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Gerardo Espinoza
Club Puebla
CD Guadalajara
Club Puebla
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
CD Guadalajara
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
26'
⚽
E. Mustre1–0
Half-time · 1–0
63'
⚽
R. Alvarado · assist E. Alvarez1–1
63'
🔁
O. Govea ◂ J. Carrillo
63'
🔁
E. Alvarez ◂ F. González
71'
🔁
M. Tomás ◂ C. Baltazar
71'
🔁
Á. Sepúlveda ◂ A. González
71'
🔁
L. Hernández ◂ E. Mustre
77'
🔁
R. Marín ◂ R. Ledezma
77'
🔁
K. Castañeda ◂ B. Gutiérrez
79'
🔁
Ó. Villa ◂ A. Organista
Full-time · 1–1
90'+1
🔁
O. M. Villegas ◂ E. Gómez
Coaches
Gerardo EspinozaGabriel Milito 
Recent form
Club PueblaLACruz Azul1-2
WAFC Juárez1-0
WAAtlas FC4-3
LACF Pachuca1-3
WHTlaxcala FC3-1
CD GuadalajaraWHFC Juárez1-0
LHCD Toluca0-2
DACorrecaminos UAT0-0
LHCruz Azul1-2
DACruz Azul2-2
Where to watch
Azteca 7Azteca Deportes
TUDN USA
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Cuauhtemoc
City
Puebla
Referee
Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez
Kickoff
01 Aug, 01:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
Club Puebla
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2
CD Guadalajara
28
D. Gutierrez
8.5
12
I. Moreno
6.8
5
F. Almada
6.7
4
J. Vargas
7.2
7
F. Monarrez
6.6
15
Ó. Villa
6.5
↑ 79'
21
S. Sanabria
6.0
26
K. Velasco
7.1
10
M. Tomás
6.9
↑ 71'
8
O. M. Villegas
↑ 90'
9
L. Hernández
6.7
↑ 71'
1
R. Rangel
6.4
23
D. Aguirre
7.0
7
L. Romo
7.2
2
J. Castillo
7.1
6
O. Govea
6.9
↑ 63'
19
K. Castañeda
6.9
↑ 77'
17
R. Marín
6.7
↑ 77'
10
E. Alvarez
7.1
↑ 63'
5
B. González
7.3
25
R. Alvarado
8.6
9
Á. Sepúlveda
6.7
↑ 71'
Substitutes
33GJ. Rodríguez
2DÁ. Leyva
22MC. Baltazar↓ 71'6.8
11ME. Gómez↓ 90'6.8
24MA. Organista↓ 79'6.7
3MA. Herrera
34ML. Camilo
16MA. Ramirez
27MB. Garnica
29FE. Mustre↓ 71'7.2
Coach: Gerardo Espinoza
Top stats
35%Possession65%
0.59Expected goals (xG)1.86
7Total shots24
3Shots on target8
1Big chances2
1Corners7
Shots
3Shots off target14
1Blocked shots2
1Shots inside box16
6Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed2
1.9Goals prevented-0.19
Attack
3Touches in box37
53Final third entries58
12Free kicks7
Passing
352Passes644
286Accurate passes574
36/68 (53%)Long balls25/41 (61%)
0/6 (0%)Crosses7/23 (30%)
10Throw-ins15
Duels
46Duels54
28/55 (51%)Ground duels27/54 (50%)
10/28 (36%)Aerial duels18/28 (64%)
4/11 (36%)Dribbles8/13 (62%)
6Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles13
58Tackles won54
5Interceptions5
41Clearances10
50Recoveries56
Discipline
7Fouls12
Goalkeeping
7Saves2
2Big saves1
15Goal kicks4
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 34 bookmakers
Who winsGuadalajara to win (DNB) 78% · 1.21 @ Betano
1X2Guadalajara to win 61% · 1.52 @ Betano
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 1.65 @ 10bet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.90 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.52 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.21 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 21% · 4.75 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
1X2Puebla to win 17% · 6.29 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
5.28
Club Puebla ▼
4.37
Draw ▼
1.45
CD Guadalajara ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
2.54
Club Puebla or Draw ▼
1.18
Club Puebla or CD Guadalajara ▼
1.12
Draw or CD Guadalajara ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.72
Yes ▼
2.02
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50 ▲
13.13
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50 ▼
4.60
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.61
Over 2.50 ▼
2.30
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.50
Over 3.50 ▼
1.52
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.40
Over 4.50 ▼
1.21
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
4.42
Club Puebla ▲
1.18
CD Guadalajara ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
15.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50 ▲
9.00
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.13
Over 6.50 ▼
5.50
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50 ▼
3.57
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50 ▼
2.51
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.77
Over 9.50 ▼
1.93
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.23
Over 10.50 ▼
1.57
Under 10.50 ▲
1.1 – 1.8Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~11Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara to win (DNB)Who wins | 78% | 78% | 1.2 | Overpriced | high |
| Guadalajara to win1X2 | 61% | 61% | 1.51 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 58% | 58% | 1.61 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 50% | 50% | 1.83 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 62% | 62% | 1.5 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 79% | 79% | 1.18 | Overpriced | high |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 54% | 54% | 1.72 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 21% | 21% | 4.33 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 61% | 61% | 1.52 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 64% | 63% | 1.47 | Fair | medium |
| Puebla to win1X2 | 17% | 17% | 5.41 | Overpriced | low |
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 78% | +1% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 56% | +2% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 38% | -2% | No |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 59% | -5% | No |
| Home win | 17% | 48% | -31% | No |
| Draw | 21% | 23% | -2% | No |
| Away win | 61% | 28% | +33% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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