Atlante FC 0-1 Atlético San Luis: Stats & xG – Oct 24, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Atlante FC 0-1 Atlético San Luis.

90+7'

M. Fernández

Yellow card for M. Fernández (Atlante FC) for foul.

90+5'

Atlante FC

Corner, Atlante FC.

90+4'

W. Clar

Penalty missed! W. Clar (Atlante FC), saved.

90+4'

W. Clar

Off the woodwork! W. Clar (Atlante FC), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.70.

90+1'

N. Carrera

VAR: no penalty for Atlante FC.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

88'

J. González

Attempt missed. J. González (Atlante FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

87'

R. Llorente

Substitution, Atlético San Luis: R. Meraz comes on for R. Llorente.

87'

D. Rodriguez

Substitution, Atlético San Luis: Juanpe comes on for D. Rodriguez.

84'

M. Sarrafiore

Attempt saved. M. Sarrafiore (Atlante FC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

84'

N. Carrera

Attempt missed. N. Carrera (Atlante FC), header from a corner. xG 0.10.

84'

Atlante FC

Corner, Atlante FC.

81'

Atlante FC

Corner, Atlante FC.

80'

A. Quirós

Substitution, Atlante FC: J. González comes on for A. Quirós.

79'

E. Pizzuto

Substitution, Atlante FC: M. Fernández comes on for E. Pizzuto.

78'

Atlante FC

Corner, Atlante FC.

76'

W. Clar

Attempt saved. W. Clar (Atlante FC), header from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

76'

F. Mora

Substitution, Atlético San Luis: S. Muñoz comes on for F. Mora.

76'

S. Salles-Lamonge

Substitution, Atlético San Luis: J. Caicedo comes on for S. Salles-Lamonge.

74'

J. Moxica

Attempt blocked. J. Moxica (Atlante FC), header. xG 0.03.

72'

D. Rodriguez

Attempt blocked. D. Rodriguez (Atlético San Luis), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.17.

71'

E. Pizzuto

Attempt missed. E. Pizzuto (Atlante FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

70'

L. Puente

Substitution, Atlante FC: J. Moxica comes on for L. Puente.

70'

E. Jiménez

Substitution, Atlante FC: W. Clar comes on for E. Jiménez.

67'

L. Calzadilla

Attempt blocked. L. Calzadilla (Atlante FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

66'

M. Sarrafiore

Attempt blocked. M. Sarrafiore (Atlante FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

66'

Atlante FC

Corner, Atlante FC.

65'

E. Águila

Attempt saved. E. Águila (Atlético San Luis), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

59'

B. Galdames

Goal! Atlante FC 0-1 Atlético San Luis. B. Galdames (Atlético San Luis) scores, assisted by F. Mora.

58'

A. Duarte

Substitution, Atlético San Luis: B. Galdames comes on for A. Duarte.

56'

Atlético San Luis

Offside, Atlético San Luis.

51'

Atlante FC

Corner, Atlante FC.

51'

L. Puente

Attempt saved. L. Puente (Atlante FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Atlante FC 0-0 Atlético San Luis.

45+4'

M. Sarrafiore

Attempt saved. M. Sarrafiore (Atlante FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

45+2'

L. Calzadilla

Attempt saved. L. Calzadilla (Atlante FC), header from a set piece. xG 0.40.

45+1'

M. Sarrafiore

Attempt saved. M. Sarrafiore (Atlante FC), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

45'

E. Jiménez

Attempt blocked. E. Jiménez (Atlante FC), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

45'

E. Pizzuto

Attempt blocked. E. Pizzuto (Atlante FC), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

45'

E. Tercero

Substitution, Atlante FC: D. Bagüí comes on for E. Tercero.

44'

L. Calzadilla

Attempt saved. L. Calzadilla (Atlante FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

44'

Atlante FC

Corner, Atlante FC.

40'

Atlético San Luis

Offside, Atlético San Luis.

34'

Atlético San Luis

Corner, Atlético San Luis.

34'

F. Mora

Attempt saved. F. Mora (Atlético San Luis), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

30'

E. Pizzuto

Yellow card for E. Pizzuto (Atlante FC) for foul.

