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Aleksandar Emilov Aleksandrov
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia
Cherno More Varna
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Cherno More Varna
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
43818 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
75.7%
-23.3 vs price
Away
990.0 · implied 0.1%
15.2%
+15.1 vs price
Draw
490.0 · implied 0.2%
9.2%
+9.0 vs price
Half time
111 EUR · live
Draw
2.1 · implied 47.6%
48.8%
+1.2 vs price
Home
2.68 · implied 37.3%
37.9%
+0.6 vs price
Away
5.8 · implied 17.2%
11.7%
-5.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
11999 EUR · live
Over
1.32 · implied 75.8%
59.8%
-16.0 vs price
Under
4.7 · implied 21.3%
40.6%
+19.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2380 EUR · live
Under
1.32 · implied 75.8%
98.7%
+23.0 vs price
Over
4.2 · implied 23.8%
1.2%
-22.6 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Match events
10'
⚽
M. Achi0–1
34'
E. Tombak
40'
⚽
F. Maciel1–1
42'
B. Beyhan
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
A. Iliev ◂ P. Vitanov
52'
⚽
A. Iliev2–1
59'
🔁
M. Barandas ◂ G. Lazarov
63'
⚽
F. Maciel3–1
71'
🔁
E. Franco ◂ G. Rusev
76'
🔁
J. Padilla ◂ N. Zlatev
76'
🔁
V. Panayotov ◂ D. Teles
76'
🔁
A. Todorov ◂ B. Beyhan
76'
🔁
B. Tsonev ◂ B. Sobrero
82'
⚽
E. Franco4–1
84'
🔁
M. Boychev ◂ F. Maciel
84'
🔁
F. Krebs ◂ M. Zemzemi
87'
🔁
P. Andreev ◂ C. Sidney
Full-time · 4–1
Coaches
Ilian Iliev 
Recent form
LHPanathinaikos FC1-2
WALokomotiv Sofia3-1
DAPanathinaikos FC1-1
WHArda Kardzhali2-1
DHFC Spartak Trnava0-0
LHLudogorets2-3
LABotev Plovdiv0-1
LHFK Spartak Varna0-3
DABotev Vratsa1-1
DHFK Dunav Ruse1-1
Match facts
Stadium
Bistritsa Stadium
City
Bistritsa
Kickoff
14 Aug, 18:15 UTC
Competition
Parva Liga
Highlights & clips
31
A. Bozhev
2
D. Medina
4
A. Hoffmann
5
B. Benamar
22
O. Gašević
19
M. Boychev
↑ 84'
9
A. Iliev
↑ 46'
23
F. Krebs
↑ 84'
30
J. Meyer
77
E. Franco
↑ 71'
10
B. Tsonev
↑ 76'
81
K. Tomov
50
E. Tombak
3
Z. Atanasov
5
L. Squadrone
26
Bandaro
71
V. Panayotov
↑ 76'
14
A. Todorov
↑ 76'
9
J. Padilla
↑ 76'
11
M. Achi
18
P. Andreev
↑ 87'
7
M. Barandas
↑ 59'
Substitutes
13GD. Sheytanov
96DD. Grivić
70DK. Iliev
6DE. Parkhomenko
34MP. Vitanov↓ 46'
11MG. Rusev↓ 71'
20MB. Sobrero↓ 76'
8MM. Zemzemi↓ 84'
67MF. Maciel↓ 84'
33MH. Cuellar
93FM. Diallo
Coach: Aleksandar Emilov Aleksandrov
Top stats
56%Possession44%
1.53Expected goals (xG)1.27
11Total shots13
6Shots on target6
7Corners3
Shots
3Shots off target2
2Blocked shots4
8Shots inside box6
3Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork1
Attack
23Touches in box11
3Offsides2
1Free kicks1
Passing
555Passes422
477Accurate passes339
22/43 (51%)Long balls25/39 (64%)
7/12 (58%)Crosses4/13 (30%)
13Throw-ins16
Duels
48Duels51
48/101 (48%)Ground duels53/101 (52%)
11/20 (55%)Aerial duels9/20 (45%)
3/5 (60%)Dribbles3/5 (60%)
12Dispossessed10
Defending
0Tackles1
9Interceptions14
13Clearances20
Discipline
5Fouls10
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
8Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 64 bookmakers
Who winsCSKA 1948 Sofia to win (DNB) 73% · 1.42 @ merkurxtip
1X2CSKA 1948 Sofia to win 53% · 2.37 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.73 @ betfair
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.88 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.27 @ betfair
1X2Draw 27% · 2.48 @ kto
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.80 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.45 @ forbet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 1.44 @ efbet.net
1X2Cherno More to win 19% · 5.20 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.72
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia ▼
3.36
Draw ▲
4.76
Cherno More Varna ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.16
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia or Draw ▼
1.28
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia or Cherno More Varna ▼
1.98
Draw or Cherno More Varna ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.97
Yes
1.74
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50 ▲
7.81
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.35
Over 1.50
2.94
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50 ▼
1.66
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.76
Over 3.50 ▼
1.23
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.56
Over 4.50 ▲
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.27
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia ▼
3.38
Cherno More Varna ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.20
Over 6.50
4.20
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.35
Over 7.50
2.84
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.63
Over 8.50
2.12
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.05
Over 9.50 ▼
1.69
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.58
Over 10.50
1.41
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.46
Over 11.50
1.24
Under 11.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
4.45
Over 12.50 ▲
1.15
Under 12.50 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
FC CSKA 1948 Sofia to win or draw
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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