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Gabriel Milito
CD Guadalajara
FC Juárez
CD Guadalajara
3-1-4-2 · 5-4-1
FC Juárez
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
H. Ortega · Foul
61'
🔁
E. Alvarez ◂ J. Carrillo
66'
🔁
Monchu ◂ H. Ortega
66'
🔁
J. Torres ◂ Ricardinho
66'
🔁
F. Nevarez ◂ J. Aquino
70'
🔁
L. M. Dupuy ◂ Ó. Estupiñán
74'
🔁
D. Campillo ◂ J. Castillo
74'
🔁
K. Castañeda ◂ B. Gutiérrez
74'
🔁
R. Marín ◂ R. Ledezma
82'
🔁
R. Juárez ◂ G. Sepúlveda
87'
J. Torres · Foul
Full-time · 1–0
90'
R. Marín · Foul
90'+3
🔁
J. Perez ◂ B. González
90'+6
⚽
R. Alvarado · assist R. Marín1–0
Coaches
Gabriel MilitoPedro Caixinha 
Recent form
CD GuadalajaraLHCD Toluca0-2
DACorrecaminos UAT0-0
LHCruz Azul1-2
DACruz Azul2-2
WHTigres UANL2-0
FC JuárezLHClub Puebla0-1
DAColorado Rapids1-1
WAMineros de Zacatecas3-1
DHClub Atletico La Paz2-2
WHAtlante FC2-0
Where to watch
OneFootball Deutschland
PeacockTelemundo
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Akron
City
Guadalajara
Referee
César Ramos Palazuelos
Kickoff
25 Jul, 23:07 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
CD Guadalajara
3-1-4-2 · 5-4-1
FC Juárez
1
R. Rangel
6.8
23
D. Aguirre
7.9
7
L. Romo
8.4
3
D. Campillo
6.7
↑ 74'
28
F. González
8.0
19
K. Castañeda
7.2
↑ 74'
17
R. Marín
7.4
↑ 74'
10
E. Alvarez
6.7
↑ 61'
18
J. Perez
↑ 90'
25
R. Alvarado
8.4
34
A. González
6.2
1
S. Jurado
7.8
33
F. Nevarez
6.8
↑ 66'
198
R. Juárez
6.4
↑ 82'
3
J. Murillo
7.7
6
Monchu
6.6
↑ 66'
4
A. Mayorga
6.3
10
J. Torres
6.5
↑ 66'
5
D. Garcia
7.4
8
G. Castilho
6.6
11
J. L. Rodríguez
6.6
17
L. M. Dupuy
6.5
↑ 70'
Substitutes
13GÓ. Whalley
2DJ. Castillo↓ 74'7.3
24DM. Gómez
56DÁ. Chávez
37MR. Ledezma↓ 74'7.4
11MB. Gutiérrez↓ 74'7.2
5MB. González↓ 90'6.9
33MJ. Carrillo↓ 61'6.3
16ML. G. Rey
67FS. A. A. Castillo
Coach: Gabriel Milito
Substitutes
27GG. Ruiz
23DH. Ortega↓ 66'7.5
20DJ. Aquino↓ 66'7.3
2DG. Sepúlveda↓ 82'7.3
21MRicardinho↓ 66'6.2
7MR. Fulgencio
25MS. Godínez
201MJ. Carmona
19FÓ. Estupiñán↓ 70'6.6
29FE. Ayón
Coach: Pedro Caixinha
Top stats
78%Possession22%
1.9Expected goals (xG)0.49
22Total shots6
8Shots on target0
4Big chances1
19Corners2
Shots
5Shots off target6
9Blocked shots0
15Shots inside box3
7Shots outside box3
2Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed1
0.0Goals prevented0.73
Attack
57Touches in box8
81Final third entries43
2Offsides0
14Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
725Passes212
643Accurate passes148
25/42 (60%)Long balls21/59 (36%)
12/40 (30%)Crosses2/9 (22%)
28Throw-ins18
Duels
52Duels48
33/70 (47%)Ground duels37/70 (53%)
24/40 (60%)Aerial duels16/39 (41%)
7/16 (44%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)
9Dispossessed5
Defending
13Tackles18
54Tackles won50
5Interceptions10
21Clearances55
34Recoveries37
Discipline
11Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
0Saves7
0Big saves3
7Goal kicks13
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 32 bookmakers
Who winsGuadalajara to win (DNB) 83% · 1.15 @ Betsson
1X2Guadalajara to win 68% · 1.48 @ Marathon
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 1.58 @ Marathon
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.18 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.52 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 19% · 5.26 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.58 @ Bwin
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
1X2Juárez to win 13% · 8.25 @ Betano
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.40
CD Guadalajara ▲
4.77
Draw ▲
6.99
FC Juárez ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.09
CD Guadalajara or Draw ▼
1.17
CD Guadalajara or FC Juárez ▼
2.78
Draw or FC Juárez ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.72
Yes ▼
2.01
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50 ▼
14.22
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50 ▲
4.90
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.56
Over 2.50 ▲
2.45
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.40
Over 3.50 ▲
1.58
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.05
Over 4.50 ▲
1.24
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.12
CD Guadalajara ▼
5.47
FC Juárez ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
8.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50
5.15
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50 ▲
3.47
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50 ▼
2.44
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.82
Over 9.50 ▲
1.87
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.31
Over 10.50 ▲
1.53
Under 10.50 ▼
2.2 – 1.1Expected goals
2-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara to win (DNB)Who wins | 83% | 83% | 1.13 | Fair | high |
| Guadalajara to win1X2 | 68% | 68% | 1.38 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 61% | 62% | 1.52 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 81% | 81% | 1.16 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 51% | 51% | 1.82 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 62% | 62% | 1.48 | Overpriced | medium |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 54% | 54% | 1.73 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 19% | 19% | 4.79 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 60% | 60% | 1.53 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 60% | 59% | 1.57 | Fair | low |
| Juárez to win1X2 | 13% | 13% | 7.24 | Overpriced | low |
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 78% | +3% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 56% | +5% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 38% | +2% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 58% | -4% | No |
| Home win | 68% | 48% | +20% | Yes |
| Draw | 19% | 23% | -4% | No |
| Away win | 13% | 28% | -15% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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