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M. Almeyda
CF Monterrey
CD Guadalajara
CF Monterrey
CD Guadalajara
CF Monterrey
CF Monterrey
CF Monterrey
CF Monterrey
CF Monterrey
CD Guadalajara
CF Monterrey
CF Monterrey
CF Monterrey
Matías Almeyda
CF Monterrey
CD Guadalajara
CF Monterrey
4-1-3-2 · 3-4-2-1
CD Guadalajara
Commentary
90'
Full-time. CF Monterrey 0-1 CD Guadalajara.
90+4'
Attempt saved. K. Castañeda (CD Guadalajara), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.
90'
8 minutes of added time.
90'
M. Almeyda
Red card! M. Almeyda (CF Monterrey) is sent off for argument.
90'
CF Monterrey
Corner, CF Monterrey.
70'
CD Guadalajara
Corner, CD Guadalajara.
70'
Off the woodwork! D. Campillo (CD Guadalajara), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.11.
61'
CF Monterrey
Offside, CF Monterrey.
47'
CD Guadalajara
Corner, CD Guadalajara.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. CF Monterrey 0-1 CD Guadalajara.
45+2'
CF Monterrey
Corner, CF Monterrey.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
44'
CF Monterrey
Corner, CF Monterrey.
43'
CF Monterrey
Corner, CF Monterrey.
37'
CF Monterrey
Corner, CF Monterrey.
29'
CF Monterrey
Offside, CF Monterrey.
21'
CD Guadalajara
Corner, CD Guadalajara.
20'
CF Monterrey
Corner, CF Monterrey.
9'
Goal! CF Monterrey 0-1 CD Guadalajara. R. Alvarado (CD Guadalajara) scores, assisted by S. Sandoval.
4'
CF Monterrey
Corner, CF Monterrey.
1'
CF Monterrey
Corner, CF Monterrey.
1'
Kick-off: CF Monterrey vs CD Guadalajara.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
81921 EUR · live
Away
1.05 · implied 95.2%
51.2%
-44.0 vs price
Home
500.0 · implied 0.2%
34.5%
+34.3 vs price
Draw
9.8 · implied 10.2%
14.3%
+4.1 vs price
Half time
132 EUR
Draw
2.42 · implied 41.3%
82.9%
+41.6 vs price
Away
3.85 · implied 26.0%
15.7%
-10.3 vs price
Home
3.05 · implied 32.8%
1.8%
-31.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
29145 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
60.7%
-37.4 vs price
Over
7.6 · implied 13.2%
39.3%
+26.2 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
R. Alvarado · assist S. Sandoval0–1
19'
🚫
Penalty missed · L. Ocampos
Half-time · 0–1
56'
🔁
Ó. Torres ◂ F. Ambríz
60'
🔁
E. Alvarez ◂ R. Ledezma
66'
🔁
K. Castañeda ◂ R. Marín
66'
🔁
J. Hernández ◂ O. Govea
71'
🔁
P. Ruffin ◂ C. Garza
79'
🔁
L. Orellano ◂ J. Corona
79'
🔁
Á. Chávez ◂ D. Aguirre
79'
🔁
L. Calderón ◂ B. González
82'
P. Ruffin · Foul
88'
D. Rossi · Foul
Full-time · 0–1
90'
O. Pineda · Professional foul last man
90'
M. Almeyda · Argument
90'+8
VAR
Goal not given after review · D. Rossi
Coaches
Matías AlmeydaGabriel Milito 
Recent form
CF MonterreyWAClub Puebla4-1
WHCF Pachuca2-1
DAClub América1-1
WHCD Toluca2-1
LAAtlante FC2-4
CD GuadalajaraWHClub Necaxa1-0
DHTigres UANL1-1
DAAtlas FC1-1
WHClub América2-0
LHQuerétaro FC0-2
About this match
**Monterrey's running hot, but Guadalajara won't roll over in this Liga MX slugfest.** Both sides are locked in the middle-table grind, and home-field advantage at Estadio BBVA could be the difference-maker here 🔥
Monterrey just demolished Puebla 4-1 and picked up three straight wins to hit their stride. Guadalajara, meantime, has been inconsistent — mixing clean sheets with draws, though they've shown they can tighten up defensively on the road.
Key storylines:
- **Monterrey's attacking momentum** keeps rolling: they've scored in every game this stretch and look sharp going forward.
