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Lyuboslav Penev
Lokomotiv Sofia
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Levski Sofia
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
Reinaldo ◂ D. Kusso
60'
🔁
A. Taoui ◂ N. L. Penev
61'
🔁
Maicon ◂ M. Soula
61'
🔁
Aldair ◂ S. Stoyanchov
63'
⚽
S. Delev · assist D. Kostadinov1–0
69'
G. Minchev
70'
D. Kostadinov
74'
🔁
A. Oko-Flex ◂ E. Bala
77'
⚽
Reinaldo · assist Á. Centelles1–1
80'
🔁
M. Medfai ◂ E. Dost
82'
⚽
Serginho · assist Reinaldo1–2
86'
🔁
M. Sangaré ◂ Serginho
Full-time · 1–2
90'
🔁
M. E. Papazov ◂ G. Minchev
90'
🔁
C. C. Alves ◂ S. Delev
90'+6
A. Oko-Flex
Coaches
Lyuboslav PenevJulio Velazquez 
Recent form
Lokomotiv SofiaDABotev Plovdiv1-1
DHKF Teuta Durrës0-0
DHDukagjini3-3
WHFC Drita2-1
LAFK Spartak Varna0-3
Levski SofiaWHUniversitatea Craiova1-0
WHFK Dunav Ruse2-1
WHFK Borac Banja Luka4-0
DAFK Borac Banja Luka1-1
WHFK Radnik Surdulica5-0
Where to watch
Sport Klub 3 HR
Diema Sport HDPlay Diema Xtra
Betano
Sport Klub 3 HR
Match facts
Stadium
Lokomotiv Stadium
City
Sofia
Referee
Nikola Popov
Kickoff
25 Jul, 18:15 UTC
Competition
Parva Liga
Highlights & clips
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Levski Sofia
99
M. Velichkov
22
R. Daskalov
44
B. Katsarov
91
R. Bidounga
14
A. Lyaskov
31
K. Stanoev
13
M. Medfai
↑ 80'
11
A. Taoui
↑ 60'
20
D. Kostadinov
17
M. E. Papazov
↑ 90'
77
C. C. Alves
↑ 90'
92
S. Vutsov
20
Á. Centelles
31
N. Serafimov
18
G. Trdin
4
C. Makoun
12
M. Sangaré
↑ 86'
47
A. Bouras
7
Reinaldo
↑ 46'
21
Aldair
↑ 61'
11
A. Oko-Flex
↑ 74'
3
Maicon
↑ 61'
Substitutes
24GA. Lyubenov
61DEirô
19DM. Mitkov
71MN. L. Penev↓ 60'
5ME. Dost↓ 80'
7MS. Delev↓ 90'
21MK. Chachev
26MK. Miloshev
10FG. Minchev↓ 90'
45FG. Emil
Coach: Lyuboslav Penev
Substitutes
78GM. Lukov
1GO. Vladimirov
50DK. Dimitrov
27MD. Kusso↓ 46'
22MM. Soula↓ 61'
17ME. Bala↓ 74'
35MSerginho↓ 86'
77MA. Raychev
28FS. Stoyanchov↓ 61'
Coach: Julio Velazquez
Top stats
39%Possession61%
0.64Expected goals (xG)2.42
8Total shots17
3Shots on target7
5Corners8
Shots
3Shots off target7
2Blocked shots3
3Shots inside box12
5Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
14Touches in box22
1Offsides3
4Free kicks4
Passing
316Passes453
243Accurate passes380
21/40 (52%)Long balls23/43 (53%)
5/18 (27%)Crosses5/13 (38%)
16Throw-ins17
Duels
44Duels56
43/100 (43%)Ground duels59/101 (58%)
11/22 (50%)Aerial duels11/22 (50%)
8/17 (47%)Dribbles10/16 (63%)
7Dispossessed5
Defending
1Tackles3
12Interceptions10
23Clearances20
Discipline
14Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
9Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsLokomotiv Sofia to win (DNB) 78% · 1.24 @ Bwin
1X2Lokomotiv Sofia to win 61% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 1.54 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.62 @ Betsson
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.20 @ Betway
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.75 @ Betsson
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.73 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 22% · 4.35 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.62 @ Bet365
1X2Levski Sofia to win 17% · 5.70 @ Marathon
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.54
Lokomotiv Sofia ▲
4.08
Draw ▼
4.91
Levski Sofia ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.14
Lokomotiv Sofia or Draw ▲
1.21
Lokomotiv Sofia or Levski Sofia ▲
2.32
Draw or Levski Sofia ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes ▼
2.25
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50 ▼
15.25
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50 ▲
5.50
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.52
Over 2.50 ▲
2.38
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.25
Over 3.50 ▲
1.62
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.75
Over 4.50 ▲
1.23
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.22
Lokomotiv Sofia ▲
3.69
Levski Sofia ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.03
Over 4.50
13.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.07
Over 5.50 ▲
7.50
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.18
Over 6.50 ▼
4.28
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.36
Over 7.50 ▲
2.84
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.65
Over 8.50 ▲
2.10
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.10
Over 9.50 ▲
1.65
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.73
Over 10.50 ▲
1.38
Under 10.50 ▼
0.9 – 1.6Expected goals
0-1Most likely score
~9Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Sofia to win (DNB)Who wins | 78% | 78% | 1.2 | Overpriced | high |
| Lokomotiv Sofia to win1X2 | 61% | 61% | 1.5 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 60% | 62% | 1.49 | Overpriced | medium |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 58% | 58% | 1.6 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 80% | 81% | 1.14 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 57% | 57% | 1.63 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 66% | 65% | 1.41 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 54% | 54% | 1.71 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 22% | 22% | 4.26 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 61% | 59% | 1.59 | Fair | medium |
| Levski Sofia to win1X2 | 17% | 17% | 5.36 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Levski Sofia to win (DNB) — we say 75%, they say 22%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 68% | +12% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 45% | +15% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 22% | +17% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 42% | +16% | Yes |
| Home win | 61% | 44% | +17% | Yes |
| Draw | 22% | 25% | -3% | No |
| Away win | 17% | 31% | -14% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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