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Jess Thorup
KRC Genk
KVC Westerlo
KRC Genk
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
KVC Westerlo
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
245911 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
63.2%
-35.8 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
20.9%
+20.8 vs price
Draw
50.0 · implied 2.0%
15.9%
+13.9 vs price
Half time
3208 EUR · live
Away
1.05 · implied 95.2%
73.4%
-21.9 vs price
Home
60.0 · implied 1.7%
21.4%
+19.7 vs price
Draw
11.5 · implied 8.7%
5.2%
-3.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
13994 EUR · live
Over
1.07 · implied 93.5%
86.8%
-6.7 vs price
Under
14.5 · implied 6.9%
13.2%
+6.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5106 EUR · live
Over
2.72 · implied 36.8%
60.9%
+24.1 vs price
Under
1.56 · implied 64.1%
39.1%
-25.0 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
D. Ourega · assist C. Congreve0–1
8'
R. Durosinmi · Foul
13'
⚽
M. Smets0–2
36'
J. Erenbjerg · Foul
41'
⚽
R. Durosinmi (pen)1–2
43'
⚽
B. Heynen · assist A. Yokoyama2–2
Half-time · 2–2
61'
C. Congreve · Foul
66'
🔁
D. Amegnaglo ◂ N. Bassette
66'
🔁
R. Laalaoui ◂ C. Congreve
70'
🔁
A. Bibout ◂ R. Durosinmi
71'
🔁
L. Flø ◂ L. Mbamba
74'
R. Laalaoui · Argument
75'
🔁
D. Heymans ◂ I. S. Bangoura
75'
🔁
K. Haroun ◂ J. Erenbjerg
77'
D. Amegnaglo · Foul
79'
⚽
A. Bibout3–2
83'
🔁
N. Sattlberger ◂ B. Heynen
85'
🔁
A. Lapage ◂ R. Münz
85'
🔁
Y. Min-hyeok ◂ I. Fofana
87'
K. Haroun · Foul
Full-time · 3–2
90'+4
🔁
◂ K. Haroun
Coaches
Jess ThorupIssame Charai 
Recent form
KRC GenkLASV Zulte Waregem1-2
WHFC Twente2-1
WHTOP Oss3-1
LABayer 04 Leverkusen0-4
LAAZ Alkmaar0-4
KVC WesterloLHRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise1-5
LHSamsunspor1-2
DHAE Kifisia1-1
WAUSL Dunkerque3-1
DHAl-Fayha0-0
Match facts
Stadium
Cegeka Arena
City
Genk
Kickoff
15 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Pro League
Highlights & clips
KRC Genk
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
KVC Westerlo
28
L. Brughmans
6.2
77
Z. E. Ouahdi
7.1
6
M. Smets
6.1
44
J. N. Kongolo
7.2
18
Kayembe
7.1
38
D. Heymans
6.4
↑ 75'
24
N. Sattlberger
6.6
↑ 83'
10
J. Ito
7.4
86
K. Haroun
6.6
↑ 75'
30
A. Yokoyama
6.8
23
A. Bibout
7.7
↑ 70'
99
A. Jungdal
7.8
2
L. Flø
6.6
↑ 71'
5
S. Kimura
6.3
4
A. Lapage
6.8
↑ 85'
28
D. Ourega
7.7
12
R. Laalaoui
6.1
↑ 66'
14
C. Sandra
6.1
47
Y. Min-hyeok
6.4
↑ 85'
7
S. Saito
6.6
17
D. Amegnaglo
6.7
↑ 66'
13
I. Sakamoto
6.6
Substitutes
26GT. Lawal
84DE. Sarfo
19DY. Medina
8MB. Heynen↓ 83'8.2
21MI. S. Bangoura↓ 75'6.9
11MJ. Erenbjerg↓ 75'6.9
32MN. Adedeji-Sternberg
17FR. Durosinmi↓ 70'6.6
29FR. Mirisola
Coach: Jess Thorup
Substitutes
1GB. Lathouwers
23DL. Mbamba↓ 71'6.6
6DR. Münz↓ 85'6.4
24DM. Ndembi
20MC. Congreve↓ 66'7.2
45MI. Fofana↓ 85'6.3
39MT. V. d. Keybus
9FN. Bassette↓ 66'6.3
10FA. Patrão
Coach: Issame Charai
Top stats
51%Possession49%
4.24Expected goals (xG)0.85
22Total shots12
7Shots on target2
7Big chances1
8Corners4
Shots
11Shots off target4
4Blocked shots6
19Shots inside box10
3Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
5Big chances missed0
-1.49Goals prevented0.75
Attack
37Touches in box20
53Final third entries52
3Offsides1
13Free kicks15
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
408Passes419
347Accurate passes347
19/37 (51%)Long balls20/48 (42%)
9/35 (26%)Crosses6/18 (33%)
13Throw-ins12
Duels
49Duels51
33/68 (49%)Ground duels35/68 (51%)
15/29 (52%)Aerial duels14/29 (48%)
5/10 (50%)Dribbles13/19 (68%)
3Dispossessed10
Defending
16Tackles8
50Tackles won75
16Interceptions7
28Clearances42
50Recoveries45
Discipline
15Fouls14
3Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
1Big saves1
7Goal kicks11
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
Who winsGenk to win (DNB) 81% · 1.25 @ merkurxtip
1X2Genk to win 66% · 1.93 @ eurobet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 68% · 1.50 @ eurobet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.80 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.48 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 85% · 1.14 @ eurobet
BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 1.62 @ betfair
1X2Draw 20% · 3.60 @ tipico
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
1X2Westerlo to win 15% · 5.80 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 54% · 1.14 @ dafabet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.40
KRC Genk
4.96
Draw
6.32
KVC Westerlo
Double Chanceconsensus
1.11
KRC Genk or Draw
1.16
KRC Genk or KVC Westerlo
2.74
Draw or KVC Westerlo
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.51
Yes
2.40
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
20.00
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.09
Over 1.50
6.65
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.35
Over 2.50
3.06
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.88
Over 3.50 ▼
1.86
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.10
Over 4.50 ▼
1.35
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.14
KRC Genk
4.86
KVC Westerlo
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
11.13
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
5.94
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50 ▼
3.97
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50
2.80
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.66
Over 9.50 ▼
2.10
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.04
Over 10.50 ▼
1.68
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
KRC Genk to win or draw
✓
85% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
85% confidence
KRC Genk to avoid defeat
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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