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Jess Thorup
KRC Genk
SK Beveren
KRC Genk
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
SK Beveren
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
49326 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.6%
-12.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.4%
+8.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.1%
+5.0 vs price
Half time
576 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
97.4%
-1.6 vs price
Away
5.3 · implied 18.9%
11.9%
-6.9 vs price
Draw
2.84 · implied 35.2%
0.9%
-34.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
14047 EUR · live
Over
1.14 · implied 87.7%
82.0%
-5.7 vs price
Under
7.6 · implied 13.2%
18.0%
+4.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1352 EUR · live
Under
1.26 · implied 79.4%
70.4%
-9.0 vs price
Over
4.8 · implied 20.8%
29.6%
+8.8 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Player of the match
Match events
7'
VAR
Penalty check · Z. E. Ouahdi
9'
⚽
R. Durosinmi (pen)1–0
19'
⚽
J. Ito2–0
29'
Y. Gomis · Foul
43'
⚽
J. N. Kongolo · assist J. Erenbjerg3–0
Half-time · 3–0
46'
🔁
M. Kaboré ◂ K. Abrahams
46'
🔁
C. O. Condé ◂ C. Brüls
46'
🔁
J. Margaritha ◂ F. Slegers
71'
🔁
A. Bibout ◂ R. Durosinmi
71'
🔁
N. Adedeji-Sternberg ◂ A. Yokoyama
71'
🔁
D. Heymans ◂ J. Erenbjerg
74'
⚽
Kayembe · assist N. Adedeji-Sternberg4–0
77'
🔁
J. T. Robatsch ◂ B. Godeau
77'
🔁
Y. Medina ◂ Kayembe
85'
🔁
K. Amaro ◂ Z. E. Ouahdi
Full-time · 4–0
Coaches
Jess ThorupTim Bakens 
Recent form
KRC GenkDARoyal Antwerp FC4-4
WHKVC Westerlo3-2
LASV Zulte Waregem1-2
WHFC Twente2-1
WHTOP Oss3-1
SK BeverenLASV Zulte Waregem0-4
WHRSC Anderlecht1-0
LARoyal Antwerp FC1-2
WHFC Eindhoven1-0
WAMVV Maastricht4-3
Match facts
Stadium
Cegeka Arena
City
Genk
Kickoff
28 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Pro League
KRC Genk
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
SK Beveren
28
L. Brughmans
7.2
20
K. Amaro
6.7
↑ 85'
6
M. Smets
8.8
44
J. N. Kongolo
9.4
19
Y. Medina
6.7
↑ 77'
21
I. S. Bangoura
6.7
8
B. Heynen
8.3
10
J. Ito
8.4
32
N. Adedeji-Sternberg
6.7
↑ 71'
38
D. Heymans
6.6
↑ 71'
23
A. Bibout
7.3
↑ 71'
1
J. Schenk
6.7
21
L. Jans
5.8
35
Y. Gomis
5.9
48
J. T. Robatsch
6.8
↑ 77'
4
C. Janssens
6.6
18
S. Dewaele
6.8
17
J. Margaritha
6.8
↑ 46'
44
C. O. Condé
7.0
↑ 46'
9
M. Kaboré
6.5
↑ 46'
5
C. Lokesa
6.2
92
L. Mertens
6.4
Top stats
49%Possession51%
3.06Expected goals (xG)0.61
12Total shots13
7Shots on target1
8Big chances0
3Corners9
Shots
3Shots off target3
2Blocked shots9
10Shots inside box7
2Shots outside box6
2Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored0
5Big chances missed0
0.29Goals prevented-0.23
Attack
29Touches in box34
66Final third entries43
0Offsides1
3Free kicks7
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
532Passes517
466Accurate passes451
43/69 (62%)Long balls29/43 (67%)
2/10 (20%)Crosses7/34 (21%)
16Throw-ins19
Duels
59Duels41
28/51 (55%)Ground duels23/51 (45%)
13/19 (68%)Aerial duels6/19 (32%)
6/13 (46%)Dribbles8/18 (44%)
1Dispossessed8
Defending
18Tackles8
56Tackles won50
13Interceptions5
27Clearances19
46Recoveries52
Discipline
7Fouls4
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
8Goal kicks2
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsGenk to win (DNB) 83% · 1.27 @ Unibet
1X2Genk to win 63% · 1.80 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 1.47 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79%
1X2Draw 21% · 2.87 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65%
1X2Beveren to win 16% · 4.75 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.60
KRC Genk
4.29
Draw
5.00
SK Beveren
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.25
No
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.47
Over 2.50
2.60
Under 2.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.23
KRC Genk
3.80
SK Beveren
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.05
KRC Genk
2.60
Draw
5.00
SK Beveren
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
1.80
KRC Genk
2.87
Draw
4.75
SK Beveren
Both Teams to Score (1st Half)consensus
3.75
Yes
1.25
No
Both Teams to Score (2nd Half)consensus
2.75
Yes
1.40
No
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
KRC Genk to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
KRC Genk to avoid defeat
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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