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CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
CF Monterrey
CF Monterrey
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
CF Monterrey
CF Monterrey
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
CF Monterrey
CF Monterrey
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
Matías Almeyda
CF Monterrey
CF Pachuca
CF Monterrey
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-1-1
CF Pachuca
Commentary
90'
Full-time. CF Monterrey 2-1 CF Pachuca.
90+3'
CF Pachuca
Corner, CF Pachuca.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
89'
CF Pachuca
Corner, CF Pachuca.
86'
CF Pachuca
Offside, CF Pachuca.
86'
CF Pachuca
Corner, CF Pachuca.
85'
CF Monterrey
Offside, CF Monterrey.
82'
CF Monterrey
Corner, CF Monterrey.
80'
CF Pachuca
Corner, CF Pachuca.
75'
Goal! CF Monterrey 2-1 CF Pachuca. S. Rondón (CF Pachuca) scores, assisted by J. Berlanga.
75'
CF Pachuca
Corner, CF Pachuca.
64'
CF Pachuca
Corner, CF Pachuca.
53'
CF Monterrey
Offside, CF Monterrey.
52'
Attempt missed. J. Corona (CF Monterrey), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
49'
CF Monterrey
Corner, CF Monterrey.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. CF Monterrey 2-0 CF Pachuca.
45'
5 minutes of added time.
43'
CF Pachuca
Corner, CF Pachuca.
43'
CF Pachuca
Corner, CF Pachuca.
41'
CF Monterrey
Corner, CF Monterrey.
39'
CF Monterrey
Corner, CF Monterrey.
36'
CF Pachuca
Offside, CF Pachuca.
36'
CF Pachuca
Offside, CF Pachuca.
16'
Goal! CF Monterrey 2-0 CF Pachuca. J. Corona (CF Monterrey) scores, assisted by L. Ocampos.
13'
Attempt saved. L. Ocampos (CF Monterrey), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.11.
10'
CF Pachuca
Offside, CF Pachuca.
3'
CF Pachuca
Corner, CF Pachuca.
1'
Kick-off: CF Monterrey vs CF Pachuca.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
111007 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.5%
-9.5 vs price
Draw
18.0 · implied 5.6%
7.9%
+2.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.2%
+3.1 vs price
Half time
82 EUR · live
Away
36.0 · implied 2.8%
43.7%
+40.9 vs price
Home
1.04 · implied 96.2%
27.9%
-68.3 vs price
Draw
46.0 · implied 2.2%
26.7%
+24.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
39027 EUR · live
Over
1.81 · implied 55.2%
69.7%
+14.5 vs price
Under
2.18 · implied 45.9%
30.3%
-15.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1283 EUR · live
Under
2.5 · implied 40.0%
59.1%
+19.1 vs price
Over
1.77 · implied 56.5%
40.8%
-15.7 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
13'
⚽
D. Rossi1–0
13'
🚫
Penalty missed · L. Ocampos
16'
⚽
J. Corona · assist L. Ocampos2–0
22'
L. Ocampos · Foul
Half-time · 2–0
56'
R. Pizarro · Foul
63'
🔁
C. Hernández ◂ M. Isais
71'
🔁
L. Orellano ◂ L. Ocampos
72'
🔁
Ó. Torres ◂ D. Rossi
75'
⚽
S. Rondón · assist J. Berlanga2–1
78'
🔁
P. Ruffin ◂ R. Chávez
78'
🔁
S. Medina ◂ J. Corona
81'
🔁
G. Álvarez ◂ J. Vallejo
84'
S. Barreto · Foul
85'
C. Moreno · Argument
85'
G. Arteaga · Argument
87'
🔁
I. Hernandez ◂ R. Pizarro
87'
🔁
S. Santos ◂ J. Berlanga
88'
Ó. Torres · Argument
Full-time · 2–1
90'
🔁
J. Rodríguez ◂ C. Garza
Coaches
Matías AlmeydaBenjamin Mora 
Recent form
CF MonterreyDAClub América1-1
WHCD Toluca2-1
LAAtlante FC2-4
WHCruz Azul1-0
DHTigres UANL0-0
CF PachucaDHClub Necaxa3-3
LASantos Laguna0-1
DHClub Tijuana2-2
WAAtlante FC3-0
WAFC Juárez2-0
About this match
**Monterrey's fortress opens its doors to a familiar foe** — these two have been dance partners for decades, and Pachuca's injury woes might just hand the hosts the edge. 🏟️
Both squads are riding similar form: two wins, two draws, a loss apiece. Monterrey's home record at BBVA has been solid, while Pachuca are missing three key attackers (Dominguez, Arroyo, Kenedy) heading into what's basically a must-not-lose against a side that's dominated this fixture historically.
