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Renato Paiva
Santos Laguna
CD Guadalajara
Santos Laguna
5-3-2 · 3-1-4-2
CD Guadalajara
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
170534 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
83.3%
-14.7 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.5%
+8.4 vs price
Draw
27.0 · implied 3.7%
8.2%
+4.5 vs price
Half time
625 EUR · live
Away
2.28 · implied 43.9%
49.6%
+5.8 vs price
Home
6.2 · implied 16.1%
42.6%
+26.4 vs price
Draw
2.46 · implied 40.7%
7.7%
-33.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
56248 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.2%
-16.9 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
17.9%
+17.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
457 EUR · live
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
72.5%
-16.8 vs price
Over
9.2 · implied 10.9%
27.4%
+16.5 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
53'
🔁
R. Sordo ◂ E. Aguirre
53'
🔁
S. Sandoval ◂ R. Ledezma
64'
🔁
E. Alvarez ◂ J. Carrillo
66'
🔁
K. Palacios ◂ D. González
66'
🔁
S. Mariscal ◂ A. Lopez Vargas
73'
VAR
Penalty check · S. Sandoval
75'
⚽
R. Marín0–1
81'
🔁
Á. Sepúlveda ◂ R. Marín
81'
🔁
F. González ◂ H. Camberos
82'
🔁
M. Gómez ◂ B. Gutiérrez
84'
🔁
T. Jiménez ◂ E. Orona
Full-time · 0–1
90'+5
M. Cuevas · Foul
Coaches
Renato PaivaGabriel Milito 
Recent form
Santos LagunaLAClub América0-3
LHAtlas FC0-1
LACF Monterrey2-3
LHAmérica de Cali0-1
WANew York Cosmos2-1
CD GuadalajaraDAClub Puebla1-1
WHFC Juárez1-0
LHCD Toluca0-2
DACorrecaminos UAT0-0
LHCruz Azul1-2
Where to watch
Betano
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio TSM Corona
City
Torreon
Kickoff
17 Aug, 01:10 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
Santos Laguna
5-3-2 · 3-1-4-2
CD Guadalajara
1
C. Acevedo
7.2
3
M. Cuevas
6.8
29
T. Jiménez
6.4
↑ 84'
18
F. Pardo
6.7
25
F. Sánchez
7.2
17
E. Echeverría
6.2
21
F. Villalba
6.8
8
S. Mariscal
6.8
↑ 66'
10
E. Bullaude
6.7
77
K. Palacios
6.8
↑ 66'
26
R. Sordo
6.2
↑ 53'
1
R. Rangel
7.2
3
D. Campillo
7.5
16
L. G. Rey
7.5
7
L. Romo
7.7
28
F. González
6.8
↑ 81'
30
S. Sandoval
7.3
↑ 53'
6
O. Govea
7.3
10
E. Alvarez
6.5
↑ 64'
24
M. Gómez
6.7
↑ 82'
9
Á. Sepúlveda
6.6
↑ 81'
25
R. Alvarado
7.1
Substitutes
33GH. Holguin
14DE. Orona↓ 84'5.9
28DJ. Pérez
4DJ. Abella
22DK. Picon
5MA. Lopez Vargas↓ 66'6.6
15MJ. Mancha
6MJ. Güemez
7FD. González↓ 66'6.7
19FE. Aguirre↓ 53'6.3
Coach: Renato Paiva
Top stats
39%Possession61%
0.71Expected goals (xG)1.58
11Total shots12
2Shots on target5
0Big chances1
5Corners7
Shots
5Shots off target4
4Blocked shots3
6Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box5
2Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
0.3Goals prevented0.29
Attack
9Touches in box28
38Final third entries74
3Offsides4
12Free kicks7
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
412Passes660
345Accurate passes591
20/47 (43%)Long balls26/44 (59%)
2/11 (18%)Crosses5/19 (26%)
20Throw-ins10
Duels
48Duels52
28/58 (48%)Ground duels30/58 (52%)
8/17 (47%)Aerial duels9/17 (53%)
5/11 (45%)Dribbles10/14 (71%)
6Dispossessed7
Defending
11Tackles12
64Tackles won75
8Interceptions7
16Clearances19
44Recoveries48
Discipline
8Fouls12
1Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
1Big saves0
10Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 67 bookmakers
Who winsGuadalajara to win (DNB) 77% · 1.34 @ merkurxtip
1X2Guadalajara to win 52% · 1.93 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.92 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.55 @ Interwetten
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 5.80 @ merkurxtip
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.72 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.20 @ betfair
1X2Draw 24% · 3.06 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.64 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
1X2Santos to win 23% · 5.50 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
5.11
Santos Laguna ▼
4.21
Draw ▼
1.53
CD Guadalajara ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
2.33
Santos Laguna or Draw ▼
1.20
Santos Laguna or CD Guadalajara ▲
1.15
Draw or CD Guadalajara ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes ▲
2.16
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
14.26
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50
4.81
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.53
Over 2.50
2.34
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.33
Over 3.50 ▼
1.54
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.03
Over 4.50
1.21
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.93
Santos Laguna ▼
1.21
CD Guadalajara
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
11.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
7.70
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.15
Over 6.50
4.95
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.35
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50
2.41
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.84
Over 9.50
1.86
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.34
Over 10.50 ▲
1.52
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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