CD Toluca 2-3 Santos Laguna: Stats, xG & Lineups

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Liga MX Apertura ·Mon 21 Sep

CD Toluca

2–3

HT 2–1

Full time

Santos Laguna

Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca · Ref: Luis Alfredo Garcia Rodriguez

Commentary

90'

Full-time. CD Toluca 2-3 Santos Laguna.

90+5'

F. Villalba

Goal! CD Toluca 2-3 Santos Laguna. F. Villalba (Santos Laguna) scores, assisted by M. Cuevas.

90+3'

E. Aguirre

VAR check complete: the goal for Santos Laguna stands.

90+2'

J. R. Angulo

Attempt saved. J. R. Angulo (CD Toluca), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90+1'

J. Güemez

Attempt missed. J. Güemez (Santos Laguna), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

90+1'

N. Castro

Substitution, CD Toluca: B. García comes on for N. Castro.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

90'

Santos Laguna

Corner, Santos Laguna.

90'

D. González

Attempt missed. D. González (Santos Laguna), left-footed shot. xG 0.16.

89'

CD Toluca

Corner, CD Toluca.

89'

D. Barbosa

Attempt saved. D. Barbosa (CD Toluca), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

89'

F. Pereira

Attempt missed. F. Pereira (CD Toluca), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

86'

K. Palacios

Goal! CD Toluca 2-2 Santos Laguna. K. Palacios (Santos Laguna) scores, assisted by F. Villalba.

84'

J. Pérez

Attempt blocked. J. Pérez (Santos Laguna), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

84'

E. Aguirre

Attempt missed. E. Aguirre (Santos Laguna), header. xG 0.11.

83'

J. R. Angulo

Attempt missed. J. R. Angulo (CD Toluca), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

81'

Paulinho

Substitution, CD Toluca: Luan comes on for Paulinho.

81'

Santos Laguna

Offside, Santos Laguna.

80'

E. Aguirre

Attempt blocked. E. Aguirre (Santos Laguna), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

80'

Santos Laguna

Corner, Santos Laguna.

79'

Santos Laguna

Corner, Santos Laguna.

75'

F. Sánchez

Attempt missed. F. Sánchez (Santos Laguna), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

75'

F. Cáseres

Substitution, Santos Laguna: J. Güemez comes on for F. Cáseres.

74'

Santos Laguna

Corner, Santos Laguna.

73'

CD Toluca

Offside, CD Toluca.

71'

K. Palacios

Attempt saved. K. Palacios (Santos Laguna), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

71'

Santos Laguna

Corner, Santos Laguna.

69'

D. González

Attempt missed. D. González (Santos Laguna), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

69'

L. Gómez

Substitution, Santos Laguna: K. Palacios comes on for L. Gómez.

69'

E. Bullaude

Substitution, Santos Laguna: E. Aguirre comes on for E. Bullaude.

68'

L. Gómez

Attempt missed. L. Gómez (Santos Laguna), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

67'

Paulinho

Attempt missed. Paulinho (CD Toluca), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

66'

A. Vega

Substitution, CD Toluca: J. Díaz comes on for A. Vega.

66'

F. Viñas

Substitution, CD Toluca: J. R. Angulo comes on for F. Viñas.

65'

E. Bullaude

Attempt missed. E. Bullaude (Santos Laguna), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

64'

Paulinho

Attempt saved. Paulinho (CD Toluca), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

62'

Santos Laguna

Corner, Santos Laguna.

56'

E. Bullaude

Attempt missed. E. Bullaude (Santos Laguna), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

54'

F. Viñas

Attempt missed. F. Viñas (CD Toluca), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.35.

52'

F. Pardo

Attempt missed. F. Pardo (Santos Laguna), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.07.

48'

F. Cáseres

Attempt missed. F. Cáseres (Santos Laguna), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

46'

E. Echeverría

Substitution, Santos Laguna: D. González comes on for E. Echeverría.

46'

S. Mariscal

Substitution, Santos Laguna: F. Villalba comes on for S. Mariscal.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. CD Toluca 2-1 Santos Laguna.

45+8'

F. Cáseres

Yellow card for F. Cáseres (Santos Laguna) for foul.

45+7'

E. López

Red card! E. López (CD Toluca) is sent off for foul.

45+7'

E. López

VAR: card upgraded for E. López (CD Toluca).

45+5'

E. Bullaude

Attempt saved. E. Bullaude (Santos Laguna), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45+1'

E. Bullaude

Goal! CD Toluca 2-1 Santos Laguna. E. Bullaude (Santos Laguna) scores.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

45'

J. Gallardo

Attempt missed. J. Gallardo (CD Toluca), left-footed shot. xG 0.19.

