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Hernan Crespo
Atlas FC
CF Monterrey
Atlas FC
4-2-2-2 · 3-4-2-1
CF Monterrey
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
18'
V. Ríos · Foul
19'
J. Sánchez · Foul
28'
⚽
D. Rossi0–1
40'
L. Esteves · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
45'+3
🔁
G. Ferrareis ◂ J. Sánchez
45'+3
🔁
S. Hernandez ◂ L. Esteves
47'
M. Capasso · Foul
49'
E. Zaldívar · Foul
57'
D. Aceves · Foul
64'
🔁
G. Arteaga ◂ D. Aceves
64'
🔁
R. Chávez ◂ L. Orellano
71'
Duk · Violent conduct
73'
VAR
Card check · Duk
75'
🔁
J. Rodríguez ◂ O. Pineda
75'
🔁
F. Ambríz ◂ J. Corona
77'
🔁
P. Ramírez ◂ A. González
84'
🔁
J. Martín ◂ R. Mmaee
84'
🔁
J. Lozano ◂ E. Zaldívar
86'
🔁
I. Fimbres ◂ Ó. Torres
88'
C. Salcedo · Foul
Full-time · 0–2
90'+3
VAR
Penalty check · F. Ambríz
90'+5
C. Salcedo · Violent conduct
90'+5
M. Valenzuela · Violent conduct
90'+7
⚽
L. Ocampos (pen)0–2
Coaches
Hernan CrespoMatías Almeyda 
Recent form
Atlas FCWASantos Laguna1-0
WAClub León3-2
LHClub Puebla3-4
WHTepatitlán FC5-0
DHClub Necaxa0-0
CF MonterreyLAClub Necaxa1-2
WHSantos Laguna3-2
DAAtlante FC1-1
WACancún FC4-1
LASantos Laguna0-3
Where to watch
ViX
ViX
Betano
ViX
ViX
TUDNViX
TUDNViX
ViX
TUDNViX
TUDNViX
Canal 5 TelevisaTUDNViX
TUDNViX
TUDNViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
TUDNViX
TUDNTUDN USAUnivisionUnivision Now
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Jalisco
City
Guadalajara
Referee
Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina
Kickoff
02 Aug, 01:05 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
Atlas FC
4-2-2-2 · 3-4-2-1
CF Monterrey
12
C. Vargas
7.0
2
G. Ferrareis
6.8
↑ 45'
28
M. Capasso
6.2
21
R. Schlegel
6.5
16
M. Valenzuela
6.3
17
J. Lozano
6.2
↑ 84'
27
V. Ríos
6.6
15
P. Ramírez
6.2
↑ 77'
23
S. Hernandez
6.7
↑ 45'
11
Duk
6.5
203
J. Martín
6.5
↑ 84'
22
L. Cárdenas
7.3
4
V. Guzmán
7.4
13
C. Salcedo
6.6
2
R. Chávez
6.6
↑ 64'
3
G. Arteaga
6.9
↑ 64'
30
J. Rodríguez
6.9
↑ 75'
11
I. Fimbres
7.1
↑ 86'
5
F. Ambríz
6.6
↑ 75'
7
L. Ocampos
8.7
9
D. Rossi
7.0
99
H. Cuypers
6.1
Substitutes
22GA. Sánchez
3DJ. Sánchez↓ 45'6.1
13DG. Aguirre
44DJ. Purata
6ME. Zaldívar↓ 84'6.8
10ML. Esteves↓ 45'6.4
208MJ. Guillén
58FA. González↓ 77'6.8
8FR. Mmaee↓ 84'6.6
197D. Román
Coach: Hernan Crespo
Substitutes
31GC. Ramos
19DD. Aceves↓ 64'6.8
21DL. Reyes
8MÓ. Torres↓ 86'7.4
17MJ. Corona↓ 75'7.2
25MO. Pineda↓ 75'6.6
10ML. Orellano↓ 64'6.5
18MC. Garza
27FR. de la Rosa
32FUroš Đurđević
Coach: Matías Almeyda
Top stats
47%Possession53%
0.43Expected goals (xG)1.83
9Total shots13
1Shots on target4
0Big chances2
6Corners2
Shots
5Shots off target6
3Blocked shots3
5Shots inside box6
4Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
-0.14Goals prevented0.11
Attack
21Touches in box19
38Final third entries38
17Free kicks12
4Fouled in final third5
Passing
396Passes456
327Accurate passes392
31/49 (63%)Long balls24/45 (53%)
2/22 (9%)Crosses3/9 (33%)
16Throw-ins20
Duels
50Duels50
41/76 (54%)Ground duels34/75 (45%)
10/25 (40%)Aerial duels16/26 (62%)
4/17 (24%)Dribbles8/24 (33%)
2Dispossessed3
Defending
20Tackles14
75Tackles won79
8Interceptions7
17Clearances30
43Recoveries42
Discipline
13Fouls17
5Yellow cards2
2Red cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
1Big saves1
9Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
1X2Draw 29% · 3.53 @ Pinnacle
1X2Monterrey to win 35% · 2.88 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 2.05 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.81 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.37 @ betfair
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.80 @ Bwin
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
Who winsAtlas to win (DNB) 51% · 1.92 @ Pinnacle
1X2Atlas to win 36% · 2.66 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.56
Atlas FC
3.19
Draw
2.69
CF Monterrey ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.43
Atlas FC or Draw
1.32
Atlas FC or CF Monterrey
1.46
Draw or CF Monterrey
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.97
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▼
10.63
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.20
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50 ▲
1.75
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.47
Over 3.50 ▲
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.88
Over 4.50 ▼
1.14
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.82
Atlas FC
1.90
CF Monterrey ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
15.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
9.00
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.13
Over 6.50 ▼
5.00
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50 ▲
3.11
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.59
Over 8.50 ▼
2.22
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.99
Over 9.50 ▼
1.71
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.53
Over 10.50 ▲
1.45
Under 10.50 ▼
1.4 – 1.4Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~9Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.31
we give it 72 chances out of 100 at a fair price
72%
likely
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw1X2 | 29% | 29% | 3.19 | Overpriced | low |
| Monterrey to win1X2 | 35% | 35% | 2.69 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 52% | 53% | 1.75 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 60% | 60% | 1.54 | Overpriced | low |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 53% | 53% | 1.75 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 73% | 73% | 1.27 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 72% | 71% | 1.31 | Fair | high |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 52% | 52% | 1.78 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 62% | 62% | 1.48 | Overpriced | medium |
| Atlas to win (DNB)Who wins | 51% | 51% | 1.82 | Overpriced | low |
| Atlas to win1X2 | 36% | 36% | 2.56 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Over 2.5 goals — we say 54%, they say 47%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 78% | -6% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 56% | -8% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 38% | -11% | No |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 58% | -5% | No |
| Home win | 36% | 48% | -12% | No |
| Draw | 29% | 23% | +6% | Yes |
| Away win | 35% | 28% | +7% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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