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Ilian Iliev
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Ludogorets
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
35478 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
67.5%
-31.5 vs price
Home
120.0 · implied 0.8%
23.8%
+23.0 vs price
Draw
34.0 · implied 2.9%
11.4%
+8.4 vs price
Half time
669 EUR · live
Draw
2.08 · implied 48.1%
52.9%
+4.8 vs price
Home
6.8 · implied 14.7%
37.5%
+22.8 vs price
Away
4.1 · implied 24.4%
9.4%
-15.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
4401 EUR · live
Under
3.15 · implied 31.7%
73.5%
+41.7 vs price
Over
1.45 · implied 69.0%
26.5%
-42.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1084 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
91.2%
-6.9 vs price
Over
27.0 · implied 3.7%
8.8%
+5.1 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Match events
27'
A. Nedyalkov
30'
⚽
G. Lazarov1–0
34'
M. Achi
39'
E. Kurtulus
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
N. Fernandes ◂ A. Salido
46'
🔁
A. Camara ◂ P. Stanić
47'
⚽
Rwan Cruz1–1
50'
⚽
Rwan Cruz1–2
53'
⚽
I. Chochev1–3
63'
🔁
C. Sidney ◂ V. Panayotov
63'
🔁
B. Beyhan ◂ G. Lazarov
63'
🔁
N. Zlatev ◂ Z. Atanasov
65'
🔁
M. Polendakov ◂ J. Andersson
68'
N. Fernandes
68'
N. Zlatev
74'
🔁
K. Duah ◂ Rwan Cruz
77'
🔁
I. Bunas ◂ M. Achi
77'
🔁
J. Padilla ◂ A. Kolev
82'
B. Beyhan
84'
⚽
N. Zlatev · assist B. Beyhan2–3
87'
🔁
D. Duarte ◂ B. Tekpetey
Full-time · 2–3
Coaches
Ilian IlievThomas Reis 
Recent form
Cherno More VarnaLABotev Plovdiv0-1
LHFK Spartak Varna0-3
DABotev Vratsa1-1
DHFK Dunav Ruse1-1
DHFK Dobrudzha Dobrich2-2
LudogoretsWHBotev Vratsa2-1
DHHapoel Tel Aviv2-2
WAFK Dunav Ruse2-0
LAHapoel Tel Aviv0-2
WHLokomotiv Plovdiv1-0
Where to watch
Diema Sport HDPlay Diema Xtra
Sportklub 9 Croatia
Match facts
Stadium
Ticha Stadium
City
Varna
Kickoff
09 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Parva Liga
Highlights & clips
Cherno More Varna
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Ludogorets
81
K. Tomov
29
B. Beyhan
↑ 63'
5
L. Squadrone
26
Bandaro
50
E. Tombak
39
N. Zlatev
↑ 63'
24
D. Teles
9
J. Padilla
↑ 77'
13
E. Nyagolov
10
C. Sidney
↑ 63'
20
A. Kolev
39
H. Bonmann
22
M. Polendakov
↑ 65'
15
E. Kurtulus
3
A. Nedyalkov
42
S. Shishkov
18
I. Chochev
26
F. Kaloč
20
A. Camara
↑ 46'
10
N. Fernandes
↑ 46'
23
D. Duarte
↑ 87'
9
K. Duah
↑ 74'
Top stats
39%Possession61%
0.64Expected goals (xG)1.56
9Total shots8
6Shots on target4
3Corners3
Shots
2Shots off target3
1Blocked shots1
4Shots inside box6
5Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
10Touches in box11
4Offsides1
0Free kicks0
Passing
377Passes576
287Accurate passes491
19/55 (34%)Long balls24/54 (44%)
1/8 (12%)Crosses2/13 (15%)
14Throw-ins25
Duels
50Duels50
43/84 (51%)Ground duels41/83 (49%)
12/25 (48%)Aerial duels13/25 (52%)
5/5 (100%)Dribbles1/5 (20%)
5Dispossessed10
Defending
1Tackles1
16Interceptions10
34Clearances33
Discipline
14Fouls9
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
7Goal kicks4
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsLudogorets to win (DNB) 73% · 1.29 @ Pinnacle
1X2Ludogorets to win 54% · 1.73 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.80 @ Betway
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 59% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.31 @ Betsson
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.85 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ Betano
1X2Draw 26% · 3.80 @ Betway
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.36 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 52% · 1.83 @ Bet365
1X2Cherno More to win 20% · 5.25 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.32
Cherno More Varna ▼
3.40
Draw
1.67
Ludogorets
Double Chanceconsensus
2.02
Cherno More Varna or Draw ▼
1.24
Cherno More Varna or Ludogorets ▼
1.16
Draw or Ludogorets
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.92
Yes ▼
1.78
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.87
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.30
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.03
Over 2.50 ▲
1.76
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.55
Over 3.50
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.36
Cherno More Varna ▼
1.24
Ludogorets ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.21
Over 6.50 ▲
3.66
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.44
Over 7.50
2.52
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.79
Over 8.50 ▲
1.91
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.30
Over 9.50 ▲
1.53
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.12
Over 10.50 ▲
1.29
Under 10.50
Corners 1X2consensus
2.68
Cherno More Varna
7.65
Draw
1.62
Ludogorets
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.89
Odd ▲
1.84
Even ▲
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Ludogorets to win or draw
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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