Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Both teams are limping in, but Lommel's got the home-field edge and a sliver of form.** KV Mechelen just took a 4-0 hammering at home; Lommel at least snatched a win last time out. 🔴
Lommel's form is patchy—they got obliterated 5-0 by Union Saint-Gilloise but beat Cercle Brugge on the road. Mechelen are stuck in a rut with no wins in five and injuries piling up across the backline.
Key storylines:
- **Lommel's midfield**, anchored by **L. Schoofs** and **J. Pelupessy**, will be tasked with controlling tempo against a **Mechelen** side short on defensive cover
- Both squads are decimated by injuries—Lommel missing four, Mechelen four—which means fringe players get their moment
- **KV Mechelen's** attack pairing of **M. Van Brederode** and **B. Boersma** need to click fast or the road trip stays winless
Expected lineups:
- **Lommel SK**: M. Pieklak, S. D. Grand, T. Eyoma, D. Wouters, T. Reyners, S. Adewoye, S. Appuah, L. Schoofs, J. Pelupessy, J. Talvitie, J. v. Duiven
- **KV Mechelen**: N. Miras, M. Eerdhuijzen, J. Marsa, L. Marijnissen, T. Koudou, D. Praet, F. Hammar, D. Salifou, M. Van Brederode, B. Boersma, S. Michez
Prediction:
**Lommel 2–1 KV Mechelen** — Home side's slight edge in recent results gets them over the line. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.