26'

D. Rodriguez

Attempt blocked. D. Rodriguez (Atlético San Luis), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

25'

Atlético San Luis

Corner, Atlético San Luis.

25'

D. Rodriguez

Attempt saved. D. Rodriguez (Atlético San Luis), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

24'

Atlante FC

Offside, Atlante FC.

22'

L. Puente

Attempt missed. L. Puente (Atlante FC), header. xG 0.13.

20'

R. Bambu

Yellow card for R. Bambu (Atlético San Luis) for foul.

16'

A. Quirós

Yellow card for A. Quirós (Atlante FC) for foul.

12'

L. Puente

Attempt missed. L. Puente (Atlante FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.18.

9'

R. Llorente

Attempt blocked. R. Llorente (Atlético San Luis), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

6'

W. Portales

Attempt saved. W. Portales (Atlante FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

4'

E. Jiménez

Attempt missed. E. Jiménez (Atlante FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: Atlante FC vs Atlético San Luis.

Where the money is

247686 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 71859 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

65.8%

-33.2 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

26.2%

+26.1 vs price

Draw 34.0 · implied 2.9%

8.2%

+5.2 vs price

Half time 218 EUR

Draw 2.46 · implied 40.7%

84.3%

+43.7 vs price

Away 3.9 · implied 25.6%

82.0%

+56.3 vs price

Home 2.92 · implied 34.2%

0.6%

-33.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 68085 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

80.7%

-18.3 vs price

Over 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

19.3%

+19.2 vs price

10 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

16' A. Quirós · Foul

20' R. Bambu · Foul

30' E. Pizzuto · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

45' 🔁 D. Bagüí ◂ E. Tercero

58' 🔁 B. Galdames ◂ A. Duarte

59' ⚽ B. Galdames · assist F. Mora0–1

70' 🔁 W. Clar ◂ E. Jiménez

70' 🔁 J. Moxica ◂ L. Puente

76' 🔁 J. Caicedo ◂ S. Salles-Lamonge

76' 🔁 S. Muñoz ◂ F. Mora

79' 🔁 M. Fernández ◂ E. Pizzuto

80' 🔁 J. González ◂ A. Quirós

87' 🔁 Juanpe ◂ D. Rodriguez

87' 🔁 R. Meraz ◂ R. Llorente

Full-time · 0–1

90'⁺¹ VAR Penalty check · N. Carrera

90'⁺⁴ 🚫 Penalty missed · W. Clar

90'⁺⁷ M. Fernández · Foul

Coaches

Miguel Herrera

Diego Mejia

Recent form

Atlante FC

WAFC Juárez1-0

LHPumas UNAM1-2

LAQuerétaro FC0-2

WHCF Monterrey4-2

DAClub Puebla1-1

Atlético San Luis

WHQuerétaro FC2-1

DACD Toluca1-1

LHSantos Laguna1-2

WAPumas UNAM3-2

WHClub Necaxa3-1

About this match

**Atlante hosting San Luis at the Azteca in a **tricky mid-table clash** — both teams hunting wins but swimming in choppy form.** 🏟️ Atlante's won their last two but got battered by Querétaro; San Luis are the form team (3W in 5) but just dropped one to Santos.

Atlante have grip at home and **E. Pizzuto and L. Puente** add bite in attack, but **H. Meza's broken knee cap** stings their depth. San Luis roll in without **C. Lopez and João Pedro Galvão** (both out on cruciate injuries), which gutts their bench—though **R. Llorente and A. Duarte** keep their teeth sharp up top.

Key storylines:

- **Atlante's home record** vs **San Luis's three-win streak**—who's the real deal?
- Missing firepower on both sides: Atlante lose Meza, San Luis lose two cruciates, so clinical finishing wins this
- **N. Carrera and J. Julio** (Atlante midfield) need to control tempo; **B. Galindo and S. Salles-Lamonge** (San Luis flank) are the creative outlet

Expected lineups:

- **Atlante FC**: Ó. Jiménez, W. Portales, C. Alfaro, N. Carrera, J. Julio, E. Pizzuto, M. Sarrafiore, L. Puente
- **Atlético San Luis**: G. Lajud, E. Águila, R. Torres, B. Galindo, S. Salles-Lamonge, R. Llorente, A. Duarte