45'

A. Mohamed

Yellow card for A. Mohamed (CD Toluca) for argument.

43'

Paulinho

Goal! CD Toluca 2-0 Santos Laguna. Paulinho (CD Toluca) scores, assisted by A. Vega.

42'

E. Lozano

Attempt missed. E. Lozano (Santos Laguna), header from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

42'

S. Mariscal

Attempt blocked. S. Mariscal (Santos Laguna), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

41'

Santos Laguna

Corner, Santos Laguna.

40'

Santos Laguna

Corner, Santos Laguna.

39'

M. Cuevas

Attempt blocked. M. Cuevas (Santos Laguna), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.

38'

N. Castro

Yellow card for N. Castro (CD Toluca) for foul.

37'

F. Pereira

Attempt blocked. F. Pereira (CD Toluca), header from a set piece. xG 0.05.

34'

Bruno Méndez

Attempt missed. Bruno Méndez (CD Toluca), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

30'

Santos Laguna

Offside, Santos Laguna.

27'

Paulinho

Attempt missed. Paulinho (CD Toluca), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

25'

F. Viñas

Goal! CD Toluca 1-0 Santos Laguna. F. Viñas (CD Toluca) scores, assisted by A. Vega.

25'

CD Toluca

Corner, CD Toluca.

23'

CD Toluca

Offside, CD Toluca.

22'

Paulinho

Attempt saved. Paulinho (CD Toluca), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

22'

F. Pereira

Attempt missed. F. Pereira (CD Toluca), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

22'

CD Toluca

Corner, CD Toluca.

20'

CD Toluca

Corner, CD Toluca.

18'

E. Bullaude

Attempt saved. E. Bullaude (Santos Laguna), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

17'

F. Viñas

Attempt missed. F. Viñas (CD Toluca), left-footed shot. xG 0.15.

16'

D. Barbosa

Attempt saved. D. Barbosa (CD Toluca), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

14'

M. Cuevas

Attempt blocked. M. Cuevas (Santos Laguna), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

13'

E. Segura

Attempt missed. E. Segura (CD Toluca), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

CD Toluca

Offside, CD Toluca.

CD Toluca

Corner, CD Toluca.

N. Castro

Attempt saved. N. Castro (CD Toluca), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

A. Vega

Attempt missed. A. Vega (CD Toluca), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

Paulinho

Attempt saved. Paulinho (CD Toluca), left-footed shot. xG 0.71.

Paulinho

Attempt missed. Paulinho (CD Toluca), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

E. Segura

Attempt blocked. E. Segura (CD Toluca), right-footed shot. xG 0.20.

J. Gallardo

Attempt blocked. J. Gallardo (CD Toluca), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

CD Toluca

Corner, CD Toluca.

Kick-off: CD Toluca vs Santos Laguna.

