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Atlas FC
Atlas FC
Atlas FC
Atlas FC
CD Guadalajara
CD Guadalajara
CD Guadalajara
Atlas FC
Atlas FC
CD Guadalajara
Atlas FC
Atlas FC
CD Guadalajara
CD Guadalajara
CD Guadalajara
CD Guadalajara
Atlas FC
Atlas FC
CD Guadalajara
Hernan Crespo
Atlas FC
CD Guadalajara
Atlas FC
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
CD Guadalajara
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Atlas FC 1-1 CD Guadalajara.
90+7'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
90+6'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
90+2'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
90'
9 minutes of added time.
86'
Goal! Atlas FC 1-1 CD Guadalajara. Á. Sepúlveda (CD Guadalajara) scores, assisted by B. Gutiérrez.
85'
Atlas FC
Offside, Atlas FC.
80'
CD Guadalajara
Corner, CD Guadalajara.
76'
CD Guadalajara
Corner, CD Guadalajara.
66'
CD Guadalajara
Corner, CD Guadalajara.
49'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
49'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Atlas FC 0-0 CD Guadalajara.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
39'
CD Guadalajara
Offside, CD Guadalajara.
36'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
35'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
34'
CD Guadalajara
Corner, CD Guadalajara.
33'
CD Guadalajara
Corner, CD Guadalajara.
32'
Attempt blocked. R. Ledezma (CD Guadalajara), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
32'
CD Guadalajara
Corner, CD Guadalajara.
29'
CD Guadalajara
Corner, CD Guadalajara.
28'
Attempt missed. L. G. Rey (CD Guadalajara), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.
17'
Atlas FC
Offside, Atlas FC.
17'
Atlas FC
Offside, Atlas FC.
11'
CD Guadalajara
Offside, CD Guadalajara.
1'
Kick-off: Atlas FC vs CD Guadalajara.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
71394 EUR · live
Home
22.0 · implied 4.5%
42.9%
+38.4 vs price
Away
100.0 · implied 1.0%
39.3%
+38.3 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
17.8%
-78.3 vs price
Half time
816 EUR · live
Away
3.1 · implied 32.3%
61.2%
+28.9 vs price
Home
4.5 · implied 22.2%
29.4%
+7.2 vs price
Draw
1.93 · implied 51.8%
9.3%
-42.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
143239 EUR · live
Over
10.0 · implied 10.0%
68.1%
+58.1 vs price
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
31.9%
-58.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
162 EUR · live
Over
18.5 · implied 5.4%
55.0%
+49.6 vs price
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
43.9%
-48.7 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
26'
J. Purata · Foul
30'
R. Ledezma · Foul
41'
D. Aguirre · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
C. Hernández ◂ D. Campillo
52'
⚽
K. Zenón · assist P. Ramírez1–0
63'
F. Monzón · Foul
65'
🔁
E. Zaldívar ◂ P. Ramírez
66'
🔁
S. Sandoval ◂ R. Ledezma
66'
🔁
H. Camberos ◂ R. Marín
66'
🔁
K. Castañeda ◂ L. Calderón
70'
VAR
Penalty awarded · S. Sandoval
76'
🚫
Penalty missed · Á. Sepúlveda
82'
🔁
A. Rocha ◂ E. Montiel
84'
K. Castañeda · Foul
86'
⚽
Á. Sepúlveda · assist B. Gutiérrez1–1
87'
🔁
S. Hernandez ◂ R. Mmaee
89'
S. Sandoval · Argument
Full-time · 1–1
90'+1
🔁
E. Alvarez ◂ R. Alvarado
90'+8
K. Castañeda · Argument
Coaches
Hernan CrespoGabriel Milito 
Recent form
Atlas FCWAClub Tijuana3-2
DHPumas UNAM1-1
LACD Toluca2-5
DHAtlante FC1-1
LHQuerétaro FC1-3
CD GuadalajaraWHClub América2-0
LHQuerétaro FC0-2
DAClub América2-2
WHPumas UNAM3-0
WAAtlético San Luis3-0
About this match
**Guadalajara's on a roll, but Atlas aren't here to be pushovers.** This is a straight-up classic Liga MX scrap at Estadio Jalisco — the Chivas have momentum (3W in five), while Atlas are scrappy and dangerous when they show up. 🔥
Atlas have the unpredictability factor: they've mixed crushing wins (3-2 away at Tijuana) with getting torn apart (2-5 at Toluca). Guadalajara are more consistent right now, though that loss to Querétaro keeps things grounded. The head-to-head leans Chivas' way historically, but these teams know each other inside out.
