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Yasen Petrov
FK Spartak Varna
FK Septemvri Sofia
FK Spartak Varna
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
FK Septemvri Sofia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
44409 EUR · live
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
54.1%
-43.0 vs price
Home
950.0 · implied 0.1%
25.5%
+25.3 vs price
Draw
20.0 · implied 5.0%
21.4%
+16.4 vs price
Half time
434 EUR · live
Home
3.65 · implied 27.4%
53.0%
+25.6 vs price
Draw
1.79 · implied 55.9%
32.1%
-23.8 vs price
Away
7.0 · implied 14.3%
14.5%
+0.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
19571 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
80.4%
-18.6 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
21.2%
+18.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5987 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
97.0%
-1.1 vs price
Over
75.0 · implied 1.3%
3.0%
+1.7 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Match events
20'
K. Onashchi
33'
A. Liberal
39'
A. Granchov
Half-time · 0–0
59'
🔁
A. Ivanov ◂ B. Hanne
61'
⚽
A. Liberal · assist Y. Baurenski0–1
63'
🔁
S. Stoichkov ◂ A. Dzhamov
71'
🔁
Buá ◂ Tomás
71'
🔁
T. Chunchukov ◂ A. Ahmedov
71'
🔁
S. Major ◂ R. Sousa
74'
D. V. Juan
79'
🔁
G. Ivanov ◂ Y. Baurenski
79'
🔁
G. Trifonov ◂ T. Marinov
87'
🔁
P. I. Martin ◂ A. Liberal
87'
🔁
E. Ribeiro ◂ F. Herard
Full-time · 0–1
90'+3
S. Wade
Coaches
Saulo Freitas 
Recent form
LABotev Plovdiv2-3
WHLokomotiv Plovdiv1-0
WACherno More Varna3-0
DHFC CSKA 1948 Sofia2-2
WHFK Dobrudzha Dobrich7-3
LHCSKA Sofia0-3
LALevski Sofia0-3
LALokomotiv Plovdiv1-2
DHArda Kardzhali1-1
LHLudogorets0-1
Where to watch
Sport Klub 1 HR
Sport Klub 1 HR
Match facts
Stadium
Stadion Spartak
City
Varna
Kickoff
17 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Parva Liga
Highlights & clips
23
P. Iliev
76
D. V. Juan
45
J. Tshitoku
44
A. Granchov
4
B. Ivanov
99
G. Trifonov
↑ 79'
77
A. Ivanov
↑ 59'
19
S. Major
↑ 71'
7
Buá
↑ 71'
10
J. Lopes
9
T. Chunchukov
↑ 71'
12
V. Ivanov
13
K. Onashchi
4
M. Hristov
26
V. Ozornwafor
3
S. Wade
33
G. Ivanov
↑ 79'
6
P. Ferreira
28
S. Stoichkov
↑ 63'
8
B. Penchev
7
E. Ribeiro
↑ 87'
19
P. I. Martin
↑ 87'
Substitutes
1GP. Victor
3DM. Jurić-Petrašilo
11MB. Hanne↓ 59'
6MR. Sousa↓ 71'
82MTomás↓ 71'
17MT. Marinov↓ 79'
14MD. Pavlov.
70FA. Ahmedov↓ 71'
80FÁ. Gomes
Coach: Yasen Petrov
Substitutes
1GA. Radkov
15DP. Gospodinov
20DB. Tomovski
5MY. Baurenski↓ 79'
24MZ. Atanasov
17MN. Fontaine
11FA. Dzhamov↓ 63'
29FF. Herard↓ 87'
27FA. Liberal↓ 87'
Coach: Saulo Freitas
Top stats
41%Possession59%
0.84Expected goals (xG)1.03
8Total shots5
2Shots on target2
6Corners2
Shots
3Shots off target1
3Blocked shots2
6Shots inside box4
2Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
1Offsides3
7Free kicks2
Passing
272Passes405
182Accurate passes307
19/50 (38%)Long balls23/53 (43%)
4/9 (44%)Crosses5/10 (50%)
22Throw-ins28
Duels
53Duels47
69/117 (59%)Ground duels49/117 (42%)
12/35 (34%)Aerial duels23/35 (66%)
10/18 (56%)Dribbles4/11 (36%)
6Dispossessed13
Defending
1Tackles2
12Interceptions14
18Clearances43
Discipline
10Fouls24
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
9Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 61 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.08 @ Betway
Who winsSpartak Varna to win (DNB) 64% · 1.58 @ merkurxtip
1X2Draw 29% · 2.46 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.03 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.98 @ betfair
1X2Spartak Varna to win 45% · 2.56 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.54 @ BetMGM.uk
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.44 @ betfair
1X2Septemvri to win 26% · 4.15 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.91
FK Spartak Varna ▼
3.20
Draw ▲
3.95
FK Septemvri Sofia ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.21
FK Spartak Varna or Draw ▼
1.30
FK Spartak Varna or FK Septemvri Sofia ▼
1.79
Draw or FK Septemvri Sofia ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.86
Yes ▲
1.84
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.19
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.34
Over 1.50 ▼
3.00
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.07
Over 2.50 ▼
1.68
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.68
Over 3.50 ▼
1.24
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.03
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.44
FK Spartak Varna ▼
2.58
FK Septemvri Sofia ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.32
Over 7.50
2.99
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.60
Over 8.50
2.17
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.02
Over 9.50
1.72
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.43
Over 10.50
1.46
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.15
Over 11.50 ▼
1.28
Under 11.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
3.80
Over 12.50
1.21
Under 12.50
Corners 1X2consensus
1.85
FK Spartak Varna
7.53
Draw
2.22
FK Septemvri Sofia
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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