Club León 1-1 CD Toluca: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 24, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Club León 1-1 CD Toluca.

90+3'

Bruno Méndez

Yellow card for Bruno Méndez (CD Toluca) for argument.

90+3'

J. Lara

Yellow card for J. Lara (Club León) for foul.

90+1'

CD Toluca

Offside, CD Toluca.

90'

CD Toluca

Offside, CD Toluca.

86'

J. Díaz

Substitution, CD Toluca: J. R. Angulo comes on for J. Díaz.

85'

Club León

Corner, Club León.

83'

Club León

Corner, Club León.

78'

CD Toluca

Corner, CD Toluca.

78'

CD Toluca

Corner, CD Toluca.

76'

J. Gallardo

Attempt missed. J. Gallardo (CD Toluca), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

76'

Club León

Offside, Club León.

75'

F. Viñas

Substitution, CD Toluca: Paulinho comes on for F. Viñas.

75'

D. Arcila

Substitution, Club León: J. Lara comes on for D. Arcila.

74'

J. Díaz

Attempt saved. J. Díaz (CD Toluca), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

74'

F. Viñas

Attempt missed. F. Viñas (CD Toluca), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

72'

CD Toluca

Offside, CD Toluca.

71'

CD Toluca

Corner, CD Toluca.

71'

CD Toluca

Offside, CD Toluca.

69'

CD Toluca

Corner, CD Toluca.

63'

Helinho

Substitution, CD Toluca: A. Vega comes on for Helinho.

63'

F. Beltrán

Substitution, Club León: J. Cortizo comes on for F. Beltrán.

63'

P. Pérez

Substitution, CD Toluca: N. Castro comes on for P. Pérez.

62'

E. Guerra

Substitution, Club León: J. Domínguez comes on for E. Guerra.

60'

Helinho

Attempt blocked. Helinho (CD Toluca), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

58'

P. Pérez

Attempt missed. P. Pérez (CD Toluca), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

55'

CD Toluca

Offside, CD Toluca.

54'

F. Beltrán

Attempt saved. F. Beltrán (Club León), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

52'

CD Toluca

Corner, CD Toluca.

49'

J. Díaz

Attempt missed. J. Díaz (CD Toluca), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

48'

I. Díaz

Attempt saved. I. Díaz (Club León), right-footed shot. xG 0.29.

46'

J. Díaz

Attempt saved. J. Díaz (CD Toluca), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

46'

R. Echeverría

Substitution, Club León: D. Cambindo comes on for R. Echeverría.

46'

A. Alvarado

Substitution, Club León: J. Rodríguez comes on for A. Alvarado.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Club León 1-1 CD Toluca.

45+3'

I. Díaz

Attempt saved. I. Díaz (Club León), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

44'

F. Viñas

Goal! Club León 1-1 CD Toluca. F. Viñas (CD Toluca) scores, assisted by J. Díaz.

39'

A. Alvarado

Yellow card for A. Alvarado (Club León) for foul.

34'

CD Toluca

Corner, CD Toluca.

34'

P. Pérez

Attempt blocked. P. Pérez (CD Toluca), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

32'

I. Díaz

Attempt missed. I. Díaz (Club León), header from a set piece. xG 0.14.

31'

A. Alvarado

Attempt missed. A. Alvarado (Club León), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

31'

S. Vegas

Attempt missed. S. Vegas (Club León), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

31'

F. Romero

Yellow card for F. Romero (CD Toluca) for argument.

27'

A. Alvarado

Attempt missed. A. Alvarado (Club León), header. xG 0.22.

27'

Helinho

Yellow card for Helinho (CD Toluca) for foul.

25'

F. Viñas

Attempt missed. F. Viñas (CD Toluca), right-footed shot. xG 0.46.

24'

Helinho

Attempt missed. Helinho (CD Toluca), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

20'

I. Díaz

Attempt blocked. I. Díaz (Club León), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

19'

Club León

Corner, Club León.

