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Miguel Herrera
Atlante FC
CD Toluca
Atlante FC
5-3-2 · 5-3-2
CD Toluca
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
49310 EUR · live
Away
2.56 · implied 39.1%
77.9%
+38.8 vs price
Home
4.2 · implied 23.8%
13.6%
-10.2 vs price
Draw
2.7 · implied 37.0%
8.8%
-28.2 vs price
Half time
238 EUR · live
Home
5.8 · implied 17.2%
54.6%
+37.3 vs price
Away
3.55 · implied 28.2%
25.6%
-2.6 vs price
Draw
2.2 · implied 45.5%
19.3%
-26.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
16583 EUR · live
Under
1.22 · implied 82.0%
76.0%
-6.0 vs price
Over
5.5 · implied 18.2%
24.1%
+5.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4670 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
96.5%
-1.5 vs price
Over
38.0 · implied 2.6%
3.5%
+0.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
13'
A. Quirós · Foul
29'
🔁
W. Clar ◂ E. Jiménez
Half-time · 0–0
53'
🔁
M. Sarrafiore ◂ O. Vázquez
60'
🔁
P. Pérez ◂ D. Barbosa
60'
🔁
Helinho ◂ J. R. Angulo
74'
🔁
F. Arce Jr. ◂ É. Gutiérrez
75'
🔁
H. Gonzalez ◂ L. García
80'
🔁
J. Moxica ◂ L. Puente
82'
🔁
V. Guzmán ◂ J. Díaz
Full-time · 0–0
90'+9
N. Carrera · Foul
Coaches
Miguel HerreraAntonio Mohamed 
Recent form
Atlante FCWACruz Azul3-2
DHClub América1-1
LAClub Necaxa1-2
DHCD Toluca3-3
DHCF Monterrey1-1
CD TolucaWHClub Necaxa3-1
LHPumas UNAM1-2
WACD Guadalajara2-0
DAAtlante FC3-3
LACancún FC0-1
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Azteca
City
Mexico City
Kickoff
15 Aug, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
Atlante FC
5-3-2 · 5-3-2
CD Toluca
1
Ó. Jiménez
6.8
29
W. Portales
7.5
6
N. Carrera
7.2
4
E. Tercero
8.0
44
A. Quirós
6.5
37
W. Clar
7.2
↑ 29'
30
M. Sarrafiore
6.9
↑ 53'
8
E. Pizzuto
6.5
19
L. Calzadilla
7.1
11
J. Moxica
6.6
↑ 80'
7
J. Julio
6.7
1
H. Gonzalez
7.2
↑ 75'
11
Helinho
6.5
↑ 60'
4
Bruno Méndez
6.9
6
F. Pereira
8.2
25
E. López
7.9
17
B. García
7.5
15
P. Pérez
6.4
↑ 60'
5
F. Romero
7.1
24
F. Arce Jr.
6.7
↑ 74'
7
V. Guzmán
6.8
↑ 82'
16
F. Viñas
6.1
Substitutes
33GJ. García
3DL. Sánchez
32DD. Bagüí
14DC. Alfaro
34ME. Jiménez↓ 29'7.2
10MO. Vázquez↓ 53'6.1
16MJ. González
21MJ. Ibarra
13MM. García
9FL. Puente↓ 80'6.8
Coach: Miguel Herrera
Substitutes
22GL. García↓ 75'7.6
2DD. Barbosa↓ 60'7.0
184DS. Aceves
3DA. Briseño
13DLuan
35MÉ. Gutiérrez↓ 74'7.1
10MJ. R. Angulo↓ 60'6.9
29MJ. Díaz↓ 82'6.0
192ML. Navarrete
23FO. Virgen
Coach: Antonio Mohamed
Top stats
43%Possession57%
0.88Expected goals (xG)0.86
14Total shots11
5Shots on target2
2Big chances1
8Corners7
Shots
5Shots off target4
4Blocked shots5
6Shots inside box4
8Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances missed1
0.11Goals prevented0.79
Attack
26Touches in box16
53Final third entries67
3Offsides3
7Free kicks9
0Fouled in final third1
Passing
378Passes511
280Accurate passes408
16/53 (30%)Long balls39/74 (53%)
3/14 (21%)Crosses3/15 (20%)
28Throw-ins22
Duels
49Duels51
42/85 (49%)Ground duels43/85 (51%)
16/34 (47%)Aerial duels18/34 (53%)
9/20 (45%)Dribbles7/18 (39%)
16Dispossessed15
Defending
26Tackles27
54Tackles won67
8Interceptions14
22Clearances41
66Recoveries60
Discipline
9Fouls7
2Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
1Big saves1
9Goal kicks6
0Punches3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsToluca to win (DNB) 79% · 1.33 @ merkurxtip
1X2Toluca to win 62% · 1.95 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 1.77 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.90 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.23 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 22% · 2.95 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.57 @ Betway
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.07 @ Bet365
1X2Atlante to win 16% · 5.20 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
5.21
Atlante FC
4.03
Draw
1.57
CD Toluca
Double Chanceconsensus
2.27
Atlante FC or Draw
1.22
Atlante FC or CD Toluca
1.14
Draw or CD Toluca ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.69
Yes
2.05
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50 ▲
12.31
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.37
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.63
Over 2.50
2.19
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.58
Over 3.50
1.46
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.18
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.95
Atlante FC
1.21
CD Toluca ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
17.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
9.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
4.70
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
3.38
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.40
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.87
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.33
Over 10.50 ▲
1.52
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
CD Toluca to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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