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Sebastian Abreu
Club Tijuana
Club León
Club Tijuana
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Club León
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
28'
D. Arcila · Argument
43'
B. Colula · Argument
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
E. Guerra ◂ A. Alvarado
46'
🔁
G. Mora ◂ Á. Zapata
46'
🔁
F. Beltrán ◂ D. Arcila
53'
⚽
G. Mora (pen)1–0
67'
🔁
J. Vega ◂ R. Árciga
67'
🔁
D. Abreu ◂ M. E. Ghezouani
71'
🔁
I. Moreno ◂ R. Echeverría
71'
🔁
L. Valadez ◂ B. Colula
79'
🔁
J. Lara ◂ S. Reyes
81'
🔁
A. Mejía ◂ Y. Padilla
Full-time · 1–0
Coaches
Sebastian AbreuJavier Gandolfi 
Recent form
Club TijuanaWHTigres UANL3-1
WASan Jose Earthquakes2-1
DACD Guadalajara0-0
WHCF Pachuca3-1
DACruz Azul1-1
Club LeónLHAtlas FC2-3
WHCD Tapatío4-2
WHMineros de Zacatecas4-1
LACD Toluca1-4
LHClub América2-3
Where to watch
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
FOX MexicoViX
ViX
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Caliente
City
Tijuana
Referee
Joaquin Alberto Vizcarra Armenta
Kickoff
25 Jul, 03:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
Club Tijuana
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Club León
2
A. Rodríguez
7.2
3
R. Fernández
7.2
12
J. Porozo
7.9
6
J. Gómez
7.7
33
P. N. Ortíz
7.0
8
I. Tona
7.4
16
J. Vega
6.8
↑ 67'
10
G. Mora
7.6
↑ 46'
18
A. Mejía
6.5
↑ 81'
7
A. Preciado
7.7
19
D. Abreu
6.9
↑ 67'
23
O. García
7.5
7
I. Moreno
6.8
↑ 71'
14
J. Romaña
6.8
3
J. Guevara
6.7
203
J. Lara
6.7
↑ 79'
35
L. Valadez
6.4
↑ 71'
29
J. Rodríguez
6.6
16
J. Cortizo
6.7
18
E. Guerra
6.3
↑ 46'
11
I. Díaz
6.6
6
F. Beltrán
6.8
↑ 46'
Substitutes
29GJ. Hernández
188DA. Magallon
4DU. Bilbao
20MÁ. Zapata↓ 46'6.7
17MR. Árciga↓ 67'6.7
26MA. Pérez
197MD. Orduño
34MF. Boya
31FY. Padilla↓ 81'6.4
9FM. E. Ghezouani↓ 67'5.8
Coach: Sebastian Abreu
Substitutes
1GJ. García
4DB. Colula↓ 71'6.2
26DS. Reyes↓ 79'6.1
5DS. Vegas
22DS. Santos
185DC. Mora
25DP. Bellón
13MD. Arcila↓ 46'6.8
20MR. Echeverría↓ 71'6.6
19FA. Alvarado↓ 46'6.5
Coach: Javier Gandolfi
Top stats
39%Possession61%
1.93Expected goals (xG)0.87
9Total shots11
3Shots on target2
3Big chances2
3Corners10
Shots
4Shots off target4
2Blocked shots5
5Shots inside box6
4Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed2
0.17Goals prevented0.39
Attack
16Touches in box20
41Final third entries73
2Offsides1
11Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
360Passes550
287Accurate passes485
27/52 (52%)Long balls22/36 (61%)
3/13 (23%)Crosses7/28 (25%)
21Throw-ins25
Duels
57Duels43
39/66 (59%)Ground duels27/66 (41%)
21/39 (54%)Aerial duels19/40 (48%)
3/10 (30%)Dribbles4/13 (31%)
6Dispossessed16
Defending
25Tackles13
76Tackles won38
14Interceptions10
38Clearances19
39Recoveries37
Discipline
12Fouls13
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks4
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 32 bookmakers
Who winsTijuana to win (DNB) 66% · 1.43 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 1.93 @ 1xBet
1X2Tijuana to win 49% · 2.02 @ Marathon
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.27 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 26% · 3.70 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.81 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.48 @ Novibet
1X2León to win 25% · 4.33 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.44 @ Marathon
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.83
Club Tijuana ▼
3.51
Draw ▲
3.59
Club León ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Club Tijuana or Draw ▼
1.26
Club Tijuana or Club León ▼
1.80
Draw or Club León ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes ▲
2.12
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▲
10.75
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50 ▲
3.93
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.79
Over 2.50 ▲
2.03
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.93
Over 3.50 ▲
1.40
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.53
Over 4.50 ▲
1.15
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.36
Club Tijuana ▼
2.78
Club León ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.75
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
11.75
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
7.70
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.17
Over 6.50 ▲
4.60
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.32
Over 7.50 ▲
3.06
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.59
Over 8.50 ▲
2.21
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.97
Over 9.50 ▼
1.74
Under 9.50 ▼
2.0 – 1.1Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tijuana to win (DNB)Who wins | 66% | 66% | 1.41 | Overpriced | medium |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 59% | 59% | 1.57 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 57% | 57% | 1.65 | Overpriced | low |
| Tijuana to win1X2 | 49% | 49% | 1.91 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 78% | 78% | 1.19 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 59% | 59% | 1.56 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 26% | 26% | 3.57 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 52% | 52% | 1.76 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 63% | 63% | 1.46 | Overpriced | medium |
| León to win1X2 | 25% | 25% | 3.69 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 64% | 64% | 1.45 | Overpriced | medium |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Tijuana to win (DNB) — we say 79%, they say 66%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 78% | 0% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 56% | +1% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 38% | -2% | No |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 59% | 0% | No |
| Home win | 49% | 48% | +1% | Yes |
| Draw | 26% | 23% | +3% | Yes |
| Away win | 25% | 28% | -3% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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