12'

A. Alvarado

Goal! Club León 1-0 CD Toluca. A. Alvarado (Club León) scores, assisted by I. Díaz.

9'

R. Echeverría

Yellow card for R. Echeverría (Club León) for foul.

8'

A. Alvarado

Attempt blocked. A. Alvarado (Club León), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

8'

I. Díaz

Attempt saved. I. Díaz (Club León), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

7'

Helinho

Attempt saved. Helinho (CD Toluca), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

6'

I. Díaz

Attempt missed. I. Díaz (Club León), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: Club León vs CD Toluca.

Where the money is

150049 EUR matched · captured 6 days, 3 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 107416 EUR · live

Away 13.0 · implied 7.7%

63.2%

+55.5 vs price

Home 260.0 · implied 0.4%

23.5%

+23.1 vs price

Draw 1.01 · implied 99.0%

13.6%

-85.4 vs price

Half time 50 EUR

Home 4.4 · implied 22.7%

100.0%

+77.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 16798 EUR · live

Over 8.6 · implied 11.6%

62.6%

+51.0 vs price

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

51.5%

-47.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 29 EUR

Over 5.4 · implied 18.5%

100.0%

+81.5 vs price

11 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Player of the match

Match events

9' R. Echeverría · Foul

12' ⚽ A. Alvarado · assist I. Díaz1–0

27' Helinho · Foul

31' F. Romero · Argument

39' A. Alvarado · Foul

44' ⚽ F. Viñas · assist J. Díaz1–1

Half-time · 1–1

46' 🔁 J. Rodríguez ◂ A. Alvarado

46' 🔁 D. Cambindo ◂ R. Echeverría

62' 🔁 J. Domínguez ◂ E. Guerra

63' 🔁 N. Castro ◂ P. Pérez

63' 🔁 J. Cortizo ◂ F. Beltrán

63' 🔁 A. Vega ◂ Helinho

75' 🔁 J. Lara ◂ D. Arcila

75' 🔁 Paulinho ◂ F. Viñas

86' 🔁 J. R. Angulo ◂ J. Díaz

Full-time · 1–1

90'⁺³ Bruno Méndez · Argument

90'⁺³ J. Lara · Foul

Coaches

Javier Gandolfi

Antonio Mohamed

Recent form

Club León

WATigres UANL2-0

LHClub América3-5

DAClub Puebla1-1

WHFC Juárez2-1

DAQuerétaro FC1-1

CD Toluca

DHClub Tijuana2-2

DHAtlético San Luis1-1

LATigres UANL2-3

LACF Monterrey1-2

DACruz Azul3-3

About this match

**León's playing at home with momentum, and Toluca's been a mess.** This feels like a classic smash spot for the hosts — they've won two of their last five while Toluca's pulled just two draws in the same stretch. 📊

León's got the form edge here, especially riding that 2-0 away win over Tigres. Toluca's leaking goals and missing M. Ruíz (knee injury) doesn't help their cause down the middle.

Key storylines:

- **D. Cambindo** and **F. Beltrán** lead León's attack at home; they'll be hungry against a porous Toluca defense
- **L. García** in the Toluca goal will need a standout performance — Monterrey and Tigres have already carved them up
- León's midfield **D. Arcila** anchors the hold while **J. Rodríguez** and **R. Echeverría** look to control tempo

Expected lineups:

- **Club León**: O. García, J. Guevara, J. Romaña, I. Moreno, J. Cortizo, D. Arcila, J. Rodríguez, R. Echeverría, L. Valadez, F. Beltrán, D. Cambindo
- **CD Toluca**: L. García, J. Gallardo, F. Pereira, Bruno Méndez, D. Barbosa, N. Castro, F. Romero, A. Vega, J. R. Angulo, Helinho, F. Viñas

Prediction:

**León 2–1 Toluca** — home advantage and form give León the slight edge. 🦁

Where to watch

ViX

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Leon

City

Leon

Referee

Fernando Hernandez

4.58 yellows/match · 31 matches

Kickoff

24 Oct, 23:00 UTC

Competition

Liga MX Apertura

Highlights & clips

Club León 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1 CD Toluca

23 O. García 6.7 7 I. Moreno 7.1 29 J. Rodríguez 6.9 ↑ 46' 3 J. Guevara 6.8 5 S. Vegas 6.9 13 D. Arcila 7.0 16 J. Cortizo 6.5 ↑ 63' 27 D. Cambindo 6.6 ↑ 46' 203 J. Lara 6.3 ↑ 75' 11 I. Díaz 7.6 8 J. Domínguez 6.7 ↑ 62' 1 H. Gonzalez 7.2 19 S. Simón 7.3 4 Bruno Méndez 6.9 6 F. Pereira 7.0 20 J. Gallardo 6.7 5 F. Romero 7.0 35 É. Gutiérrez 7.6 9 A. Vega 6.6 ↑ 63' 10 J. R. Angulo 6.6 ↑ 90' 8 N. Castro 6.4 ↑ 63' 26 Paulinho 6.4 ↑ 75'

Substitutes

181GI. Martinez 14DJ. Romaña↓ 46'6.9 185DC. Mora 26DS. Reyes 4DB. Colula 25DP. Bellón 18ME. Guerra↓ 62'6.8 6MF. Beltrán↓ 63'6.8 20MR. Echeverría↓ 46'6.3 19FA. Alvarado↓ 46'7.0

Coach: Javier Gandolfi

Substitutes

22GL. García 25DE. López 17DB. García 13DLuan 29MJ. Díaz↓ 90'7.7 15MP. Pérez↓ 63'6.5 11MHelinho↓ 63'6.0 7MV. Guzmán 24MF. Arce Jr. 16FF. Viñas↓ 75'6.9

Coach: Antonio Mohamed

Top stats

38%Possession62%

1.23Expected goals (xG)1.26

16Total shots14

7Shots on target5

5Big chances1

3Corners6

Shots

6Shots off target6

3Blocked shots3

12Shots inside box9

4Shots outside box5

1Big chances scored0

4Big chances missed1

-0.4Goals prevented-0.09

Attack

25Touches in box27

43Final third entries65

0Offsides5

14Free kicks17

1Fouled in final third3

Passing

335Passes564

250Accurate passes485

16/56 (29%)Long balls12/47 (26%)

6/13 (46%)Crosses5/18 (28%)

12Throw-ins19

Duels

50Duels50

46/93 (49%)Ground duels47/93 (51%)

12/24 (50%)Aerial duels12/24 (50%)

10/23 (43%)Dribbles10/25 (40%)

9Dispossessed7

Defending

22Tackles22

55Tackles won73

10Interceptions6

22Clearances7

54Recoveries62

Discipline

17Fouls14

3Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves6

11Goal kicks7

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

León 27%

25%

Toluca 48%

Who winsToluca to win (DNB) 66% · 1.45 @ Novibet

CornersOver 10.5 corners 51% · 2.02 @ Pinnacle

1X2Toluca to win 48% · 2.25 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.73 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 72% · 1.33 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 2.62 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 3.30 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.73 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 25% · 2.76 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle

1X2León to win 27% · 3.66 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.50

Club León

3.60

Draw

1.91

CD Toluca

Double Chanceconsensus

1.80

Club León or Draw

1.23

Club León or CD Toluca

1.29

Draw or CD Toluca

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.45

Yes

2.55

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

7.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

15.15

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.14

Over 1.50

5.25

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.51

Over 2.50

2.40

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.34

Over 3.50

1.57

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.10

Over 4.50

1.21

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.70

Club León

1.42

CD Toluca

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.16

Over 7.50

3.62

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.33

Over 8.50

2.78

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.62

Over 9.50

2.16

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.98

Over 10.50

1.74

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.40

Over 11.50

1.48

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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