Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Necaxa host Puebla in a battle of inconsistency**, and honestly neither team's doing much to write home about this season. 🏟️
Necaxa are stuck in the mud — winless in their last five with a couple of draws keeping them from total disaster. Puebla have more pep in their step with two wins lately, but they just got **thumped 0-2 by América**, so form's choppy all around.
Key storylines:
- **Necaxa's attack needs teeth**: O. Domínguez and J. Valencia will have to carry the load up top if they're going to break down Puebla's backline, especially without extra firepower on the bench
- **Puebla's road struggles bite again**: A. Organista and M. Tomás haven't been lighting it up away from home — they'll need to match Necaxa's energy in a tricky midfield battle
- **H2H favors the hosts**: Necaxa have the historical edge here (10 wins to 7), which adds a small comfort factor at Victoria
Expected lineups:
- **Club Necaxa**: L. Jimenez, A. Oliveros, R. Martínez, K. Naves, L. Faravelli, J. Ruiz, J. Carranza, O. Domínguez
- **Club Puebla**: D. Gutierrez, F. Monarrez, J. Vargas, I. Moreno, S. Sanabria, L. Camilo, M. Tomás, E. Gómez
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both teams scrappy enough to nick a goal but not sharp enough to finish the job. Slight lean to the draw. 🤝
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.