Atlético San Luis vs Club Necaxa — live & stats

Where the money is

159571 EUR matched · captured 1 day, 5 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 9789 EUR · live

Away 3.65 · implied 27.4%

56.1%

+28.7 vs price

Home 2.9 · implied 34.5%

23.2%

-11.3 vs price

Draw 2.72 · implied 36.8%

21.0%

-15.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 33960 EUR · live

Over 1.27 · implied 78.7%

85.5%

+6.7 vs price

Under 4.5 · implied 22.2%

14.6%

-7.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 901 EUR · live

Under 1.15 · implied 87.0%

87.2%

+0.3 vs price

Over 6.0 · implied 16.7%

12.7%

-4.0 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

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Highlights 5 clips

Player of the match

Match events

10' ⚽ J. Carranza · assist J. Ruiz0–1

27' ⚽ F. Mora · assist D. Rodriguez1–1

Half-time · 1–1

54' ⚽ C. Andrade2–1

59' 🔁 E. Rodriguez ◂ K. Rosero

60' 🔁 M. Zaleta ◂ A. Oliveros

60' 🔁 M. Espíndola ◂ J. Ruiz

72' 🔁 J. Caicedo ◂ F. Mora

78' 🔁 J. Torres ◂ J. Valencia

78' 🔁 S. P. Bouquet ◂ D. Rodriguez

78' 🔁 L. Flores ◂ R. Llorente

80' P. Pedraza · Foul

81' ⚽ E. Águila3–1

87' 🔁 D. Leyva ◂ A. Peña

Full-time · 3–1

90' 🔁 Juanpe ◂ S. Salles-Lamonge

90' 🔁 R. Meraz ◂ A. Duarte

90'⁺⁵ A. Cruz · Foul

Coaches

Diego Mejia

Juan Maximo Reynoso

Recent form

Atlético San Luis

LAClub León0-2

LHCD Guadalajara0-3

WACF Monterrey3-1

DHCF Pachuca1-1

LAClub América0-3

Club Necaxa

LHClub Puebla0-1

DATigres UANL1-1

LHCruz Azul1-3

DAPumas UNAM1-1

LHClub León1-2

About this match

**Atlético San Luis is desperate for a W, and Necaxa's equally shaky form makes this a genuine toss-up.** Both teams are limping through the Apertura with injury and suspension woes piling up. 🔴

San Luis got a morale boost by dismantling Monterrey 3-1 last time out, but they've lost three of their last five overall. Necaxa is winless in five and just took a 3-1 hammering from Cruz Azul — they're in freefall.

Key storylines:

- **Atlético San Luis** needs to convert home-field advantage without Lopez, Medina, and Juanpe in the squad
- **Club Necaxa** is missing Tenorio (concussion) and Jimenez (suspension) and has zero wins in their last five
- Expect a **3-4-2-1 shape from both sides** — solid defensive setups, but attacking prowess will depend on whether Flores and Rodriguez (San Luis) or Ruiz and González (Necaxa) can find space

Expected lineups:

- **Atlético San Luis**: A. Sánchez, L. Esteves, E. Águila, R. Bambu, R. Torres, S. Salles-Lamonge, O. Macías, R. Llorente, D. Rodriguez, A. Duarte, L. Flores
- **Club Necaxa**: C. Andrade, M. Zaleta, A. Oliveros, R. Martínez, K. Naves, A. Peña, L. Faravelli, D. Leyva, J. Ruiz, J. Carranza, O. González

Prediction:

**Atlético San Luis 2–1 Club Necaxa.** Slight lean to the home side riding that Monterrey momentum, but Necaxa's injury chaos gives San Luis the edge.

