Club Tijuana 2-3 Atlas FC: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Club Tijuana 2-3 Atlas FC.

90+10'

F. Boya

Attempt missed. F. Boya (Club Tijuana), right-footed shot. xG 0.31.

90+6'

Atlas FC

Corner, Atlas FC.

90+3'

Á. Zapata

Attempt blocked. Á. Zapata (Club Tijuana), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90+2'

K. Zenón

Substitution, Atlas FC: A. González comes on for K. Zenón.

90+1'

F. Monzón

Goal! Club Tijuana 2-3 Atlas FC. F. Monzón (Atlas FC) scores, assisted by K. Zenón.

90'

8 minutes of added time.

89'

I. Tona

Attempt missed. I. Tona (Club Tijuana), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

87'

L. Esteves

Goal! Club Tijuana 2-2 Atlas FC. L. Esteves (Atlas FC) converts the penalty.

84'

K. Zenón

VAR: no penalty for Atlas FC.

83'

Y. Padilla

Yellow card for Y. Padilla (Club Tijuana) for foul.

81'

J. Purata

Attempt blocked. J. Purata (Atlas FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

79'

S. Hernandez

Yellow card for S. Hernandez (Atlas FC) for foul.

78'

Atlas FC

Corner, Atlas FC.

76'

M. E. Ghezouani

Attempt saved. M. E. Ghezouani (Club Tijuana), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

76'

Club Tijuana

Corner, Club Tijuana.

74'

R. Mmaee

Substitution, Atlas FC: J. Martín comes on for R. Mmaee.

72'

L. Esteves

Attempt blocked. L. Esteves (Atlas FC), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

72'

R. Árciga

Substitution, Club Tijuana: Á. Zapata comes on for R. Árciga.

71'

R. Árciga

Yellow card for R. Árciga (Club Tijuana) for unallowed field entering.

69'

Atlas FC

Corner, Atlas FC.

69'

Y. Padilla

Attempt saved. Y. Padilla (Club Tijuana), header. xG 0.53.

68'

G. Aguirre

Attempt missed. G. Aguirre (Atlas FC), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

68'

R. Mmaee

Attempt saved. R. Mmaee (Atlas FC), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

68'

Atlas FC

Corner, Atlas FC.

66'

L. Esteves

Attempt missed. L. Esteves (Atlas FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.17.

65'

F. González

Substitution, Club Tijuana: Y. Padilla comes on for F. González.

62'

Atlas FC

Corner, Atlas FC.

60'

R. Mmaee

Attempt missed. R. Mmaee (Atlas FC), header. xG 0.04.

59'

Atlas FC

Corner, Atlas FC.

58'

Atlas FC

Corner, Atlas FC.

57'

P. Ramírez

Substitution, Atlas FC: S. Hernandez comes on for P. Ramírez.

54'

J. Purata

Yellow card for J. Purata (Atlas FC) for foul.

49'

R. Mmaee

Attempt saved. R. Mmaee (Atlas FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.16.

49'

K. Zenón

Attempt missed. K. Zenón (Atlas FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

46'

A. Pérez

Substitution, Club Tijuana: F. Boya comes on for A. Pérez.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Club Tijuana 2-1 Atlas FC.

45+7'

Club Tijuana

Offside, Club Tijuana.

45+5'

I. Rivero

Off the woodwork! I. Rivero (Club Tijuana), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.24.

45+4'

Club Tijuana

Corner, Club Tijuana.

45+1'

Atlas FC

Corner, Atlas FC.

45+1'

P. Ramírez

Attempt saved. P. Ramírez (Atlas FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45'

6 minutes of added time.

45'

F. Monzón

Attempt blocked. F. Monzón (Atlas FC), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

45'

E. Zaldívar

Attempt missed. E. Zaldívar (Atlas FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

44'

Atlas FC

Corner, Atlas FC.

41'

U. Bilbao

Substitution, Club Tijuana: A. Magallon comes on for U. Bilbao.

39'

Club Tijuana

Offside, Club Tijuana.

37'

I. Rivero

Goal! Club Tijuana 2-1 Atlas FC. I. Rivero (Club Tijuana) scores, assisted by A. Preciado.

36'

Club Tijuana

Corner, Club Tijuana.

