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Renato Paiva
Santos Laguna
Atlas FC
Santos Laguna
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Atlas FC
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
30'
C. Gruezo · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'+1
G. Ferrareis · Foul
64'
⚽
E. Zaldívar0–1
65'
🔁
D. González ◂ L. Di Yorio
66'
🔁
J. Sánchez ◂ G. Ferrareis
69'
🔁
V. Ríos ◂ A. Rocha
71'
🔁
E. Orona ◂ R. Sordo
71'
🔁
A. Lopez Vargas ◂ C. Gruezo
77'
🔁
P. Ramírez ◂ E. Zaldívar
77'
🔁
J. Lozano ◂ S. Hernandez
77'
🔁
L. Esteves ◂ A. González
84'
🔁
J. Mancha ◂ S. Mariscal
84'
🔁
K. Picon ◂ M. Cuevas
Full-time · 0–1
90'+8
F. Villalba · Argument
Coaches
Renato PaivaHernan Crespo 
Recent form
Santos LagunaLACF Monterrey2-3
LHAmérica de Cali0-1
WANew York Cosmos2-1
WAAnnapolis Blues FC2-0
WHCF Monterrey3-0
Atlas FCWAClub León3-2
LHClub Puebla3-4
WHTepatitlán FC5-0
DHClub Necaxa0-0
LHAtlético San Luis0-1
Where to watch
ViX
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Betano
ViX
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ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
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Disney+ Premium MexicoESPN MexicoViX
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Match facts
Stadium
Estadio TSM Corona
City
Torreon
Referee
Martin Molina Astorga
Kickoff
26 Jul, 03:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
Santos Laguna
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Atlas FC
1
C. Acevedo
6.8
22
K. Picon
6.6
↑ 84'
18
F. Pardo
7.2
25
F. Sánchez
6.8
17
E. Echeverría
6.5
15
J. Mancha
7.0
↑ 84'
14
E. Orona
6.5
↑ 71'
21
F. Villalba
7.7
10
E. Bullaude
6.3
5
A. Lopez Vargas
6.8
↑ 71'
7
D. González
6.6
↑ 65'
12
C. Vargas
7.2
3
J. Sánchez
6.7
↑ 66'
28
M. Capasso
7.6
21
R. Schlegel
7.5
16
M. Valenzuela
7.2
27
V. Ríos
6.9
↑ 69'
17
J. Lozano
6.5
↑ 77'
11
Duk
6.4
15
P. Ramírez
6.8
↑ 77'
10
L. Esteves
6.6
↑ 77'
8
R. Mmaee
5.9
Substitutes
33GH. Holguin
3DM. Cuevas↓ 84'6.9
4DJ. Abella
26MR. Sordo↓ 71'7.0
11MC. Gruezo↓ 71'6.7
8MS. Mariscal↓ 84'6.7
24MD. Medina
6MJ. Güemez
9FL. Di Yorio↓ 65'6.0
19FE. Aguirre
Coach: Renato Paiva
Top stats
56%Possession44%
0.83Expected goals (xG)1.12
11Total shots11
1Shots on target5
0Big chances1
4Corners5
Shots
4Shots off target5
6Blocked shots1
8Shots inside box10
3Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances missed1
-0.2Goals prevented0.03
Attack
18Touches in box19
64Final third entries45
0Offsides1
11Free kicks11
0Fouled in final third2
Passing
474Passes373
385Accurate passes297
26/48 (54%)Long balls33/62 (53%)
6/23 (26%)Crosses6/17 (35%)
29Throw-ins24
Duels
55Duels47
45/83 (54%)Ground duels41/86 (48%)
11/19 (58%)Aerial duels8/19 (42%)
9/21 (43%)Dribbles8/23 (35%)
7Dispossessed10
Defending
25Tackles21
72Tackles won62
12Interceptions17
13Clearances31
51Recoveries54
Discipline
11Fouls11
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
7Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 32 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.90 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.55 @ Betway
1X2Atlas to win 36% · 2.69 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.70 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 29% · 3.40 @ Interwetten
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 2.02 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.30 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.38 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.57 @ Novibet
Who winsSantos to win (DNB) 50% · 2.05 @ Pinnacle
1X2Santos to win 36% · 2.89 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.76
Santos Laguna ▲
3.23
Draw ▲
2.46
Atlas FC ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.52
Santos Laguna or Draw ▲
1.32
Santos Laguna or Atlas FC ▲
1.39
Draw or Atlas FC ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.64
Yes ▼
2.11
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▼
9.54
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50 ▲
3.65
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.87
Over 2.50 ▲
1.93
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.15
Over 3.50 ▲
1.36
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.90
Over 4.50 ▲
1.13
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.96
Santos Laguna ▼
1.76
Atlas FC ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
17.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50 ▼
10.00
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
6.00
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50 ▼
3.44
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50 ▲
2.41
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50 ▲
1.87
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.30
Over 10.50 ▲
1.53
Under 10.50 ▼
1.7 – 1.4Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.26
we give it 75 chances out of 100 at a fair price
75%
likely
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 51% | 51% | 1.82 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 62% | 62% | 1.48 | Overpriced | medium |
| Atlas to win1X2 | 36% | 36% | 2.6 | Overpriced | low |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 56% | 56% | 1.64 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 29% | 29% | 3.24 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 52% | 51% | 1.85 | Fair | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 75% | 74% | 1.26 | Fair | high |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 69% | 69% | 1.34 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 60% | 60% | 1.54 | Overpriced | low |
| Santos to win (DNB)Who wins | 50% | 50% | 1.86 | Overpriced | low |
| Santos to win1X2 | 36% | 36% | 2.62 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Santos to win (DNB) — we say 60%, they say 50%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 78% | -3% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 56% | -4% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 38% | -7% | No |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 58% | -2% | No |
| Home win | 36% | 48% | -12% | No |
| Draw | 29% | 23% | +6% | Yes |
| Away win | 36% | 28% | +8% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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