Where the money is

466751 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 276516 EUR · live

Home 60.0 · implied 1.7%

70.9%

+69.2 vs price

Away 8.6 · implied 11.6%

17.2%

+5.6 vs price

Draw 10.0 · implied 10.0%

12.4%

+2.4 vs price

Half time 3033 EUR · live

Home 1.91 · implied 52.4%

87.9%

+35.5 vs price

Draw 2.56 · implied 39.1%

6.9%

-32.2 vs price

Away 16.5 · implied 6.1%

5.3%

-0.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 8964 EUR · live

Over 1.12 · implied 89.3%

69.2%

-20.1 vs price

Under 9.4 · implied 10.6%

30.8%

+20.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2571 EUR · live

Under 1.08 · implied 92.6%

83.0%

-9.6 vs price

Over 13.5 · implied 7.4%

17.0%

+9.6 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 6 clips

Player of the match

Match events

25' ⚽ F. Viñas · assist A. Vega1–0

38' N. Castro · Foul

43' ⚽ Paulinho · assist A. Vega2–0

Half-time · 2–1

45' A. Mohamed · Argument

45'⁺¹ ⚽ E. Bullaude2–1

45'⁺⁷ E. López · Foul

45'⁺⁷ VAR Card check · E. López

45'⁺⁸ F. Cáseres · Foul

46' 🔁 F. Villalba ◂ S. Mariscal

46' 🔁 D. González ◂ E. Echeverría

66' 🔁 J. R. Angulo ◂ F. Viñas

66' 🔁 J. Díaz ◂ A. Vega

69' 🔁 E. Aguirre ◂ E. Bullaude

69' 🔁 K. Palacios ◂ L. Gómez

75' 🔁 J. Güemez ◂ F. Cáseres

81' 🔁 Luan ◂ Paulinho

86' ⚽ K. Palacios · assist F. Villalba2–2

Full-time · 2–3

90'⁺¹ 🔁 B. García ◂ N. Castro

90'⁺³ VAR Goal not given after review · E. Aguirre

90'⁺⁵ ⚽ F. Villalba · assist M. Cuevas2–3

Coaches

Antonio Mohamed

Renato Paiva

Recent form

CD Toluca

WAClub Puebla1-0

WHAtlas FC5-2

WHFC Juárez4-0

WAQuerétaro FC2-1

DAAtlante FC0-0

Santos Laguna

WHFC Juárez2-1

LACruz Azul0-1

DHTigres UANL0-0

LAClub Puebla2-3

LHCD Guadalajara0-1

About this match

**CD Toluca is absolutely rolling right now** — four wins in five and the kind of domestic form that makes home fixtures feel like guaranteed points. Santos Laguna? They're limping in at 1W-3L in their last five. 🔥

Toluca are the clear favorites here, banging in goals at will (5-2 and 4-0 recently), while Santos have shipped defensive chaos and can't find rhythm. The visitors are without key defenders B. Amione and L. Di Yorio too, which is rough.

Key storylines:

- **Toluca's attacking firepower** — Helinho and F. Viñas have been lethal in a dominant run; Santos' back line is threadbare
- **Santos desperately need a reset** — three losses in five with only 1W to show; away form is a nightmare
- **Home fortress vs form slump** — Estadio Nemesio Diez rarely forgives struggling teams, and Santos fit that bill perfectly

Expected lineups:

- **CD Toluca**: L. García, J. Gallardo, F. Pereira, Bruno Méndez, D. Barbosa, F. Romero, E. López, A. Vega, J. R. Angulo, Helinho, F. Viñas
- **Santos Laguna**: C. Acevedo, E. Echeverría, F. Sánchez, F. Pardo, M. Cuevas, A. Lopez Vargas, S. Mariscal, K. Palacios, E. Bullaude, D. González, E. Aguirre

Prediction:

**Toluca 3–1 Santos**. Toluca have the edge in every dimension — form, firepower, and fixture stability. Santos' defensive injuries make this a mismatch.

Where to watch

ViX

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Nemesio Diez

City

Toluca

Referee

Luis Alfredo Garcia Rodriguez

3.27 yellows/match · 11 matches

Kickoff

21 Sep, 00:00 UTC

Competition

Liga MX Apertura

Top stats

46%Possession54%

3.45Expected goals (xG)1.86

24Total shots22

9Shots on target6

4Big chances1

6Corners7

Shots

12Shots off target11

3Blocked shots5

18Shots inside box12

6Shots outside box10

1Big chances scored1

3Big chances missed0

-1.4Goals prevented1.25

Attack

39Touches in box29

60Final third entries55

3Offsides2

13Free kicks9

2Fouled in final third3

Passing

439Passes515

361Accurate passes435

22/55 (40%)Long balls29/46 (63%)

4/14 (29%)Crosses6/21 (29%)

15Throw-ins22

Duels

54Duels46

43/82 (52%)Ground duels39/82 (48%)

15/26 (58%)Aerial duels11/26 (42%)

7/17 (41%)Dribbles7/15 (47%)

13Dispossessed16

Defending

24Tackles23

67Tackles won57

14Interceptions9

23Clearances22

52Recoveries52

Discipline

9Fouls13

1Yellow cards1

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves7

1Big saves2

14Goal kicks12

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Toluca 75%

15%

Santos 10%

Who winsToluca to win (DNB) 90% · 1.07 @ Bet365

1X2Toluca to win 75% · 1.53 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 71% · 2.80 @ William Hill

CornersOver 10.5 corners 51% · 1.77 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 72% · 1.23 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.57 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.00 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 15% · 3.58 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 53% · 1.98 @ Pinnacle

1X2Santos to win 10% · 7.60 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.23

CD Toluca

6.20

Draw

9.25

Santos Laguna

Double Chanceconsensus

1.04

CD Toluca or Draw

1.10

CD Toluca or Santos Laguna

3.78

Draw or Santos Laguna

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.70

Yes

2.05

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.45

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

19.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

19.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.07

Over 1.50

7.17

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.32

Over 2.50

3.25

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.87

Over 3.50

1.90

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

2.89

Over 4.50

1.38

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.07

CD Toluca

8.00

Santos Laguna

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.11

Over 7.50

4.22

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.23

Over 8.50

3.12

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.45

Over 9.50

2.49

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.75

Over 10.50

1.97

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.19

Over 11.50

1.60

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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