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Lyuboslav Penev
Lokomotiv Sofia
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
45431 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
56.2%
-42.8 vs price
Home
950.0 · implied 0.1%
29.1%
+29.0 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
15.0%
+14.9 vs price
Half time
3148 EUR · live
Away
4.7 · implied 21.3%
51.9%
+30.7 vs price
Home
4.9 · implied 20.4%
42.8%
+22.4 vs price
Draw
1.68 · implied 59.5%
5.2%
-54.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
12792 EUR · live
Under
1.95 · implied 51.3%
63.3%
+12.0 vs price
Over
2.04 · implied 49.0%
36.7%
-12.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1343 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
81.9%
-16.1 vs price
Over
38.0 · implied 2.6%
18.1%
+15.5 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Match events
13'
F. Soltani
15'
R. Daskalov
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
M. Medfai ◂ E. Dost
46'
🔁
A. Taoui ◂ N. L. Penev
52'
G. Minchev
53'
⚽
E. Franco0–1
54'
M. Medfai
60'
🔁
F. Maciel ◂ B. Tsonev
60'
🔁
A. Iliev ◂ M. Diallo
60'
🔁
G. Rusev ◂ J. Martínez
60'
🔁
K. Iliev ◂ B. Benamar
70'
🔁
M. E. Papazov ◂ G. Minchev
73'
⚽
F. Maciel0–2
77'
⚽
S. Delev1–2
81'
🔁
J. Meyer ◂ F. Krebs
85'
🔁
C. C. Alves ◂ D. Kostadinov
85'
🔁
Eirô ◂ R. Daskalov
87'
⚽
F. Maciel1–3
Full-time · 1–3
90'+2
K. Iliev
Coaches
Aleksandar Emilov Aleksandrov 
Recent form
DASlavia Sofia1-1
LHLevski Sofia1-2
DABotev Plovdiv1-1
DHKF Teuta Durrës0-0
DHDukagjini3-3
DAPanathinaikos FC1-1
WHArda Kardzhali2-1
DHFC Spartak Trnava0-0
WHBotev Vratsa2-1
DAFC Spartak Trnava0-0
Where to watch
Sport Klub 5 HR
Diema Sport HDPlay Diema Xtra
Sport Klub 5 HR
Match facts
Stadium
Lokomotiv Stadium
City
Sofia
Kickoff
08 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Parva Liga
Highlights & clips
99
M. Velichkov
6
Eirô
↑ 85'
44
B. Katsarov
91
R. Bidounga
14
A. Lyaskov
31
K. Stanoev
11
A. Taoui
↑ 46'
16
M. Medfai
↑ 46'
77
C. C. Alves
↑ 85'
7
S. Delev
17
M. E. Papazov
↑ 70'
31
A. Bozhev
96
D. Grivić
6
E. Parkhomenko
70
K. Iliev
↑ 60'
15
F. Soltani
34
P. Vitanov
30
J. Meyer
↑ 81'
67
F. Maciel
↑ 60'
11
G. Rusev
↑ 60'
77
E. Franco
9
A. Iliev
↑ 60'
Substitutes
24GA. Lyubenov
22DR. Daskalov↓ 85'
3DK. Kostov
42DN. Neychev
19DM. Mitkov
5ME. Dost↓ 46'
71MN. L. Penev↓ 46'
20MD. Kostadinov↓ 85'
21MK. Chachev
26MK. Miloshev
10FG. Minchev↓ 70'
Coach: Lyuboslav Penev
Substitutes
13GD. Sheytanov
5DB. Benamar↓ 60'
22DO. Gašević
10MB. Tsonev↓ 60'
23MF. Krebs↓ 81'
14MK. Strinski
19MM. Boychev
17FJ. Martínez↓ 60'
93FM. Diallo↓ 60'
18FB. Dimitrov
71FD. Tarasenko
Coach: Aleksandar Emilov Aleksandrov
Top stats
55%Possession45%
1.64Expected goals (xG)2.54
16Total shots17
9Shots on target7
7Corners5
Shots
6Shots off target5
1Blocked shots5
9Shots inside box14
7Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
19Touches in box28
1Offsides4
2Free kicks3
Passing
408Passes328
316Accurate passes252
23/55 (41%)Long balls30/49 (61%)
4/17 (23%)Crosses8/12 (66%)
22Throw-ins23
Duels
57Duels43
52/89 (58%)Ground duels37/88 (42%)
19/35 (54%)Aerial duels16/35 (46%)
12/14 (86%)Dribbles8/12 (67%)
10Dispossessed6
Defending
1Tackles2
10Interceptions17
28Clearances21
Discipline
13Fouls7
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves8
9Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 28 bookmakers
Who winsCSKA 1948 Sofia to win (DNB) 54% · 1.91 @ 10bet
1X2CSKA 1948 Sofia to win 39% · 2.60 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 29% · 3.36 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.73 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.67 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.58 @ Betsson
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 2.02 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.33 @ Betway
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ Unibet
1X2Lokomotiv Sofia to win 32% · 2.74 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.52
Lokomotiv Sofia ▼
2.92
Draw ▼
2.54
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia
Double Chanceconsensus
1.47
Lokomotiv Sofia or Draw
1.32
Lokomotiv Sofia or FC CSKA 1948 Sofia ▲
1.45
Draw or FC CSKA 1948 Sofia ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.71
Yes
2.03
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.44
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.45
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.96
Over 2.50 ▲
1.82
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.30
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.60
Over 4.50 ▲
1.11
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.87
Lokomotiv Sofia ▲
1.83
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.19
Over 6.50
4.05
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.29
Over 7.50
3.20
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.55
Over 8.50 ▼
2.32
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.93
Over 9.50 ▼
1.79
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.58
Over 10.50 ▼
1.45
Under 10.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.51
Over 11.50 ▼
1.25
Under 11.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
5.30
Over 12.50
1.14
Under 12.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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