Key storylines:
- **Monterrey's home comfort** versus a Pachuca side stretched thin in attack
- **H. Cuypers and Ó. Torres** spearheading Monterrey's midfield dominance
- Pachuca's **S. Rondón** tasked with carrying the load up front without their usual support cast
Expected lineups:
- **CF Monterrey**: E. Andrada, G. Arteaga, V. Guzmán, C. Salcedo, R. Chávez, O. Pineda, Ó. Torres, L. Ocampos, D. Rossi, L. Orellano, H. Cuypers
- **CF Pachuca**: C. Moreno, F. Venegas, S. Barreto, E. Bauermann, C. Sánchez, C. Rivera, S. Rodríguez, O. Idrissi, R. Pizarro, A. Bautista, S. Rondón
Prediction:
**Monterrey 2–1 Pachuca**. Home field, injury news, and historical edge combine nicely for los Rayados. 🎯
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Estadio BBVA
City
Monterrey
Kickoff
19 Oct, 01:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
CF Monterrey
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-1-1
CF Pachuca
1
E. Andrada
7.4
33
S. Medina
6.8
↑ 78'
4
V. Guzmán
7.0
13
C. Salcedo
7.1
3
G. Arteaga
6.6
30
J. Rodríguez
↑ 90'
25
O. Pineda
7.2
10
L. Orellano
6.8
↑ 71'
8
Ó. Torres
6.6
↑ 72'
244
P. Ruffin
6.5
↑ 78'
99
H. Cuypers
6.4
25
C. Moreno
7.2
12
S. Santos
6.7
↑ 87'
4
E. Bauermann
8.4
2
S. Barreto
6.7
211
C. Hernández
6.5
↑ 63'
187
G. Álvarez
6.4
↑ 81'
16
C. Rivera
6.4
26
A. Bautista
6.3
11
O. Idrissi
7.2
19
I. Hernandez
6.4
↑ 87'
23
S. Rondón
7.4
Substitutes
22GL. Cárdenas
2DR. Chávez↓ 78'6.8
19DD. Aceves
14DÉ. Aguirre
17MJ. Corona↓ 78'8.7
7ML. Ocampos↓ 71'7.7
18MC. Garza↓ 90'6.9
5MF. Ambríz
9FD. Rossi↓ 72'7.0
27FR. de la Rosa
Coach: Matías Almeyda
Top stats
52%Possession48%
1.75Expected goals (xG)0.9
10Total shots11
4Shots on target3
4Big chances3
3Corners8
Shots
4Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
8Shots inside box8
2Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed2
0.63Goals prevented0.38
Attack
21Touches in box24
62Final third entries46
2Offsides3
15Free kicks8
5Fouled in final third2
Passing
487Passes430
399Accurate passes339
50/79 (63%)Long balls31/64 (48%)
3/15 (20%)Crosses6/29 (21%)
16Throw-ins22
Duels
54Duels46
37/69 (54%)Ground duels32/69 (46%)
17/31 (55%)Aerial duels14/31 (45%)
7/24 (29%)Dribbles2/7 (29%)
6Dispossessed9
Defending
14Tackles23
57Tackles won74
17Interceptions9
25Clearances25
65Recoveries57
Discipline
8Fouls16
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
5Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Monterrey to win 57% · 2.00 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 2.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.60 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365
Who winsMonterrey to win (DNB) 64% · 1.28 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.83 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 23% · 2.78 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
1X2Pachuca to win 20% · 4.56 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.61
CF Monterrey
4.00
Draw
4.57
CF Pachuca
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
CF Monterrey or Draw
1.21
CF Monterrey or CF Pachuca
2.15
Draw or CF Pachuca
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.59
Yes
2.20
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
9.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
13.20
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.55
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.60
Over 2.50
2.25
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.45
Over 3.50
1.50
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.56
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.25
CF Monterrey
3.50
CF Pachuca
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.52
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.82
Over 9.50
1.90
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.29
Over 10.50
1.56
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.10
Over 11.50
1.31
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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