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Antonio Mohamed
CD Toluca
FC Juárez
CD Toluca
4-3-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
FC Juárez
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
65350 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.9%
-7.1 vs price
Away
800.0 · implied 0.1%
4.1%
+4.0 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.0%
+3.9 vs price
Half time
7795 EUR · live
Home
1.11 · implied 90.1%
82.5%
-7.6 vs price
Draw
10.5 · implied 9.5%
15.2%
+5.7 vs price
Away
44.0 · implied 2.3%
2.3%
0.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
36426 EUR · live
Over
1.6 · implied 62.5%
74.5%
+12.0 vs price
Under
2.66 · implied 37.6%
25.5%
-12.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3783 EUR · live
Under
1.31 · implied 76.3%
79.6%
+3.2 vs price
Over
4.3 · implied 23.3%
20.4%
-2.8 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Player of the match
Match events
10'
⚽
Helinho · assist E. López1–0
18'
VAR
Goal not given after review · O. Virgen
34'
⚽
J. Murillo2–0
35'
Helinho · Foul
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
J. Gallardo ◂ F. Pereira
46'
🔁
N. Castro ◂ A. Vega
58'
F. Nevarez · Argument
65'
🔁
G. Castilho ◂ Monchu
65'
🔁
A. Mayorga ◂ F. Nevarez
70'
🔁
F. Arce Jr. ◂ F. Romero
70'
🔁
F. Viñas ◂ Helinho
73'
⚽
O. Virgen3–0
74'
🔁
M. d. S. Silva ◂ G. Sepúlveda
79'
⚽
F. Viñas · assist O. Virgen4–0
81'
🔁
A. Briseño ◂ O. Virgen
81'
🔁
Ricardinho ◂ Ó. Estupiñán
81'
🔁
J. Sigala ◂ J. L. Rodríguez
Full-time · 4–0
Coaches
Antonio MohamedSalvador Valero García 
Recent form
CD TolucaWAQuerétaro FC2-1
DAAtlante FC0-0
WHClub Necaxa3-1
LHPumas UNAM1-2
WACD Guadalajara2-0
FC JuárezLHClub América1-2
LACF Monterrey1-6
LHPumas UNAM1-5
LACD Guadalajara0-1
LHClub Puebla0-1
Where to watch
ViX
ViX
BetanoYouTube - SportyNet
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
ViX
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Diez
City
Toluca
Kickoff
31 Aug, 00:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
CD Toluca
4-3-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
FC Juárez
1
H. Gonzalez
6.9
184
S. Aceves
7.6
13
Luan
7.5
20
J. Gallardo
6.9
↑ 46'
25
E. López
24
F. Arce Jr.
6.6
↑ 70'
16
F. Viñas
8.0
↑ 70'
8
N. Castro
7.1
↑ 46'
7
V. Guzmán
8.0
29
J. Díaz
7.5
3
A. Briseño
6.7
↑ 81'
1
S. Jurado
6.5
4
A. Mayorga
6.2
↑ 65'
3
J. Murillo
5.5
9
M. d. S. Silva
6.6
↑ 74'
20
J. Aquino
6.1
5
D. Garcia
6.8
13
R. Dourado
7.2
10
J. Torres
6.7
8
G. Castilho
6.2
↑ 65'
16
J. Sigala
6.5
↑ 81'
21
Ricardinho
6.4
↑ 81'
Substitutes
12GR. Beltran
6DF. Pereira↓ 46'7.7
4DBruno Méndez
11MHelinho↓ 70'8.2
5MF. Romero↓ 70'6.7
9MA. Vega↓ 46'6.5
192ML. Navarrete
15MP. Pérez
23FO. Virgen↓ 81'7.8
198FJ. Estrada
Coach: Antonio Mohamed
Substitutes
24GB. Díaz
33DF. Nevarez↓ 65'6.7
2DG. Sepúlveda↓ 74'6.3
14DE. López
23DH. Ortega
6MMonchu↓ 65'6.4
11MJ. L. Rodríguez↓ 81'6.3
201MJ. Carmona
7MR. Fulgencio
19FÓ. Estupiñán↓ 81'6.4
Coach: Salvador Valero García
Top stats
65%Possession35%
3.19Expected goals (xG)0.16
26Total shots6
9Shots on target2
4Big chances0
5Corners3
Shots
7Shots off target2
10Blocked shots2
20Shots inside box3
6Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
0.09Goals prevented-1.4
Attack
54Touches in box7
58Final third entries38
2Offsides0
8Free kicks11
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
665Passes360
596Accurate passes284
32/47 (68%)Long balls15/42 (36%)
8/19 (42%)Crosses1/13 (8%)
17Throw-ins13
Duels
45Duels55
30/66 (45%)Ground duels36/66 (55%)
7/17 (41%)Aerial duels10/17 (59%)
9/16 (56%)Dribbles13/18 (72%)
6Dispossessed8
Defending
13Tackles13
77Tackles won46
7Interceptions15
13Clearances27
54Recoveries44
Discipline
11Fouls8
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves6
0Big saves1
5Goal kicks9
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsToluca to win (DNB) 88% · 1.12 @ Bet365
1X2Toluca to win 72% · 1.57 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 3.10 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.80 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.49 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.67 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.04 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 16% · 3.40 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 56% · 1.80 @ 10bet
1X2Juárez to win 11% · 7.18 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.28
CD Toluca
5.60
Draw
8.40
FC Juárez
Double Chanceconsensus
1.05
CD Toluca or Draw
1.11
CD Toluca or FC Juárez
3.50
Draw or FC Juárez
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.10
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.25
YES
1.57
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
9.50
YES
1.03
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.40
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
17.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
16.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50
6.21
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.40
Over 2.50
2.87
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.05
Over 3.50
1.75
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.40
Over 4.50
1.29
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.10
CD Toluca
6.00
FC Juárez
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.29
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50
2.64
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.69
Over 9.50
2.07
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
CD Toluca to win or draw
✓
89% confidence
CD Toluca to avoid defeat
✓
88% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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