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Gerardo Espinoza
Club Puebla
Santos Laguna
Club Puebla
4-4-1-1 · 4-2-3-1
Santos Laguna
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
44568 EUR · live
Home
1.05 · implied 95.2%
56.8%
-38.4 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
33.2%
+33.1 vs price
Draw
25.0 · implied 4.0%
10.0%
+5.9 vs price
Half time
102 EUR · live
Home
2.88 · implied 34.7%
97.0%
+62.2 vs price
Draw
1.94 · implied 51.5%
2.0%
-49.6 vs price
Away
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
4359 EUR · live
Under
4.0 · implied 25.0%
66.7%
+41.7 vs price
Over
1.33 · implied 75.2%
33.3%
-41.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1656 EUR · live
Under
1.36 · implied 73.5%
73.1%
-0.4 vs price
Over
3.7 · implied 27.0%
26.8%
-0.2 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Player of the match
Match events
4'
⚽
F. Almada0–1
9'
⚽
E. Mustre · assist C. Baltazar1–1
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
R. Sordo ◂ D. González
51'
⚽
E. Bullaude · assist F. Villalba1–2
54'
⚽
E. Mustre · assist J. Vargas2–2
62'
⚽
C. Baltazar · assist B. Garnica3–2
67'
🔁
K. Palacios ◂ E. Aguirre
67'
🔁
K. Picon ◂ E. Echeverría
74'
🔁
Ó. Villa ◂ C. Baltazar
80'
🔁
L. Camilo ◂ B. Garnica
80'
🔁
J. Mancha ◂ A. Lopez Vargas
89'
🔁
L. Hernández ◂ E. Mustre
89'
🔁
J. Pachuca ◂ F. Monarrez
89'
🔁
S. Sanabria ◂ A. Organista
Full-time · 3–2
90'+1
K. Picon · Foul
Coaches
Gerardo EspinozaRenato Paiva 
Recent form
Club PueblaWACF Pachuca3-2
DHCD Guadalajara1-1
LACruz Azul1-2
WAFC Juárez1-0
WAAtlas FC4-3
Santos LagunaLHCD Guadalajara0-1
LAClub América0-3
LHAtlas FC0-1
LACF Monterrey2-3
LHAmérica de Cali0-1
Where to watch
ViX
ViX
ViX
Disney+ Premium NorteViX
Azteca 7Azteca DeportesESPN Mexico
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Cuauhtemoc
City
Puebla
Kickoff
23 Aug, 01:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
Club Puebla
4-4-1-1 · 4-2-3-1
Santos Laguna
28
D. Gutierrez
6.4
12
I. Moreno
6.7
5
F. Almada
6.3
4
J. Vargas
6.9
20
J. Pachuca
↑ 89'
34
L. Camilo
6.5
↑ 80'
21
S. Sanabria
↑ 89'
16
A. Ramirez
6.4
15
Ó. Villa
6.6
↑ 74'
26
K. Velasco
8.1
9
L. Hernández
↑ 89'
1
C. Acevedo
6.3
3
M. Cuevas
6.2
18
F. Pardo
6.7
25
F. Sánchez
6.6
22
K. Picon
6.9
↑ 67'
8
S. Mariscal
7.1
15
J. Mancha
6.6
↑ 80'
26
R. Sordo
6.9
↑ 46'
21
F. Villalba
7.0
10
E. Bullaude
6.9
77
K. Palacios
6.7
↑ 67'
Substitutes
33GJ. Rodríguez
7DF. Monarrez↓ 89'6.4
2DÁ. Leyva
22MC. Baltazar↓ 74'7.6
27MB. Garnica↓ 80'7.0
24MA. Organista↓ 89'6.9
3MA. Herrera
10MM. Tomás
8MO. M. Villegas
29FE. Mustre↓ 89'8.7
Coach: Gerardo Espinoza
Substitutes
33GH. Holguin
17DE. Echeverría↓ 67'5.6
14DE. Orona
4DJ. Abella
28DJ. Pérez
5MA. Lopez Vargas↓ 80'6.7
6MJ. Güemez
19FE. Aguirre↓ 67'6.6
7FD. González↓ 46'6.3
188FM. López
Coach: Renato Paiva
Top stats
38%Possession62%
1.02Expected goals (xG)0.37
16Total shots6
7Shots on target2
1Big chances0
6Corners7
Shots
9Shots off target3
0Blocked shots1
7Shots inside box3
9Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances missed0
-1.24Goals prevented-0.54
Attack
13Touches in box12
50Final third entries52
4Offsides2
8Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
327Passes539
277Accurate passes483
35/65 (54%)Long balls34/60 (57%)
6/19 (32%)Crosses3/19 (16%)
17Throw-ins15
Duels
47Duels53
37/75 (49%)Ground duels39/77 (51%)
4/13 (31%)Aerial duels9/13 (69%)
13/28 (46%)Dribbles7/17 (41%)
6Dispossessed7
Defending
16Tackles22
56Tackles won59
9Interceptions5
15Clearances15
45Recoveries33
Discipline
11Fouls8
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
7Goal kicks13
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.42 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.75 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 2.05 @ granmadrid
1X2Draw 26% · 2.75 @ hardrock
Who winsPuebla to win (DNB) 59% · 1.67 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Santos to win 31% · 3.60 @ granmadrid
1X2Puebla to win 43% · 2.50 @ hardrock
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.50 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.13
Club Puebla ▼
3.54
Draw ▼
3.01
Santos Laguna ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.35
Club Puebla or Draw ▲
1.27
Club Puebla or Santos Laguna ▲
1.65
Draw or Santos Laguna ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.54
Yes ▲
2.32
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.30
YES
1.28
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.50
YES
1.17
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.80
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50 ▲
4.23
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.63
Over 2.50 ▲
2.16
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.55
Over 3.50 ▲
1.45
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.70
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.56
Club Puebla ▼
2.25
Santos Laguna ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.58
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.37
Over 8.50
2.67
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.59
Over 9.50
2.15
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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