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Esteban Gonzalez
Querétaro FC
CD Toluca
Querétaro FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
CD Toluca
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
123094 EUR · live
Away
1.04 · implied 96.2%
55.3%
-40.9 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
28.4%
+28.3 vs price
Draw
20.0 · implied 5.0%
16.9%
+11.9 vs price
Half time
376 EUR · live
Away
2.94 · implied 34.0%
77.9%
+43.9 vs price
Home
5.2 · implied 19.2%
12.5%
-6.7 vs price
Draw
2.14 · implied 46.7%
9.3%
-37.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
53833 EUR · live
Under
1.39 · implied 71.9%
88.5%
+16.6 vs price
Over
3.45 · implied 29.0%
11.5%
-17.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
959 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
82.9%
-9.7 vs price
Over
17.0 · implied 5.9%
16.9%
+11.0 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
19'
A. Vega · Foul
30'
VAR
Card check · D. Barbosa
31'
D. Barbosa · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'+2
VAR
Penalty check · A. Ávila
45'+5
F. Arce Jr. · Foul
46'
🔁
B. García ◂ F. Arce Jr.
46'
🔁
N. Castro ◂ A. Vega
55'
A. Ávila · Argument
58'
🔁
M. Coronel ◂ A. Alcala
58'
🔁
I. Benito ◂ P. Victor
65'
⚽
Helinho0–1
74'
N. Castro · Simulation
74'
🔁
M. Martínez ◂ C. A. García
74'
🔁
W. Madrid ◂ B. Duarte
74'
🔁
J. Díaz ◂ J. R. Angulo
74'
🔁
Luan ◂ Helinho
79'
⚽
S. Homenchenko · assist D. Parra1–1
81'
I. Benito · Foul
85'
🔁
V. Guzmán ◂ Bruno Méndez
89'
S. Homenchenko · Argument
Full-time · 1–2
90'
⚽
F. Viñas (pen)1–2
90'+3
🔁
E. Perez ◂ D. Parra
Coaches
Esteban GonzalezAntonio Mohamed 
Recent form
Querétaro FCDAPumas UNAM0-0
WHTigres UANL3-2
WACF Pachuca2-1
LHClub América0-1
WAAustin FC1-0
CD TolucaDAAtlante FC0-0
WHClub Necaxa3-1
LHPumas UNAM1-2
WACD Guadalajara2-0
DAAtlante FC3-3
Where to watch
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
TUDNViX
TUDNViX
ViX
FOX+TUDNViX
TUDNViX
ViX
ViX
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio La Corregidora
City
Santiago de Queretaro
Kickoff
22 Aug, 03:10 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
Querétaro FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
CD Toluca
25
G. Allison
6.2
29
W. Madrid
6.6
↑ 74'
13
D. Reyes
6.9
2
L. Abascia
5.9
26
E. Perez
↑ 90'
30
M. Martínez
6.3
↑ 74'
5
S. Homenchenko
8.0
16
E. Giménez
6.1
11
M. Coronel
6.7
↑ 58'
7
I. Benito
6.0
↑ 58'
9
A. Ávila
6.2
1
H. Gonzalez
6.9
2
D. Barbosa
5.9
7
V. Guzmán
6.5
↑ 85'
6
F. Pereira
7.1
25
E. López
6.3
5
F. Romero
7.4
17
B. García
6.7
↑ 46'
13
Luan
6.3
↑ 74'
29
J. Díaz
6.3
↑ 74'
8
N. Castro
6.8
↑ 46'
16
F. Viñas
8.2
Substitutes
1GJ. Hernández
12DP. Victor↓ 58'6.7
24DB. Duarte↓ 74'6.7
27DD. Parra↓ 90'5.9
4MC. A. García↓ 74'7.0
20MA. Alcala↓ 58'6.8
18ME. Dueñas
8MB. Parra
23MJ. E. Robles
22MJ. Unjanque
Coach: Esteban Gonzalez
Substitutes
12GR. Dimas
4DBruno Méndez↓ 85'7.0
3DA. Briseño
11MHelinho↓ 74'8.2
10MJ. R. Angulo↓ 74'7.0
9MA. Vega↓ 46'6.8
24MF. Arce Jr.↓ 46'6.2
35MÉ. Gutiérrez
15MP. Pérez
23FO. Virgen
Coach: Antonio Mohamed
Top stats
50%Possession50%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.5
18Total shots18
3Shots on target3
2Big chances2
7Corners6
Shots
9Shots off target11
6Blocked shots4
11Shots inside box9
7Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
-0.61Goals prevented-0.4
Attack
26Touches in box16
62Final third entries51
1Offsides0
7Free kicks14
1Fouled in final third4
Passing
370Passes385
300Accurate passes310
24/51 (47%)Long balls29/64 (45%)
10/33 (30%)Crosses4/13 (31%)
19Throw-ins19
Duels
35Duels65
21/64 (33%)Ground duels43/64 (67%)
13/33 (39%)Aerial duels20/33 (61%)
4/12 (33%)Dribbles13/20 (65%)
7Dispossessed5
Defending
12Tackles15
83Tackles won80
4Interceptions8
24Clearances31
46Recoveries51
Discipline
15Fouls8
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
12Goal kicks13
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsToluca to win (DNB) 66% · 1.50 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Toluca to win 51% · 2.25 @ hardrock
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.66 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.38 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 2.76 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 3.52 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.83 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.88 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.58 @ bet9ja
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.77 @ 10bet
1X2Querétaro to win 24% · 4.10 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.83
Querétaro FC ▼
3.85
Draw ▲
1.79
CD Toluca ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.93
Querétaro FC or Draw ▲
1.24
Querétaro FC or CD Toluca ▲
1.24
Draw or CD Toluca ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.52
Yes
2.37
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
5.25
YES
1.12
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
7.75
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.55
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50 ▼
4.71
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.54
Over 2.50 ▼
2.34
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.33
Over 3.50 ▼
1.54
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.15
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.72
Querétaro FC
1.40
CD Toluca
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.00
Over 4.50
13.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
9.60
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
5.21
Under 6.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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