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Hernan Crespo
Atlas FC
Querétaro FC
Atlas FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Querétaro FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
45621 EUR · live
Home
2.62 · implied 38.2%
83.8%
+45.6 vs price
Away
4.3 · implied 23.3%
13.4%
-9.8 vs price
Draw
2.62 · implied 38.2%
2.9%
-35.3 vs price
Half time
227 EUR · live
Draw
1.73 · implied 57.8%
42.7%
-15.1 vs price
Away
4.7 · implied 21.3%
41.9%
+20.6 vs price
Home
3.05 · implied 32.8%
15.0%
-17.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
10234 EUR · live
Under
4.1 · implied 24.4%
53.5%
+29.1 vs price
Over
1.31 · implied 76.3%
48.0%
-28.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3265 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
95.8%
-2.3 vs price
Over
27.0 · implied 3.7%
4.2%
+0.5 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Player of the match
Match events
12'
🔁
P. Ramírez ◂ E. Zaldívar
35'
VAR
Penalty check · S. Homenchenko
39'
⚽
S. Homenchenko (pen)0–1
42'
⚽
C. A. García1–1
Half-time · 1–1
45'+2
E. Giménez · Foul
51'
M. Capasso · Foul
58'
🔁
J. Sánchez ◂ Duk
58'
🔁
S. Hernandez ◂ A. González
58'
🔁
I. Benito ◂ E. Giménez
67'
P. Victor · Foul
69'
🔁
A. Alcala ◂ P. Victor
70'
⚽
S. Homenchenko · assist I. Benito1–2
76'
⚽
C. A. García · assist A. Alcala1–3
78'
🔁
J. Serrato ◂ A. Rocha
78'
🔁
J. Rodríguez ◂ M. Valenzuela
82'
🔁
B. Parra ◂ M. Coronel
83'
🔁
E. Dueñas ◂ C. A. García
83'
🔁
C. Villanueva ◂ B. Duarte
Full-time · 1–3
Coaches
Hernan CrespoEsteban Gonzalez 
Recent form
Atlas FCWACruz Azul2-0
WHTigres UANL2-1
LHCF Monterrey0-2
WASantos Laguna1-0
WAClub León3-2
Querétaro FCLHCD Toluca1-2
DAPumas UNAM0-0
WHTigres UANL3-2
WACF Pachuca2-1
LHClub América0-1
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Jalisco
City
Guadalajara
Kickoff
29 Aug, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
Atlas FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Querétaro FC
12
C. Vargas
6.4
44
J. Purata
6.4
28
M. Capasso
5.6
21
R. Schlegel
6.2
5
J. Rodríguez
6.8
↑ 78'
15
P. Ramírez
6.1
↑ 12'
192
J. Serrato
6.8
↑ 78'
3
J. Sánchez
6.2
↑ 58'
23
S. Hernandez
6.4
↑ 58'
10
L. Esteves
7.0
9
F. Monzón
6.6
25
G. Allison
7.6
15
C. Villanueva
6.7
↑ 83'
13
D. Reyes
6.5
2
L. Abascia
7.1
27
D. Parra
8.1
18
E. Dueñas
6.7
↑ 83'
5
S. Homenchenko
8.6
7
I. Benito
6.9
↑ 58'
8
B. Parra
6.7
↑ 82'
20
A. Alcala
7.3
↑ 69'
9
A. Ávila
6.5
Substitutes
22GA. Sánchez
16DM. Valenzuela↓ 78'6.3
13DG. Aguirre
4DA. Mora
6ME. Zaldívar↓ 12'6.6
26MA. Rocha↓ 78'6.3
27MV. Ríos
11FDuk↓ 58'6.6
58FA. González↓ 58'6.6
203FJ. Martín
Coach: Hernan Crespo
Substitutes
1GJ. Hernández
24DB. Duarte↓ 83'6.9
12DP. Victor↓ 69'6.1
16ME. Giménez↓ 58'7.3
4MC. A. García↓ 83'6.6
23MJ. E. Robles
199MS. Garcia
29MW. Madrid
11FM. Coronel↓ 82'5.8
26FE. Perez
Coach: Esteban Gonzalez
Top stats
59%Possession41%
1.11Expected goals (xG)1.5
14Total shots12
3Shots on target5
0Big chances2
6Corners2
Shots
9Shots off target7
2Blocked shots0
11Shots inside box8
3Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-0.49Goals prevented-0.19
Attack
22Touches in box17
41Final third entries77
0Offsides1
14Free kicks7
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
507Passes360
414Accurate passes282
21/42 (50%)Long balls38/66 (58%)
11/23 (48%)Crosses1/12 (8%)
40Throw-ins25
Duels
51Duels49
40/84 (48%)Ground duels44/84 (52%)
13/20 (65%)Aerial duels7/20 (35%)
5/19 (26%)Dribbles11/18 (61%)
11Dispossessed15
Defending
22Tackles25
77Tackles won72
10Interceptions17
16Clearances25
38Recoveries48
Discipline
8Fouls14
0Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
1Big saves1
9Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.37 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.60 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365
Who winsAtlas to win (DNB) 62% · 1.57 @ Betano
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 4.33 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.38 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.05 @ 10bet
1X2Atlas to win 43% · 2.50 @ 10bet
1X2Querétaro to win 28% · 3.60 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.15
Atlas FC
3.23
Draw
3.30
Querétaro FC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.30
Atlas FC or Draw
1.30
Atlas FC or Querétaro FC
1.67
Draw or Querétaro FC
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.67
Yes
2.05
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.88
YES
1.36
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.90
YES
1.22
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.73
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.62
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.27
Over 1.50
3.52
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.87
Over 2.50
1.90
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.20
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.25
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.53
Atlas FC
2.35
Querétaro FC
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.55
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.37
Over 8.50
2.65
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.64
Over 9.50
2.07
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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