Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Kortrijk are in freefall, and Beveren smell blood.** This is a classic mismatch on paper — one team winless in five, the other riding a three-win streak 🔥
Kortrijk have conceded 6 goals in their last three matches and look genuinely broken defensively. Beveren, meanwhile, just blew out Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3-0 at home and are hitting form at exactly the right moment. The hosts' only bright spot? A decent H2H record, but that feels like ancient history right now.
Key storylines:
- **Kortrijk's backline under siege**: with M. Anderson sidelined by knee injury, the defense is stretched thin and Beveren's attack should have plenty of space
- **Beveren's momentum machine**: three wins in five and scoring freely — **C. Brüls** and **F. Slegers** up top will fancy this matchup badly
- **Dejaegere and Lambert's midfield battle**: Kortrijk's engine room needs to impose itself or they'll be overrun
Expected lineups:
- **KV Kortrijk**: M. Ilić, G. Ruyssen, B. Lambert, B. Dejaegere, S. Podgoreanu, G. Koyalipou, H. Murray-Campbell
- **SK Beveren**: J. Schenk, Y. Gomis, B. Godeau, C. O. Condé, F. Slegers, C. Brüls, A. Verschueren
Prediction: **Beveren 2-0**. Kortrijk have zero defensive cohesion and Beveren are the clear favorites here.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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