Key storylines:
- **Guadalajara's attack** (R. Alvarado, R. Marín, S. Sandoval) will probe Atlas' backline, especially with O. Govea sidelined on suspension
- **Atlas missing Duk** limits their strike force, pushing more creation through R. Mmaee and A. González
- **Home-field edge and form advantage** belong to Chivas, who've won three of their last five at this pace
Expected lineups:
- **Atlas FC**: C. Vargas, M. Valenzuela, M. Capasso, J. Purata, L. Esteves, S. Hernandez, R. Mmaee, A. González, F. Monzón
- **CD Guadalajara**: R. Rangel, B. González, D. Campillo, L. G. Rey, R. Ledezma, F. González, L. Romo, D. Aguirre, R. Alvarado, S. Sandoval
Prediction:
**Guadalajara 2-1 Atlas.** Chivas have the edge in form and should exploit Atlas' Duk-shaped gap up top. Close match though. ⚽
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Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Jalisco
City
Guadalajara
Kickoff
11 Oct, 01:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
Atlas FC
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
CD Guadalajara
12
C. Vargas
7.8
19
A. Frías
6.9
44
J. Purata
6.4
16
M. Valenzuela
6.3
3
J. Sánchez
6.6
26
A. Rocha
6.5
↑ 82'
6
E. Zaldívar
6.2
↑ 65'
10
L. Esteves
7.4
20
K. Zenón
8.0
23
S. Hernandez
6.6
↑ 87'
9
F. Monzón
6.2
1
R. Rangel
6.9
23
D. Aguirre
7.0
16
L. G. Rey
7.3
46
C. Hernández
7.1
↑ 46'
14
H. Camberos
6.6
↑ 66'
28
F. González
6.7
11
B. Gutiérrez
7.7
30
S. Sandoval
6.7
↑ 66'
10
E. Alvarez
6.6
↑ 90'
19
K. Castañeda
6.1
↑ 66'
9
Á. Sepúlveda
7.2
Substitutes
22GA. Sánchez
5DJ. Rodríguez
28DM. Capasso
13DG. Aguirre
18ME. Montiel↓ 82'6.7
15MP. Ramírez↓ 65'6.4
27MV. Ríos
58MA. González
8FR. Mmaee↓ 87'7.1
203FJ. Martín
Coach: Hernan Crespo
Top stats
44%Possession56%
1.66Expected goals (xG)2.06
6Total shots12
3Shots on target5
2Big chances3
7Corners7
Shots
1Shots off target6
2Blocked shots1
6Shots inside box7
1Shots outside box5
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed2
1.01Goals prevented0.65
Attack
16Touches in box18
48Final third entries47
2Offsides2
19Free kicks14
2Fouled in final third4
Passing
312Passes400
232Accurate passes319
34/69 (49%)Long balls24/49 (49%)
3/16 (19%)Crosses3/19 (16%)
26Throw-ins21
Duels
48Duels52
35/74 (47%)Ground duels39/74 (53%)
16/32 (50%)Aerial duels16/32 (50%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles3/8 (38%)
15Dispossessed6
Defending
11Tackles23
64Tackles won74
14Interceptions6
22Clearances21
36Recoveries41
Discipline
15Fouls19
3Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
1Big saves1
14Goal kicks4
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsGuadalajara to win (DNB) 64% · 1.50 @ Bet365
1X2Guadalajara to win 43% · 2.50 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.80 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.41 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 3.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.91 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
1X2Atlas to win 30% · 3.30 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.05
Atlas FC
3.40
Draw
2.15
CD Guadalajara
Double Chanceconsensus
1.64
Atlas FC or Draw
1.28
Atlas FC or CD Guadalajara
1.33
Draw or CD Guadalajara
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes
2.15
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.80
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.55
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.71
Over 2.50
2.10
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.73
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.25
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.50
Atlas FC
1.47
CD Guadalajara
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.58
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.41
Over 8.50
2.56
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.77
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.19
Over 10.50
1.60
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.88
Over 11.50
1.32
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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