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Emanuel Lukanov
FK Dunav Ruse
Ludogorets
FK Dunav Ruse
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Ludogorets
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Match events
14'
⚽
B. Tekpetey0–1
Half-time · 0–1
47'
⚽
Rwan Cruz0–2
59'
🔁
I. Budinov ◂ A. Alves
59'
🔁
V. Vidaković ◂ S. Gavrilov
71'
🔁
A. Camara ◂ P. Stanić
71'
🔁
K. Duah ◂ Rwan Cruz
71'
🔁
E. Rodríguez ◂ B. Tekpetey
71'
🔁
Son ◂ A. Salido
78'
🔁
I. Keita ◂ K. Boychev
78'
🔁
S. Predev ◂ D. Todorov
82'
I. Nachmias
88'
🔁
O. Verdon ◂ A. Nedyalkov
Full-time · 0–2
Coaches
Thomas Reis 
Recent form
LALevski Sofia1-2
DACherno More Varna1-1
DHFK Dobrudzha Dobrich1-1
DAFK Spartak Varna0-0
LHOFC Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa1-2
LAHapoel Tel Aviv0-2
WHLokomotiv Plovdiv1-0
WHKF Teuta Durrës1-0
WAFK Septemvri Sofia1-0
DAFC Botoșani2-2
Where to watch
Sport Klub 3 HR
Diema Sport HDPlay Diema Xtra
Betano
Sport Klub 3 HR
Match facts
Stadium
Gradski Stadium
City
Ruse
Referee
Georgi Dimitrov
Kickoff
27 Jul, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Parva Liga
Highlights & clips
33
G. Kitanov
50
I. Budinov
↑ 59'
5
K. Antoniou
4
J. Cabarcas
22
S. Predev
↑ 78'
V. Vidaković
↑ 59'
14
R. Apostolov
2
M. I. Dilchovski
18
I. Keita
↑ 78'
11
D. Minchev
9
A. Valino
39
H. Bonmann
2
J. Andersson
55
I. Nachmias
42
S. Shishkov
3
A. Nedyalkov
18
I. Chochev
26
F. Kaloč
20
A. Camara
↑ 71'
9
K. Duah
↑ 71'
24
O. Verdon
↑ 88'
12
Rwan Cruz
Substitutes
69GP. Pepelyashev
39DA. Alves↓ 59'
88DD. Todorov↓ 78'
6DS. Yovkov
24MS. Gavrilov↓ 59'
10MK. Boychev↓ 78'
19MS. Stefanov
45FA. Donev
77FA. Simeonov
Coach: Emanuel Lukanov
Substitutes
1GS. Padt
27DV. Nogueira
22DM. Polendakov
14MP. Stanić↓ 71'
37MB. Tekpetey↓ 71'
99MS. Ivanov
40MA. Marinov
7FA. Salido↓ 71'
29FY. E. Bile
Coach: Thomas Reis
Top stats
47%Possession53%
0.85Expected goals (xG)2.03
8Total shots19
4Shots on target10
2Corners5
Shots
3Shots off target7
1Blocked shots2
3Shots inside box11
5Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
13Touches in box19
1Offsides0
1Free kicks3
Passing
391Passes485
327Accurate passes416
25/49 (51%)Long balls27/42 (64%)
6/11 (54%)Crosses6/13 (46%)
21Throw-ins23
Duels
44Duels56
46/95 (48%)Ground duels50/95 (53%)
9/28 (32%)Aerial duels19/28 (68%)
12/19 (63%)Dribbles16/25 (64%)
5Dispossessed1
Defending
0Tackles1
10Interceptions8
16Clearances19
Discipline
7Fouls8
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
8Saves4
9Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 62 bookmakers
Who winsLudogorets to win (DNB) 85% · 1.14 @ Betano
1X2Ludogorets to win 69% · 1.43 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.85 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 1.76 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.31 @ Marathon
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.83 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.26 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 53% · 1.83 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 19% · 5.60 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.47 @ efbet.net
1X2Dunav to win 11% · 10.50 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
8.06
FK Dunav Ruse
4.78
Draw
1.33
Ludogorets
Double Chanceconsensus
3.00
FK Dunav Ruse or Draw
1.15
FK Dunav Ruse or Ludogorets
1.06
Draw or Ludogorets
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.98
Yes
1.72
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.00
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.07
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50
2.10
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.63
Over 3.50
1.42
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.25
Over 4.50 ▲
1.16
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
6.29
FK Dunav Ruse
1.09
Ludogorets
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.22
Over 6.50 ▲
3.45
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.44
Over 7.50 ▲
2.50
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.79
Over 8.50 ▲
1.91
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.13
Over 9.50 ▲
1.62
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.09
Over 10.50 ▲
1.28
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.00
Over 11.50 ▲
1.18
Under 11.50 ▼
Corners 1X2consensus
4.40
FK Dunav Ruse ▼
9.70
Draw ▼
1.28
Ludogorets ▲
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets to win (DNB)Who wins | 85% | 85% | 1.09 | Overpriced | high |
| Ludogorets to win1X2 | 69% | 69% | 1.33 | Overpriced | medium |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 54% | 54% | 1.72 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 56% | 56% | 1.65 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 70% | 70% | 1.33 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 58% | 58% | 1.61 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 77% | 77% | 1.2 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 53% | 53% | 1.74 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 19% | 19% | 4.78 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 65% | 65% | 1.42 | Overpriced | medium |
| Dunav to win1X2 | 11% | 11% | 8.06 | Overpriced | low |
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 68% | +9% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 45% | +11% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 22% | +13% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 42% | +4% | Yes |
| Home win | 11% | 44% | -33% | No |
| Draw | 19% | 25% | -6% | No |
| Away win | 69% | 31% | +38% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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