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Atlas FC
Atlas FC
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
Atlas FC
Atlas FC
Atlas FC
Atlas FC
Atlas FC
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
Atlas FC
Hernan Crespo
Atlas FC
CF Pachuca
Atlas FC
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
CF Pachuca
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Atlas FC 1-4 CF Pachuca.
90+8'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
90+7'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
90+2'
Goal! Atlas FC 1-4 CF Pachuca. E. Bauermann (CF Pachuca) scores, assisted by Kenedy.
90+1'
CF Pachuca
Corner, CF Pachuca.
90'
9 minutes of added time.
73'
CF Pachuca
Corner, CF Pachuca.
62'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
57'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
51'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
48'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Atlas FC 0-2 CF Pachuca.
45+2'
Atlas FC
Corner, Atlas FC.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
35'
CF Pachuca
Corner, CF Pachuca.
27'
Attempt blocked. E. Bauermann (CF Pachuca), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.
27'
Attempt blocked. A. Bautista (CF Pachuca), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
26'
CF Pachuca
Corner, CF Pachuca.
13'
Atlas FC
Offside, Atlas FC.
12'
Goal! Atlas FC 0-2 CF Pachuca. O. Idrissi (CF Pachuca) scores, assisted by S. Rondón.
1'
Kick-off: Atlas FC vs CF Pachuca.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
40020 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
76.7%
-22.3 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
15.2%
+15.1 vs price
Draw
120.0 · implied 0.8%
9.3%
+8.5 vs price
Half time
15 EUR
Draw
2.6 · implied 38.5%
100.0%
+61.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
14545 EUR · live
Over
1.23 · implied 81.3%
75.5%
-5.8 vs price
Under
5.5 · implied 18.2%
24.5%
+6.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
309 EUR
Under
1.18 · implied 84.7%
89.2%
+4.4 vs price
Over
7.0 · implied 14.3%
12.6%
-1.7 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Player of the match
Match events
5'
⚽
M. Capasso0–1
7'
A. Bautista · Foul
12'
⚽
O. Idrissi · assist S. Rondón0–2
18'
A. Rocha · Foul
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
J. Lozano ◂ A. Rocha
46'
🔁
R. Mmaee ◂ M. Valenzuela
51'
⚽
M. Capasso1–2
61'
🔁
S. Santos ◂ J. Vallejo
61'
🔁
Kenedy ◂ A. Bautista
71'
🔁
M. Isais ◂ O. Idrissi
74'
L. Esteves · Argument
75'
⚽
S. Rondón (pen)1–3
77'
R. Mmaee · Argument
82'
VAR
Card check · A. Frías
83'
🔁
J. Martín ◂ F. Monzón
83'
A. Frías · Foul
85'
🔁
C. Hernández ◂ S. Rondón
85'
🔁
A. Alcaraz ◂ R. Pizarro
Full-time · 1–4
90'+2
⚽
E. Bauermann · assist Kenedy1–4
Coaches
Hernan CrespoBenjamin Mora 
Recent form
Atlas FCWAAtlético San Luis1-0
WHClub Puebla4-3
LHClub América2-5
WAClub Necaxa2-0
DHCD Guadalajara1-1
CF PachucaWHTigres UANL3-0
WAClub América2-1
LHCruz Azul1-2
LACF Monterrey1-2
DHClub Necaxa3-3
About this match
**Atlas's hot streak meets Pachuca's inconsistency** — the hosts are rolling and need to keep it rolling against a side that can't find steady form. 🔥
Atlas picked up **3 wins in their last 5** and smashed Puebla 4-3 at home, while Pachuca have been all over the place: beating Tigres convincingly but then dropping points to Cruz Azul. The head-to-head tilts toward Pachuca historically, but recent momentum is firmly red and black.
