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Ilian Iliev
Cherno More Varna
FK Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
FK Spartak Varna
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
13'
G. Trifonov
22'
B. Beyhan
33'
⚽
A. Granchov0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
C. Sidney ◂ B. Beyhan
54'
A. Granchov
57'
🔁
A. Ivanov ◂ G. Trifonov
69'
J. Tshitoku
72'
🔁
A. Todorov ◂ A. Donchev
73'
🔁
D. V. Juan ◂ Tomás
73'
🔁
V. Oliveira ◂ D. Yordanov
83'
🔁
P. Andreev ◂ M. Barandas
83'
🔁
E. Nyagolov ◂ E. Tombak
83'
🔁
G. Lazarov ◂ V. Panayotov
88'
⚽
G. Stojanovski · assist J. Lopes0–2
89'
🔁
R. Sousa ◂ J. Lopes
89'
🔁
T. Chunchukov ◂ G. Stojanovski
Full-time · 0–3
90'+4
⚽
R. Sousa · assist T. Chunchukov0–3
Coaches
Gjoko Hadzievski 
Recent form
DABotev Vratsa1-1
DHFK Dunav Ruse1-1
DHFK Dobrudzha Dobrich2-2
WAFCV Farul Constanța1-0
WHOFK Spartak Pleven1-0
DHFC CSKA 1948 Sofia2-2
WHFK Dobrudzha Dobrich7-3
DHOFC Nesebar Nesebar1-1
LABotev Plovdiv0-1
DHFK Dunav Ruse0-0
Where to watch
Sport Klub 4 HR
Diema Sport HDPlay Diema Xtra
Betano
Sport Klub 4 HR
Match facts
Stadium
Ticha Stadium
City
Varna
Referee
Dragomir Draganov
Kickoff
26 Jul, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Parva Liga
Highlights & clips
81
K. Tomov
13
E. Nyagolov
↑ 83'
3
Z. Atanasov
5
L. Squadrone
37
V. Kerchev
77
C. Sidney
↑ 46'
24
D. Teles
14
A. Todorov
↑ 72'
18
P. Andreev
↑ 83'
19
G. Lazarov
↑ 83'
20
A. Kolev
23
P. Iliev
20
D. Lozev
44
A. Granchov
45
J. Tshitoku
4
B. Ivanov
17
T. Marinov
72
V. Oliveira
↑ 73'
6
R. Sousa
↑ 89'
76
D. V. Juan
↑ 73'
9
T. Chunchukov
↑ 89'
77
A. Ivanov
↑ 57'
Substitutes
70GA. Manasiev
8DA. Donchev↓ 72'
50DE. Tombak↓ 83'
93DG. Ventsislavov
26DBandaro
29MB. Beyhan↓ 46'
71MV. Panayotov↓ 83'
23MM. Banev
22MN. P. Kostadinov
39MN. Zlatev
7FM. Barandas↓ 83'
Coach: Ilian Iliev
Substitutes
1GP. Victor
8MD. Yordanov↓ 73'
82MTomás↓ 73'
10MJ. Lopes↓ 89'
99FG. Trifonov↓ 57'
90FG. Stojanovski↓ 89'
80FÁ. Gomes
11FB. Hanne
Coach: Gjoko Hadzievski
Top stats
64%Possession36%
1.94Expected goals (xG)1.6
19Total shots8
5Shots on target5
9Corners1
Shots
6Shots off target3
8Blocked shots0
9Shots inside box7
10Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
13Touches in box17
1Offsides0
4Free kicks3
Passing
433Passes248
314Accurate passes156
28/60 (46%)Long balls28/55 (50%)
8/22 (36%)Crosses5/13 (38%)
25Throw-ins24
Duels
50Duels48
45/88 (51%)Ground duels42/87 (48%)
23/46 (50%)Aerial duels23/46 (50%)
8/10 (80%)Dribbles7/13 (54%)
5Dispossessed6
Defending
2Tackles1
10Interceptions17
22Clearances44
Discipline
11Fouls16
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
6Goal kicks13
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsCherno More to win (DNB) 73% · 1.33 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.65 @ 10bet
1X2Cherno More to win 52% · 1.82 @ 1xBet
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.82 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.24 @ Betano
1X2Draw 28% · 3.40 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.61 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.83 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 1.42 @ Betano
1X2Spartak Varna to win 20% · 5.11 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.78
Cherno More Varna ▲
3.09
Draw ▼
4.35
FK Spartak Varna ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.16
Cherno More Varna or Draw ▼
1.30
Cherno More Varna or FK Spartak Varna ▲
1.95
Draw or FK Spartak Varna ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.01
Yes ▼
1.72
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50 ▲
7.68
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.40
Over 1.50 ▲
2.85
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.20
Over 2.50 ▼
1.65
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.15
Over 3.50 ▲
1.22
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.95
Over 4.50 ▼
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.26
Cherno More Varna ▼
3.30
FK Spartak Varna ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.07
Over 5.50
7.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.17
Over 6.50
4.60
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.30
Over 7.50 ▼
3.10
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.56
Over 8.50 ▼
2.25
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.93
Over 9.50 ▼
1.76
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.55
Over 10.50 ▼
1.44
Under 10.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.50
Over 11.50 ▼
1.25
Under 11.50 ▲
1.6 – 0.8Expected goals
1-0Most likely score
~9Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno More to win (DNB)Who wins | 73% | 73% | 1.28 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 57% | 57% | 1.62 | Overpriced | low |
| Cherno More to win1X2 | 52% | 52% | 1.76 | Overpriced | low |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 54% | 54% | 1.71 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 77% | 77% | 1.21 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 28% | 28% | 3.27 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 59% | 59% | 1.56 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 64% | 64% | 1.44 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 52% | 52% | 1.76 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 68% | 67% | 1.38 | Overpriced | medium |
| Spartak Varna to win1X2 | 20% | 20% | 4.71 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Cherno More to win — we say 59%, they say 52%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 68% | 0% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 45% | -2% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 22% | +1% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 42% | +4% | Yes |
| Home win | 52% | 44% | +8% | Yes |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | +3% | Yes |
| Away win | 20% | 31% | -11% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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