R. Merlen
Full-time · 3–3
90'+3
⚽
K. Kouassi · assist E. Nunes3–3
Coaches
Frédéric De Meyer 
Recent form
DAStandard Liège2-2
DAAS Monaco2-2
LAStade de Reims0-3
LAPEC Zwolle2-3
DHLommel SK1-1
DHLommel SK1-1
LAAEK Athens0-3
LAHelmond Sport0-1
DHAl-Jazira0-0
WARFC Liège1-0
Where to watch
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
Jan Breydel Stadium
City
Bruges
Kickoff
14 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Pro League
1
G. Coucke
6.7
22
L. Michal
6.7
↑ 62'
66
C. Ravych
6.1
24
G. Kondo
7.4
15
G. Magnee
6.8
10
L. Amani
6.7
↑ 81'
19
M. I. Diaby
6.8
12
V. Konaté
6.8
2
I. Diakité
6.8
↑ 73'
8
E. Nunes
7.3
↑ 73'
41
K. Kouassi
7.5
↑ 81'
16
L. Kokubo
8.3
3
T. Hata
6.2
4
L. Mbe Soh
6.0
26
V. Musliu
6.3
23
J. Pupe
5.9
22
W. Janssens
6.4
↑ 87'
8
A. Sissako
7.0
60
R. Vanwesemael
7.1
5
S. Taniguchi
6.3
↑ 87'
10
I. Sebaoui
6.8
77
O. Diouf
6.5
↑ 87'
Substitutes
84GB. Langenbick
5DE. Kakou↓ 62'6.2
75DS. Gheerardyns
33DR. Caicedo
71MV. Martens↓ 73'7.2
42ML. Mondele↓ 81'6.6
23MH. Jurado
9FS. Ngoura↓ 81'7.7
13FD. Vanzeir↓ 73'6.7
Coach: Lars Friis
Substitutes
21GM. Lendfers
14MR. Merlen↓ 87'8.7
18MN. Ishiwatari↓ 87'7.8
31MB. A. Ilyes
33MA. Diriken
71MR. Araki
19FF. S. Soelle↓ 87'6.5
99FS. Shinkawa
38FK. Matsuzawa
Coach: Frédéric De Meyer
Top stats
55%Possession45%
4.15Expected goals (xG)2.04
26Total shots13
8Shots on target7
6Big chances3
10Corners3
Shots
14Shots off target2
4Blocked shots4
20Shots inside box8
6Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored2
4Big chances missed1
-0.48Goals prevented0.44
Attack
41Touches in box19
61Final third entries42
1Offsides4
9Free kicks7
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
473Passes401
390Accurate passes321
18/46 (39%)Long balls36/63 (57%)
7/28 (25%)Crosses2/7 (29%)
27Throw-ins18
Duels
50Duels50
28/53 (53%)Ground duels25/53 (47%)
8/19 (42%)Aerial duels11/19 (58%)
6/15 (40%)Dribbles2/8 (25%)
7Dispossessed7
Defending
13Tackles16
46Tackles won63
14Interceptions6
9Clearances40
47Recoveries39
Discipline
7Fouls9
0Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves6
1Big saves2
3Goal kicks15
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.43 @ Interwetten
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 1.63 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 4.05 @ merkurxtip
1X2St. Truidense to win 35% · 3.20 @ betcity
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.26 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.70 @ pmu
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.07 @ fanatics
1X2Cercle Brugge to win 38% · 2.92 @ efbet.net
Who winsCercle Brugge to win (DNB) 52% · 1.88 @ merkurxtip
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.85 @ Novibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.67
Cercle Brugge
3.58
Draw
2.53
Sint-Truidense VV
Double Chanceconsensus
1.45
Cercle Brugge or Draw ▲
1.29
Cercle Brugge or Sint-Truidense VV ▲
1.50
Draw or Sint-Truidense VV ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.58
Yes
2.34
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
11.29
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
4.36
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.74
Over 2.50
2.14
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.71
Over 3.50
1.46
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.08
Over 4.50
1.18
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.81
Cercle Brugge ▲
1.92
Sint-Truidense VV ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
12.17
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
7.37
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
4.31
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50 ▲
2.96
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.61
Over 9.50 ▲
2.17
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.01
Over 10.50
1.76
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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