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Ilian Iliev
Cherno More Varna
FK Dunav Ruse
Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-1-1
FK Dunav Ruse
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
29122 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
62.5%
-36.5 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
32.5%
+31.5 vs price
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
5.2%
+5.1 vs price
Half time
203 EUR · live
Home
2.5 · implied 40.0%
50.9%
+10.9 vs price
Away
7.0 · implied 14.3%
38.5%
+24.2 vs price
Draw
2.3 · implied 43.5%
9.9%
-33.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
13552 EUR · live
Under
1.13 · implied 88.5%
84.2%
-4.3 vs price
Over
8.8 · implied 11.4%
15.8%
+4.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
216 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
97.0%
+1.8 vs price
Over
13.0 · implied 7.7%
2.3%
-5.4 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Match events
34'
V. Kerchev
44'
A. Alves
Half-time · 0–0
55'
⚽
D. Teles · assist E. Tombak1–0
62'
🔁
I. Budinov ◂ M. I. Dilchovski
62'
🔁
I. Keita ◂ S. Gavrilov
70'
⚽
I. Keita1–1
76'
🔁
J. Cabarcas ◂ D. Minchev
78'
🔁
I. Tasev ◂ C. Sidney
78'
🔁
Bandaro ◂ V. Kerchev
78'
🔁
I. Bunas ◂ D. Teles
82'
A. Valino
84'
🔁
J. Padilla ◂ M. Barandas
88'
🔁
P. Andreev ◂ M. Achi
Full-time · 3–1
90'+2
⚽
L. Squadrone2–1
90'+3
L. Squadrone
90'+4
⚽
P. Andreev3–1
Coaches
Emanuel Lukanov 
Recent form
LAFC CSKA 1948 Sofia1-4
LHLudogorets2-3
LABotev Plovdiv0-1
LHFK Spartak Varna0-3
DABotev Vratsa1-1
WALokomotiv Plovdiv2-1
LHArda Kardzhali0-2
LACSKA Sofia1-2
LHLudogorets0-2
LALevski Sofia1-2
Where to watch
Diema Sport HDPlay Diema Xtra
Sportklub 11 Croatia
Match facts
Stadium
Ticha Stadium
City
Varna
Referee
Kickoff
21 Aug, 18:15 UTC
Competition
Parva Liga
Highlights & clips
81
K. Tomov
50
E. Tombak
3
Z. Atanasov
5
L. Squadrone
⚽1
26
Bandaro
↑ 78'
71
V. Panayotov
29
I. Tasev
↑ 78'
9
J. Padilla
↑ 84'
99
I. Bunas
↑ 78'
18
P. Andreev
↑ 88'
19
G. Lazarov
33
G. Kitanov
39
A. Alves
5
K. Antoniou
22
S. Predev
51
I. Budinov
↑ 62'
14
R. Apostolov
44
V. Vidaković
18
I. Keita
↑ 62'
4
J. Cabarcas
↑ 76'
10
K. Bachev
9
A. Valino
Substitutes
31GD. Hristov
37DV. Kerchev↓ 78'
13DE. Nyagolov
93DG. Ventsislavov
24MD. Teles↓ 78'
11MM. Achi↓ 88'
22MN. P. Kostadinov
29MB. Beyhan
14MA. Todorov
10FC. Sidney↓ 78'
7FM. Barandas↓ 84'
Coach: Ilian Iliev
Substitutes
69GP. Pepelyashev
2DM. I. Dilchovski↓ 62'
6DS. Yovkov
24MS. Gavrilov↓ 62'
19MS. Stefanov
11FD. Minchev↓ 76'
77FA. Simeonov
Coach: Emanuel Lukanov
Top stats
1.68Expected goals (xG)0.71
Discipline
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 61 bookmakers
Who winsCherno More to win (DNB) 77% · 1.32 @ merkurxtip
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.67 @ Unibet
1X2Cherno More to win 50% · 2.03 @ merkurxtip
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.13 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.40 @ kto
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.03 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.25 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.65 @ kto
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.30 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 50% · 1.95 @ Novibet
1X2Dunav to win 23% · 5.80 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.56
Cherno More Varna ▲
3.77
Draw ▼
5.30
FK Dunav Ruse ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.13
Cherno More Varna or Draw ▲
1.22
Cherno More Varna or FK Dunav Ruse ▼
2.22
Draw or FK Dunav Ruse ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.02
Yes ▲
1.68
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.32
Over 1.50 ▲
3.05
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.01
Over 2.50 ▲
1.72
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.55
Over 3.50 ▲
1.25
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.20
Cherno More Varna
4.00
FK Dunav Ruse ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.25
Over 6.50
3.49
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.44
Over 7.50
2.51
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.81
Over 8.50
1.89
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.30
Over 9.50
1.52
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.09
Over 10.50 ▲
1.31
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.06
Over 11.50
1.18
Under 11.50
Corners 1X2consensus
1.30
Cherno More Varna
9.60
Draw
4.20
FK Dunav Ruse
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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