Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa — preview

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Parva Liga ·Sun 02 Aug

Ludogorets

16:00UTC

Upcoming

Botev Vratsa

Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 20 bookmakers

Ludogorets 69%

20%

Botev Vratsa 11%

Who winsLudogorets to win (DNB) 85% · 1.11 @ Novibet

1X2Ludogorets to win 69% · 1.37 @ Novibet

BTTSBTTS: No 58% · 1.64 @ Novibet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63%

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.27 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.38 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 20% · 4.80 @ Bwin

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60%

1X2Botev Vratsa to win 11% · 9.20 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.33

Ludogorets

4.60

Draw

8.39

Botev Vratsa

Double Chanceconsensus

1.06

Ludogorets or Draw

1.17

Ludogorets or Botev Vratsa

3.06

Draw or Botev Vratsa

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.18

Yes

1.60

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

10.53

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.26

Over 1.50

3.70

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.80

Over 2.50

1.93

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.00

Over 3.50

1.38

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.90

Over 4.50

1.13

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.09

Ludogorets

6.40

Botev Vratsa

Odd / Even Goalsconsensus

1.87

Odd

1.85

Even

Team Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.09

Over 0.50

6.61

Under 0.50

Team Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.51

Over 1.50

2.40

Under 1.50

Team Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.57

Over 2.50

1.44

Under 2.50

Team Total Goals 3.50consensus

5.05

Over 3.50

1.14

Under 3.50

Team Total Goals 4.50consensus

11.50

Over 4.50

1.04

Under 4.50

Team Total Goals 5.50consensus

24.00

Over 5.50

1.01

Under 5.50

Full odds via API →

1.9 – 0.7Expected goals

1-0Most likely score

~10Expected corners

No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.

Every market recommended rows highlighted

Our call	How likely	Bookmakers say	Their odds	Price check	Confidence
Ludogorets to win (DNB)Who wins	85%	85%	1.09	Overpriced	high
Ludogorets to win1X2	69%	69%	1.33	Overpriced	medium
BTTS: NoBTTS	58%	58%	1.6	Overpriced	low
Over 9.5 cornersCorners	51%	—	—	—	low
Over 8.5 cornersCorners	63%	—	—	—	medium
Over 2.5 goalsGoals	51%	52%	1.79	Overpriced	low
Over 1.5 goalsGoals	74%	74%	1.24	Overpriced	high
Under 3.5 goalsGoals	70%	69%	1.34	Overpriced	medium
Draw1X2	20%	20%	4.6	Overpriced	low
Under 10.5 cornersCorners	60%	—	—	—	medium
Botev Vratsa to win1X2	11%	11%	8.39	Overpriced	low

Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 3.5 goals — we say 75%, they say 69%.

Probability vs league average

Market	This match	League avg	Diff	More likely?
Over 1.5 goals	74%	68%	+6%	Yes
Over 2.5 goals	51%	45%	+6%	Yes
Over 3.5 goals	30%	22%	+8%	Yes
Both teams to score	42%	42%	0%	No
Home win	69%	44%	+25%	Yes
Draw	20%	25%	-5%	No
Away win	11%	31%	-20%	No

How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.

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