36'

R. Mmaee

Attempt blocked. R. Mmaee (Atlas FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

36'

R. Mmaee

Attempt blocked. R. Mmaee (Atlas FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

36'

K. Zenón

Attempt missed. K. Zenón (Atlas FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

31'

L. Esteves

Attempt saved. L. Esteves (Atlas FC), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

28'

J. Purata

Attempt missed. J. Purata (Atlas FC), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.07.

28'

F. Monzón

Attempt missed. F. Monzón (Atlas FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.13.

26'

Club Tijuana

Corner, Club Tijuana.

21'

M. E. Ghezouani

Goal! Club Tijuana 1-1 Atlas FC. M. E. Ghezouani (Club Tijuana) converts the penalty.

19'

Club Tijuana

Corner, Club Tijuana.

17'

Club Tijuana

Offside, Club Tijuana.

15'

R. Mmaee

Goal! Club Tijuana 0-1 Atlas FC. R. Mmaee (Atlas FC) scores, assisted by K. Zenón.

12'

F. González

Attempt missed. F. González (Club Tijuana), header. xG 0.04.

11'

F. González

Attempt saved. F. González (Club Tijuana), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

9'

Atlas FC

Corner, Atlas FC.

8'

G. Aguirre

Attempt blocked. G. Aguirre (Atlas FC), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

7'

Atlas FC

Corner, Atlas FC.

1'

Kick-off: Club Tijuana vs Atlas FC.

Where the money is

604414 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 399344 EUR · live

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

48.9%

+48.8 vs price

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

29.0%

-70.0 vs price

Draw 55.0 · implied 1.8%

22.1%

+20.3 vs price

Half time 396 EUR · live

Draw 3.85 · implied 26.0%

61.7%

+35.7 vs price

Away 1.41 · implied 70.9%

24.5%

-46.4 vs price

Home 15.5 · implied 6.5%

13.4%

+6.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 72867 EUR · live

Over 1.17 · implied 85.5%

65.6%

-19.9 vs price

Under 6.6 · implied 15.2%

34.6%

+19.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 6742 EUR · live

Under 2.1 · implied 47.6%

78.8%

+31.1 vs price

Over 2.02 · implied 49.5%

21.2%

-28.3 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 6 clips

Player of the match

Match events

15' ⚽ R. Mmaee · assist K. Zenón0–1

21' ⚽ M. E. Ghezouani (pen)1–1

37' ⚽ I. Rivero · assist A. Preciado2–1

41' 🔁 A. Magallon ◂ U. Bilbao

Half-time · 2–1

46' 🔁 F. Boya ◂ A. Pérez

54' J. Purata · Foul

57' 🔁 S. Hernandez ◂ P. Ramírez

65' 🔁 Y. Padilla ◂ F. González

71' R. Árciga · Unallowed field entering

72' 🔁 Á. Zapata ◂ R. Árciga

74' 🔁 J. Martín ◂ R. Mmaee

79' S. Hernandez · Foul

83' Y. Padilla · Foul

84' VAR Penalty check · K. Zenón

87' ⚽ L. Esteves (pen)2–2

Full-time · 2–3

90'⁺¹ ⚽ F. Monzón · assist K. Zenón2–3

90'⁺² 🔁 A. González ◂ K. Zenón

Coaches

Sebastian Abreu

Hernan Crespo

Recent form

Club Tijuana

DACF Pachuca2-2

WASan Diego FC2-1

LHQuerétaro FC0-1

WHPumas UNAM2-0

LACD Guadalajara2-5

Atlas FC

DHPumas UNAM1-1

LACD Toluca2-5

DHAtlante FC1-1

LHQuerétaro FC1-3

WACruz Azul2-0

About this match

**Club Tijuana's home fortress meets a rattled Atlas side** — this is a **clash between momentum and malaise** 🔴

Tijuana's rolled in hot (2W-1D over their last 3), while Atlas just got turned over 5-2 by Toluca and are scrounging for consistency. The head-to-head favors the hosts decisively (12-7 in their favor historically), and playing at Estadio Caliente adds real teeth to their case.

