Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Lokomotiv's in freefall, Cherno More's barely treading water** — this is a match where someone *has* to start climbing the table, and neither team's been convincing. 🔴
Plovdiv are winless in five and bleeding goals at home. Varna found a spark with that 3-1 over Dunav but promptly got hammered twice after, so any confidence is fragile. Head-to-head favors Varna slightly, but form says **both teams are struggling**.
Key storylines:
- **Lokomotiv's defensive woes** at the Lokomotiv Stadium are killing them — 0-2, 0-1, 1-2 in recent home outings
- **Cherno More's inconsistency** — one win, four losses; they can't string performances together
- **Midfield battle shapes everything** — E. Ali and I. Ivanov for Plovdiv vs D. Teles and V. Panayotov for Varna
Expected lineups:
- **Lokomotiv Plovdiv**: B. Milosavljević, T. Pavlov, A. Chindriş, L. Ryan, I. Ivanov, E. Ali, S. Idriz, P. Umarbaev, J. Lamy, C. Longville
- **Cherno More Varna**: K. Tomov, V. Kerchev, L. Squadrone, Z. Atanasov, D. Teles, V. Panayotov, G. Lazarov, M. Achi, M. Barandas, C. Sidney
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — Lokomotiv scrapes a point at home but can't finish. Classic stalemate between two sides treading water. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.