Prediction:

**1-1 draw.** Both teams have the tools to score but the injury list—especially San Luis's cruciates—means they'll be cautious. Coin flip really. 🤝

Where to watch

TUDN

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Azteca

City

Mexico City

Referee

Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas

4.59 yellows/match · 32 matches

Kickoff

24 Oct, 03:00 UTC

Competition

Liga MX Apertura

Highlights & clips

Atlante FC 5-3-2 · 3-4-3 Atlético San Luis

1 Ó. Jiménez 7.3 29 W. Portales 7.2 6 N. Carrera 7.5 32 D. Bagüí 6.5 ↑ 45' 16 J. González 6.6 ↑ 80' 37 W. Clar 6.5 ↑ 70' 30 M. Sarrafiore 7.7 25 M. Fernández 6.5 ↑ 79' 19 L. Calzadilla 6.4 11 J. Moxica 6.7 ↑ 70' 7 J. Julio 6.5 25 G. Lajud 9.8 3 R. Bambu 7.0 31 E. Águila 7.9 18 A. Cruz 7.5 2 R. Torres 7.7 21 O. Macías 7.3 13 J. Caicedo 6.4 ↑ 76' 7 B. Galdames 7.9 ↑ 58' 6 Juanpe 6.7 ↑ 87' 19 S. Muñoz 6.6 ↑ 76' 5 R. Meraz 6.7 ↑ 87'

Substitutes

22GR. Barragan 4DE. Tercero↓ 45'6.9 44DA. Quirós↓ 80'6.5 3DL. Sánchez 34ME. Jiménez↓ 70'6.7 8ME. Pizzuto↓ 79'6.2 13MM. García 18MC. Bermúdez 9FL. Puente↓ 70'6.3 15FJ. Charcopa

Coach: Miguel Herrera

Substitutes

1GA. Sánchez 16DL. Esteves 30DB. Galindo 10MS. Salles-Lamonge↓ 76'7.6 8MR. Nájera 26MS. P. Bouquet 11FD. Rodriguez↓ 87'7.1 99FF. Mora↓ 76'6.8 17FA. Duarte↓ 58'6.7 22FR. Llorente↓ 87'6.7

Coach: Diego Mejia

Top stats

44%Possession56%

2.1Expected goals (xG)0.57

21Total shots7

9Shots on target4

3Big chances0

7Corners2

Shots

7Shots off target0

5Blocked shots3

10Shots inside box4

11Shots outside box3

1Hit woodwork0

3Big chances missed0

0.32Goals prevented2.01

Attack

30Touches in box14

57Final third entries51

1Offsides2

8Free kicks19

3Fouled in final third5

Passing

373Passes522

319Accurate passes446

18/32 (56%)Long balls27/58 (47%)

9/33 (27%)Crosses0/3 (0%)

20Throw-ins16

Duels

42Duels58

29/74 (39%)Ground duels45/74 (61%)

9/17 (53%)Aerial duels8/17 (47%)

8/16 (50%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)

14Dispossessed7

Defending

13Tackles22

62Tackles won55

9Interceptions7

15Clearances36

50Recoveries44

Discipline

19Fouls9

3Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves9

2Big saves3

5Goal kicks13

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Atlante 41%

28%

San Luis 31%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.83 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Bet365

Who winsAtlante to win (DNB) 60% · 1.63 @ Betsson

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.50 @ William Hill

1X2San Luis to win 31% · 3.34 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.05 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.43 @ Pinnacle

1X2Atlante to win 41% · 2.62 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.26

Atlante FC

3.30

Draw

2.95

Atlético San Luis

Double Chanceconsensus

1.35

Atlante FC or Draw

1.28

Atlante FC or Atlético San Luis

1.57

Draw or Atlético San Luis

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.64

Yes

2.10

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

10.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.24

Over 1.50

3.80

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.84

Over 2.50

1.90

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.92

Over 3.50

1.33

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.50

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.60

Atlante FC

2.22

Atlético San Luis

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.22

Over 7.50

3.60

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.46

Over 8.50

2.51

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.81

Over 9.50

1.94

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.25

Over 10.50

1.58

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.10

Over 11.50

1.31

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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