Key storylines:

- **Club Tijuana's attack** looking to capitalize on **M. E. Ghezouani** and **Á. Zapata** against a creaking Atlas backline
- **Atlas playmaker Duk** needs to spark something creative in midfield after two straight draws
- Home-field advantage: Tijuana's won 12 of their last 31 derbies vs Atlas; expect the hosts to press early

Expected lineups:

- **Club Tijuana**: A. Rodríguez, J. Vega, J. Gómez, J. Porozo, R. Fernández, A. Preciado, G. Mora, I. Tona, Á. Zapata, R. Árciga, M. E. Ghezouani
- **Atlas FC**: C. Vargas, M. Valenzuela, M. Capasso, J. Purata, J. Sánchez, L. Esteves, S. Hernandez, Duk, A. González, R. Mmaee, F. Monzón

Prediction:

**Tijuana 2-1 Atlas** — The hosts have the form, the ground, and the history. Atlas will scrap but can't find the groove. 🎯

Where to watch

ViX

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Caliente

City

Tijuana

Referee

Luis Santander

4.33 yellows/match · 33 matches

Kickoff

26 Sep, 03:00 UTC

Competition

Liga MX Apertura

Highlights & clips

Club Tijuana 4-1-4-1 · 3-1-4-2 Atlas FC

2 A. Rodríguez 5.8 20 Á. Zapata 6.4 ↑ 72' 188 A. Magallon 6.2 ↑ 41' 6 J. Gómez 6.8 16 J. Vega 6.7 8 I. Tona 6.7 7 A. Preciado 8.2 34 F. Boya 7.0 ↑ 46' 15 I. Rivero 6.4 31 Y. Padilla 6.3 ↑ 65' 9 M. E. Ghezouani 8.3 12 C. Vargas 7.0 13 G. Aguirre 7.0 44 J. Purata 6.6 6 E. Zaldívar 5.9 23 S. Hernandez 6.3 ↑ 57' 58 A. González 6.6 ↑ 90' 18 E. Montiel 6.7 10 L. Esteves 7.3 16 M. Valenzuela 7.3 203 J. Martín 6.7 ↑ 74' 9 F. Monzón 6.9

Substitutes

29GJ. Hernández 4DU. Bilbao↓ 41'6.3 33DP. N. Ortíz 11MF. González↓ 65'7.2 17MR. Árciga↓ 72'6.8 26MA. Pérez↓ 46'6.6 197MD. Orduño 202MJ. González 13FE. Manoel 19FD. Abreu

Coach: Sebastian Abreu

Substitutes

22GA. Sánchez 187DS. Mandujano 5DJ. Rodríguez 4DA. Mora 20MK. Zenón↓ 90'7.1 15MP. Ramírez↓ 57'6.4 218MJ. S. Martín 27MV. Ríos 26MA. Rocha 8FR. Mmaee↓ 74'6.6

Coach: Hernan Crespo

Top stats

30%Possession70%

2.62Expected goals (xG)2.54

10Total shots22

5Shots on target7

5Big chances2

5Corners11

Shots

4Shots off target9

1Blocked shots6

7Shots inside box17

3Shots outside box5

1Hit woodwork1

2Big chances scored2

3Big chances missed0

-0.9Goals prevented0.01

Attack

14Touches in box34

34Final third entries69

3Offsides0

12Free kicks9

1Fouled in final third2

Passing

244Passes599

179Accurate passes523

29/59 (49%)Long balls19/33 (58%)

6/18 (33%)Crosses7/28 (25%)

16Throw-ins21

Duels

55Duels45

32/59 (54%)Ground duels27/59 (46%)

23/41 (56%)Aerial duels18/41 (44%)

3/10 (30%)Dribbles5/13 (38%)

6Dispossessed9

Defending

17Tackles13

53Tackles won62

10Interceptions5

35Clearances17

37Recoveries47

Discipline

10Fouls13

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves3

11Goal kicks6

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Tijuana 46%

28%

Atlas 27%

Who winsTijuana to win (DNB) 72% · 1.53 @ Betsson

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.96 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.40 @ Bet365

1X2Tijuana to win 46% · 2.40 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.06 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 4.40 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.36 @ betfair

1X2Atlas to win 27% · 3.72 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.00

Club Tijuana

3.34

Draw

3.50

Atlas FC

Double Chanceconsensus

1.25

Club Tijuana or Draw

1.28

Club Tijuana or Atlas FC

1.73

Draw or Atlas FC

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.70

Yes

2.05

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

10.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.67

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.89

Over 2.50

1.90

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.17

Over 3.50

1.33

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.13

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.50

Club Tijuana

2.45

Atlas FC

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.26

Over 7.50

2.92

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.53

Over 8.50

2.29

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.94

Over 9.50

1.83

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.40

Over 10.50

1.48

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.93

Over 11.50

1.26

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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