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Thomas Reis
Ludogorets
Botev Plovdiv
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Botev Plovdiv
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
38433 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
74.1%
-24.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
15.8%
+15.7 vs price
Draw
640.0 · implied 0.2%
10.2%
+10.0 vs price
Half time
560 EUR · live
Home
2.3 · implied 43.5%
62.9%
+19.4 vs price
Away
6.2 · implied 16.1%
36.1%
+20.0 vs price
Draw
2.7 · implied 37.0%
0.9%
-36.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
20630 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
64.3%
-30.9 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
35.7%
+30.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1299 EUR · live
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
98.6%
+7.7 vs price
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
1.3%
-7.8 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Match events
32'
⚽
T. Awany1–0
34'
⚽
Rwan Cruz2–0
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
M. Senger ◂ T. Awany
46'
🔁
G. Milanov ◂ N. Iliev
60'
🔁
C. Okoh ◂ F. Mascote
71'
🔁
E. Silva ◂ A. Chandarov
71'
🔁
D. Tonev ◂ M. Rodrigues
71'
🔁
D. Duarte ◂ A. Salido
79'
Rwan Cruz
80'
🔁
Y. E. Bile ◂ B. Tekpetey
80'
🔁
V. Nogueira ◂ S. Shishkov
80'
🔁
K. Duah ◂ Rwan Cruz
Full-time · 2–0
90'
🔁
A. Marinov ◂ A. Camara
Coaches
Stanislav Genchev 
Recent form
WACherno More Varna3-2
WHBotev Vratsa2-1
DHHapoel Tel Aviv2-2
WAFK Dunav Ruse2-0
LAHapoel Tel Aviv0-2
WHFK Spartak Varna3-2
WHCherno More Varna1-0
LACSKA Sofia2-3
DHLokomotiv Sofia1-1
WHBeroe Stara Zagora4-0
Where to watch
Sportklub 8 Croatia
Match facts
Stadium
Huvepharma Arena
City
Razgrad
Kickoff
15 Aug, 18:15 UTC
Competition
Parva Liga
Highlights & clips
39
H. Bonmann
2
J. Andersson
15
E. Kurtulus
3
A. Nedyalkov
27
V. Nogueira
↑ 80'
18
I. Chochev
26
F. Kaloč
23
D. Duarte
↑ 71'
40
A. Marinov
↑ 90'
29
Y. E. Bile
↑ 80'
9
K. Duah
↑ 80'
29
D. Naumov
82
V. Mendes
87
S. Petrov
22
M. Senger
↑ 46'
27
B. Chibuike Hein
77
L. Araújo
23
D. Tonev
↑ 71'
45
E. Silva
↑ 71'
17
G. Milanov
↑ 46'
90
S. Kalu
9
C. Okoh
↑ 60'
Substitutes
1GS. Padt
42DS. Shishkov↓ 80'
22DM. Polendakov
55DI. Nachmias
17DSon
5DG. Terziev
37MB. Tekpetey↓ 80'
20MA. Camara↓ 90'
82MI. Yordanov
7FA. Salido↓ 71'
12FRwan Cruz↓ 80'
Coach: Thomas Reis
Substitutes
21GN. Prandzhev
20DT. Awany↓ 46'
15DB. Kostov
6DI. Videv
7MN. Iliev↓ 46'
10MA. Chandarov↓ 71'
19MM. Rodrigues↓ 71'
16MV. Vidolov
28MH. Jocu
30FF. Mascote↓ 60'
13FS. Tsonov
Coach: Stanislav Genchev
Top stats
57%Possession43%
2.53Expected goals (xG)0.81
18Total shots6
6Shots on target1
7Corners1
Shots
6Shots off target3
5Blocked shots2
13Shots inside box4
5Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
Attack
23Touches in box18
1Offsides0
2Free kicks1
Passing
455Passes350
382Accurate passes270
18/30 (60%)Long balls20/39 (51%)
3/12 (25%)Crosses6/13 (46%)
24Throw-ins30
Duels
59Duels40
65/112 (58%)Ground duels47/113 (42%)
10/15 (67%)Aerial duels5/15 (33%)
9/12 (75%)Dribbles6/11 (55%)
6Dispossessed7
Defending
1Tackles2
7Interceptions18
37Clearances27
Discipline
13Fouls12
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves5
7Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
Who winsLudogorets to win (DNB) 77% · 1.32 @ merkurxtip
1X2Ludogorets to win 59% · 1.94 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 1.73 @ betonline
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.67 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.24 @ efbet.net
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 23% · 2.99 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.85 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.51 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.07 @ efbet.net
1X2Botev Plovdiv to win 18% · 5.10 @ bet9ja
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.53
Ludogorets
4.03
Draw ▼
5.24
Botev Plovdiv
Double Chanceconsensus
1.13
Ludogorets or Draw ▲
1.20
Ludogorets or Botev Plovdiv
2.30
Draw or Botev Plovdiv
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes ▼
2.02
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50 ▲
12.30
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.23
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.62
Over 2.50 ▼
2.15
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.56
Over 3.50
1.45
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.50
Over 4.50 ▼
1.19
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.20
Ludogorets
4.08
Botev Plovdiv
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.30
Over 7.50
3.07
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.56
Over 8.50 ▲
2.29
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.92
Over 9.50
1.78
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.50
Over 10.50
1.45
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.19
Over 11.50
1.28
Under 11.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
4.10
Over 12.50
1.18
Under 12.50
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
5.30
Over 13.50
1.11
Under 13.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Ludogorets to win or draw
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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