Where to watch

ViX

Match facts

Stadium

Alfonso Lastras Ramirez

City

San Luis de Potosi

Referee

Katia García

4.72 yellows/match · 25 matches

Kickoff

19 Sep, 23:00 UTC

Competition

Liga MX Apertura

Highlights & clips

Atlético San Luis 3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1 Club Necaxa

25 G. Lajud 6.6 30 B. Galindo 7.0 31 E. Águila 7.1 18 A. Cruz 7.0 2 R. Torres 7.0 6 Juanpe ↑ 90' 21 O. Macías 7.5 5 R. Meraz ↑ 90' 26 S. P. Bouquet 6.7 ↑ 78' 20 L. Flores 6.7 ↑ 78' 13 J. Caicedo 6.9 ↑ 72' 1 C. Andrade 6.0 33 R. Martínez 6.4 6 D. Leyva 6.6 ↑ 87' 5 K. Naves 6.7 21 M. Espíndola 6.6 ↑ 60' 16 P. Pedraza 6.9 99 E. Rodriguez 6.8 ↑ 59' 9 J. Carranza 6.8 8 L. Faravelli 7.3 14 M. Zaleta 6.4 ↑ 60' 11 J. Torres 6.4 ↑ 78'

Substitutes

23GC. Lopez 10MS. Salles-Lamonge↓ 90'7.4 22MR. Llorente↓ 78'6.7 14MM. G. Álvarez 8MR. Nájera 7MB. Galdames 99FF. Mora↓ 72'7.4 17FA. Duarte↓ 90'7.0 11FD. Rodriguez↓ 78'6.9 19FS. Muñoz

Coach: Diego Mejia

Substitutes

181GJ. Orantes 4DA. Peña↓ 87'6.2 3DA. Oliveros↓ 60'6.1 88DC. A. V. Tenorio 15DD. Ochoa 2DE. Martínez 10MJ. Ruiz↓ 60'6.7 7MK. Rosero↓ 59'6.4 13MO. González 90FJ. Valencia↓ 78'6.4

Coach: Juan Maximo Reynoso

Top stats

59%Possession41%

1.72Expected goals (xG)0.64

12Total shots10

5Shots on target3

5Big chances1

2Corners5

Shots

4Shots off target3

3Blocked shots4

9Shots inside box8

3Shots outside box2

1Hit woodwork0

2Big chances scored1

3Big chances missed0

-0.1Goals prevented-0.78

Attack

24Touches in box18

55Final third entries42

1Offsides2

11Free kicks13

2Fouled in final third5

Passing

562Passes386

499Accurate passes330

26/48 (54%)Long balls30/50 (60%)

4/19 (21%)Crosses6/20 (30%)

14Throw-ins18

Duels

53Duels47

38/69 (55%)Ground duels31/69 (45%)

10/22 (45%)Aerial duels12/22 (55%)

5/11 (45%)Dribbles7/17 (41%)

5Dispossessed12

Defending

22Tackles11

59Tackles won36

6Interceptions9

13Clearances22

38Recoveries42

Discipline

13Fouls11

1Yellow cards1

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

10Goal kicks6

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers

San Luis 42%

27%

Necaxa 31%

BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.84 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.90 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 3.76 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.90 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 27% · 2.57 @ 1xBet

Who winsSan Luis to win (DNB) 59% · 1.68 @ Novibet

1X2Necaxa to win 31% · 3.28 @ 1xBet

1X2San Luis to win 42% · 2.60 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.18

Atlético San Luis

3.45

Draw

3.00

Club Necaxa

Double Chanceconsensus

1.33

Atlético San Luis or Draw

1.25

Atlético San Luis or Club Necaxa

1.66

Draw or Club Necaxa

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.56

Yes

2.29

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.20

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

11.80

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.21

Over 1.50

4.15

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.69

Over 2.50

2.10

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.69

Over 3.50

1.42

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.22

Over 4.50

1.13

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.63

Atlético San Luis

2.20

Club Necaxa

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.25

Over 7.50

2.98

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.50

Over 8.50

2.37

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.89

Over 9.50

1.89

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.32

Over 10.50

1.52

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.85

Over 11.50

1.27

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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