- **H2H edge to Guadalajara historically**, but Monterrey dominates on home soil — the venue matters in this one.
- **Uroš Đurđević** leading the line for Monterrey against a Guadalajara back three that's leaked points recently.
Expected lineups:
- **CF Monterrey**: E. Andrada, V. Guzmán, G. Arteaga, R. Chávez, É. Aguirre, O. Pineda, L. Ocampos, H. Cuypers, Ó. Torres, D. Rossi, Uroš Đurđević
- **CD Guadalajara**: R. Rangel, D. Campillo, D. Aguirre, M. Gómez, C. Hernández, F. González, L. Romo, O. Govea, R. Alvarado, Á. Sepúlveda, R. Marín
Prediction:
**Monterrey 2-1 Guadalajara**. Monterrey's form and home comfort edge out a Guadalajara side that'll scrap but can't quite hold the line 📍
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Estadio BBVA
City
Monterrey
Kickoff
25 Oct, 01:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
CF Monterrey
4-1-3-2 · 3-4-2-1
CD Guadalajara
1
E. Andrada
8.7
2
R. Chávez
7.0
8
Ó. Torres
6.5
↑ 56'
4
V. Guzmán
6.5
3
G. Arteaga
6.2
244
P. Ruffin
6.3
↑ 71'
7
L. Ocampos
6.6
25
O. Pineda
6.6
10
L. Orellano
7.2
↑ 79'
9
D. Rossi
6.2
99
H. Cuypers
6.2
1
R. Rangel
9.0
56
Á. Chávez
6.9
↑ 79'
16
L. G. Rey
7.4
3
D. Campillo
6.9
10
E. Alvarez
6.9
↑ 60'
28
F. González
7.8
19
K. Castañeda
7.3
↑ 66'
182
L. Calderón
6.5
↑ 79'
25
R. Alvarado
8.3
30
S. Sandoval
7.4
57
J. Hernández
6.8
↑ 66'
Substitutes
22GL. Cárdenas
19DD. Aceves
14DÉ. Aguirre
33DS. Medina
13DC. Salcedo
17MJ. Corona↓ 79'6.9
5MF. Ambríz↓ 56'6.7
18MC. Garza↓ 71'6.3
30MJ. Rodríguez
27FR. de la Rosa
Coach: Matías Almeyda
Substitutes
13GÓ. Whalley
23DD. Aguirre↓ 79'7.2
46DC. Hernández
5MB. González↓ 79'6.8
6MO. Govea↓ 66'6.7
37MR. Ledezma↓ 60'6.6
33MJ. Carrillo
14MH. Camberos
59MC. Inda
17FR. Marín↓ 66'6.7
Coach: Gabriel Milito
Top stats
61%Possession39%
1.85Expected goals (xG)1.77
11Total shots11
5Shots on target7
3Big chances3
8Corners3
Shots
3Shots off target3
3Blocked shots1
10Shots inside box7
1Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed2
1.48Goals prevented1.63
Attack
22Touches in box19
54Final third entries62
2Offsides0
8Free kicks16
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
513Passes345
423Accurate passes267
27/63 (43%)Long balls29/64 (45%)
8/33 (24%)Crosses3/7 (43%)
34Throw-ins14
Duels
39Duels61
26/61 (43%)Ground duels35/61 (57%)
14/42 (33%)Aerial duels28/42 (67%)
5/17 (29%)Dribbles4/8 (50%)
6Dispossessed9
Defending
13Tackles18
54Tackles won67
8Interceptions7
12Clearances47
51Recoveries48
Discipline
16Fouls9
2Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
6Saves5
0Big saves1
5Goal kicks14
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.38 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 29% · 2.50 @ Bet365
1X2Guadalajara to win 33% · 3.20 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.05 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 4.40 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.37 @ Pinnacle
Who winsMonterrey to win (DNB) 53% · 1.66 @ Novibet
1X2Monterrey to win 38% · 2.66 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.73 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.41
CF Monterrey
3.13
Draw
2.80
CD Guadalajara
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
CF Monterrey or Draw
1.30
CF Monterrey or CD Guadalajara
1.50
Draw or CD Guadalajara
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.25
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.33
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.87
Over 2.50
1.89
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.20
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.03
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.63
CF Monterrey
2.15
CD Guadalajara
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
4.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50
2.75
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.69
Over 9.50
2.07
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.12
Over 10.50
1.68
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.80
Over 11.50
1.37
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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