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Diego Mejia
Atlético San Luis
Club Tijuana
Atlético San Luis
3-1-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Club Tijuana
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
14'
M. A. García · Foul
33'
I. Tona · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
56'
🔁
Y. Padilla ◂ D. Abreu
56'
🔁
I. Rivero ◂ F. Boya
62'
🔁
A. Cruz ◂ M. A. García
62'
🔁
F. Mora ◂ L. Flores
66'
P. N. Ortíz · Foul
74'
🔁
R. Nájera ◂ Sergio
74'
🔁
M. E. Ghezouani ◂ G. Mora
84'
🔁
S. Muñoz ◂ D. Rodriguez
84'
🔁
A. Duarte ◂ L. Esteves
86'
🔁
J. Vega ◂ R. Árciga
Full-time · 0–0
Coaches
Diego MejiaSebastian Abreu 
Recent form
Atlético San LuisDATigres UANL2-2
LHCruz Azul2-3
WHMineros de Zacatecas4-0
WHSporting FC4-0
WAAtlas FC1-0
Club TijuanaWHClub León1-0
WHTigres UANL3-1
WASan Jose Earthquakes2-1
DACD Guadalajara0-0
WHCF Pachuca3-1
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+
Disney+ Premium Chile
ESPN Mexico
Disney+ Premium Chile
Match facts
Stadium
Alfonso Lastras Ramirez
City
San Luis de Potosi
Kickoff
01 Aug, 03:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
Atlético San Luis
3-1-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Club Tijuana
1
A. Sánchez
6.9
3
R. Bambu
8.0
18
A. Cruz
6.8
↑ 62'
31
E. Águila
7.5
21
O. Macías
7.3
2
R. Torres
7.0
17
A. Duarte
6.7
↑ 84'
10
S. Salles-Lamonge
7.6
19
S. Muñoz
6.9
↑ 84'
99
F. Mora
6.6
↑ 62'
8
R. Nájera
6.4
↑ 74'
2
A. Rodríguez
7.3
3
R. Fernández
6.7
12
J. Porozo
6.9
6
J. Gómez
7.7
33
P. N. Ortíz
6.8
8
I. Tona
7.0
16
J. Vega
6.5
↑ 86'
15
I. Rivero
6.7
↑ 56'
9
M. E. Ghezouani
6.8
↑ 74'
7
A. Preciado
7.0
31
Y. Padilla
6.7
↑ 56'
Substitutes
25GG. Lajud
16DL. Esteves↓ 84'6.6
30DB. Galindo
14MM. A. García↓ 62'6.7
22MSergio↓ 74'6.5
13MJ. Caicedo
26MS. P. Bouquet
5MR. Meraz
20FL. Flores↓ 62'7.2
11FD. Rodriguez↓ 84'7.1
Coach: Diego Mejia
Substitutes
29GJ. Hernández
18DA. Mejía
188DA. Magallon
17MR. Árciga↓ 86'6.9
34MF. Boya↓ 56'6.6
10MG. Mora↓ 74'6.6
20MÁ. Zapata
26MA. Pérez
19FD. Abreu↓ 56'6.4
202J. González
Coach: Sebastian Abreu
Top stats
69%Possession31%
0.47Expected goals (xG)0.29
14Total shots6
2Shots on target1
0Big chances1
5Corners1
Shots
10Shots off target4
2Blocked shots1
8Shots inside box3
6Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances missed1
0.03Goals prevented0.18
Attack
14Touches in box9
98Final third entries31
0Offsides1
10Free kicks6
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
670Passes302
614Accurate passes239
11/20 (55%)Long balls28/56 (50%)
4/13 (31%)Crosses2/9 (22%)
15Throw-ins15
Duels
49Duels51
23/49 (47%)Ground duels26/49 (53%)
13/24 (54%)Aerial duels11/24 (46%)
6/13 (46%)Dribbles6/11 (55%)
9Dispossessed3
Defending
8Tackles16
75Tackles won75
3Interceptions9
13Clearances20
41Recoveries35
Discipline
6Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
0Big saves1
5Goal kicks19
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 34 bookmakers
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.67 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 71% · 1.43 @ Betway
1X2Draw 28% · 3.53 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.72 @ Novibet
Who winsSan Luis to win (DNB) 59% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.92 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.30 @ Betano
1X2Tijuana to win 30% · 3.20 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.37 @ Pinnacle
1X2San Luis to win 42% · 2.32 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 51% · 1.87 @ Novibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.14
Atlético San Luis ▼
3.19
Draw ▼
3.02
Club Tijuana ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.34
Atlético San Luis or Draw ▼
1.28
Atlético San Luis or Club Tijuana ▼
1.61
Draw or Club Tijuana ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.66
Yes ▼
2.09
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▼
9.84
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50 ▼
3.63
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.88
Over 2.50 ▼
1.93
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.18
Over 3.50 ▼
1.35
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50 ▼
1.13
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.58
Atlético San Luis ▼
2.18
Club Tijuana ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
13.50
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.04
Over 4.50 ▲
9.00
Under 4.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.12
Over 5.50 ▲
5.60
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.24
Over 6.50 ▼
3.63
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.46
Over 7.50 ▼
2.49
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.81
Over 8.50 ▼
1.86
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.35
Over 9.50 ▲
1.52
Under 9.50 ▲
1.5 – 1.4Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~9Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.27
we give it 74 chances out of 100 at a fair price
74%
likely
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 61% | 61% | 1.51 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 71% | 71% | 1.29 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 28% | 28% | 3.31 | Overpriced | low |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 55% | 55% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| San Luis to win (DNB)Who wins | 59% | 59% | 1.57 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 51% | 50% | 1.87 | Fair | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 74% | 73% | 1.27 | Fair | high |
| Tijuana to win1X2 | 30% | 30% | 3.14 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 70% | 70% | 1.33 | Overpriced | medium |
| San Luis to win1X2 | 42% | 42% | 2.19 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 51% | 51% | 1.82 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Over 8.5 corners — we say 57%, they say 51%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 78% | -4% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 56% | -5% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 38% | -8% | No |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 59% | -4% | No |
| Home win | 42% | 48% | -6% | No |
| Draw | 28% | 23% | +5% | Yes |
| Away win | 30% | 28% | +2% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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