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Benjamin Mora
CF Pachuca
CD Guadalajara
CF Pachuca
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
CD Guadalajara
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
42512 EUR · live
Away
1.41 · implied 70.9%
94.1%
+23.1 vs price
Home
12.0 · implied 8.3%
3.3%
-5.0 vs price
Draw
4.8 · implied 20.8%
2.7%
-18.1 vs price
Half time
207 EUR · live
Away
1.32 · implied 75.8%
89.4%
+13.6 vs price
Home
14.5 · implied 6.9%
10.1%
+3.2 vs price
Draw
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
10931 EUR · live
Over
2.02 · implied 49.5%
70.7%
+21.2 vs price
Under
1.98 · implied 50.5%
29.3%
-21.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1014 EUR · live
Under
1.22 · implied 82.0%
64.0%
-18.0 vs price
Over
5.5 · implied 18.2%
35.8%
+17.6 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
3'
⚽
R. Alvarado · assist H. Camberos0–1
25'
O. Idrissi · Foul
32'
F. Venegas · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
51'
🔁
B. Gutiérrez ◂ E. Alvarez
53'
C. Sánchez · Foul
57'
🔁
R. Pizarro ◂ A. Bautista
59'
🔁
J. Carrillo ◂ H. Camberos
59'
🔁
R. Ledezma ◂ S. Sandoval
65'
🔁
A. Arroyo ◂ E. Montiel
65'
🔁
J. Vallejo ◂ O. Idrissi
74'
VAR
Penalty awarded · J. Vallejo
79'
⚽
S. Rondón (pen)1–1
84'
🔁
Á. Sepúlveda ◂ R. Marín
84'
🔁
K. Castañeda ◂ O. Govea
87'
🔁
A. Alcaraz ◂ Kenedy
Full-time · 1–1
90'
A. Arroyo · Foul
Coaches
Benjamin MoraGabriel Milito 
Recent form
CF PachucaDAAtlético San Luis1-1
LHClub Puebla2-3
LAClub León0-1
LHQuerétaro FC1-2
WAPumas UNAM3-0
CD GuadalajaraWHClub Tijuana5-2
WASantos Laguna1-0
DAClub Puebla1-1
WHFC Juárez1-0
LHCD Toluca0-2
Where to watch
FOX Mexico
Univision
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
City
Pachuca de Soto
Kickoff
29 Aug, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
CF Pachuca
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
CD Guadalajara
25
C. Moreno
7.1
14
C. Sánchez
6.7
13
J. Berlanga
6.3
2
S. Barreto
7.5
15
F. Venegas
6.4
28
A. Arroyo
6.7
↑ 65'
16
C. Rivera
7.3
7
R. Pizarro
6.8
↑ 57'
9
A. Alcaraz
6.6
↑ 87'
23
S. Rondón
6.7
21
J. Vallejo
7.0
↑ 65'
1
R. Rangel
7.8
24
M. Gómez
6.7
3
D. Campillo
6.8
7
L. Romo
7.2
33
J. Carrillo
6.4
↑ 59'
19
K. Castañeda
6.6
↑ 84'
28
F. González
6.8
37
R. Ledezma
6.2
↑ 59'
25
R. Alvarado
7.1
11
B. Gutiérrez
6.5
↑ 51'
9
Á. Sepúlveda
6.6
↑ 84'
Substitutes
31GJ. Eulogio
32DP. Budib
6DM. Isais
206DT. Contreras
11MO. Idrissi↓ 65'7.2
10ME. Montiel↓ 65'6.6
29MKenedy↓ 87'6.5
26MA. Bautista↓ 57'6.3
30MS. Rodríguez
187MG. Álvarez
Coach: Benjamin Mora
Substitutes
13GÓ. Whalley
14MH. Camberos↓ 59'7.5
30MS. Sandoval↓ 59'6.9
6MO. Govea↓ 84'6.9
18MJ. Perez
16ML. G. Rey
59MC. Inda
10FE. Alvarez↓ 51'6.7
17FR. Marín↓ 84'6.7
57FJ. Hernández
Coach: Gabriel Milito
Top stats
43%Possession57%
1.51Expected goals (xG)1.51
17Total shots12
7Shots on target5
1Big chances2
8Corners7
Shots
6Shots off target4
4Blocked shots3
10Shots inside box7
7Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
0.2Goals prevented0.15
Attack
18Touches in box20
61Final third entries34
3Offsides2
7Free kicks20
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
386Passes528
313Accurate passes460
26/55 (47%)Long balls23/42 (55%)
8/19 (42%)Crosses1/9 (11%)
24Throw-ins17
Duels
45Duels55
31/76 (41%)Ground duels45/76 (59%)
11/18 (61%)Aerial duels7/18 (39%)
4/13 (31%)Dribbles6/18 (33%)
11Dispossessed7
Defending
19Tackles20
53Tackles won60
11Interceptions12
18Clearances25
55Recoveries49
Discipline
20Fouls8
4Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves6
1Big saves1
8Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Guadalajara to win 42% · 2.60 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.70 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.65 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.20 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.00 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
Who winsPachuca to win (DNB) 51% · 2.30 @ Betway
1X2Pachuca to win 31% · 3.32 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.05
CF Pachuca
3.40
Draw
2.20
CD Guadalajara
Double Chanceconsensus
1.62
CF Pachuca or Draw
1.29
CF Pachuca or CD Guadalajara
1.33
Draw or CD Guadalajara
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.25
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
4.00
YES
1.20
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.10
YES
1.33
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.85
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.79
Over 2.50
1.99
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.95
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.71
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.20
CF Pachuca
1.61
CD Guadalajara
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.36
Over 7.50
2.70
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.66
Over 8.50
2.13
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.10
Over 9.50
1.69
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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