Key storylines:
- **Atlas's attack** with **F. Monzón** and **R. Mmaee** will test Pachuca's back line, especially after that chaotic 2-5 loss to América showed defensive cracks
- **Kenedy** and **O. Idrissi** need to spark Pachuca's midfield creativity — they've struggled to sustain pressure in key matches
- **J. Purata** and **A. Frías** anchoring Atlas's defense at home gives the hosts a structural edge
Expected lineups:
- **Atlas FC**: C. Vargas, M. Valenzuela, J. Purata, A. Frías, J. Sánchez, S. Hernandez, L. Esteves, P. Ramírez, K. Zenón, F. Monzón, R. Mmaee
- **CF Pachuca**: C. Moreno, F. Venegas, E. Bauermann, S. Barreto, C. Sánchez, C. Rivera, J. Berlanga, O. Idrissi, A. Bautista, Kenedy, S. Rondón
Prediction:
**Atlas 2–1 Pachuca**
Home advantage and form give Atlas the lean here. 📍
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Jalisco
City
Guadalajara
Kickoff
07 Nov, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX Apertura
Highlights & clips
Atlas FC
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
CF Pachuca
12
C. Vargas
7.5
19
A. Frías
5.1
28
M. Capasso
6.7
44
J. Purata
6.1
23
S. Hernandez
6.2
18
E. Montiel
6.8
17
J. Lozano
6.6
↑ 46'
8
R. Mmaee
6.3
↑ 46'
20
K. Zenón
7.1
10
L. Esteves
7.5
203
J. Martín
6.5
↑ 83'
25
C. Moreno
8.3
13
J. Berlanga
6.2
4
E. Bauermann
8.4
2
S. Barreto
7.2
15
F. Venegas
7.2
16
C. Rivera
6.7
12
S. Santos
6.7
↑ 61'
29
Kenedy
7.4
↑ 61'
211
C. Hernández
6.4
↑ 85'
6
M. Isais
6.6
↑ 71'
9
A. Alcaraz
6.4
↑ 85'
Substitutes
22GA. Sánchez
16DM. Valenzuela↓ 46'6.4
5DJ. Rodríguez
4DA. Mora
13DG. Aguirre
26MA. Rocha↓ 46'6.0
58MA. González
192MJ. Serrato
27MV. Ríos
9FF. Monzón↓ 83'6.2
Coach: Hernan Crespo
Top stats
66%Possession34%
1.18Expected goals (xG)1.85
11Total shots15
6Shots on target8
1Big chances2
7Corners5
Shots
4Shots off target3
1Blocked shots4
6Shots inside box12
5Shots outside box3
0Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed0
-0.21Goals prevented1.05
Attack
15Touches in box20
50Final third entries45
3Offsides0
15Free kicks11
4Fouled in final third3
Passing
455Passes236
383Accurate passes172
17/37 (46%)Long balls23/51 (45%)
7/22 (32%)Crosses5/12 (42%)
28Throw-ins20
Duels
45Duels55
40/85 (47%)Ground duels45/85 (53%)
6/18 (33%)Aerial duels12/18 (67%)
8/21 (38%)Dribbles11/20 (55%)
9Dispossessed8
Defending
17Tackles22
82Tackles won64
8Interceptions10
12Clearances16
37Recoveries35
Discipline
12Fouls15
3Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves5
2Big saves2
8Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
Who winsPachuca to win (DNB) 52% · 1.95 @ Betano
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.39 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.75 @ William Hill
1X2Pachuca to win 35% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.85 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ 1xBet
1X2Atlas to win 38% · 2.70 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.73 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.40
Atlas FC
3.45
Draw
2.65
CF Pachuca
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Atlas FC or Draw
1.27
Atlas FC or CF Pachuca
1.50
Draw or CF Pachuca
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.51
Yes
2.40
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.33
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50
2.17
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.62
Over 3.50
1.46
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.83
Atlas FC
1.85
CF Pachuca
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
3.59
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50
2.70
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.71
Over 9.50
2.05
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.14
Over 10.50
1.67
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.80
Over 11.50
1.36
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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