Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**CSKA hunting redemption at home after a rough spell — Dunav's barely holding on either.** Both teams are patchy right now, but Sofia's at Bistritsa and the home crowd matters. 🏟️
CSKA dropped three of their last five but bounced back with a 2-0 win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv at home. Dunav? Even shakier — one win in five, including a 3-1 hammering to Cherno More last time out. This feels like a must-win for the hosts.
Key storylines:
- **CSKA's midfield battle**: M. Zemzemi and H. Cuellar need to control tempo and starve Dunav's creative spark early
- **Dunav's back line under pressure**: With S. Predev and M. I. Dilchovski tasked with holding firm, expect CSKA's attacking trio of J. Meyer, E. Franco, and G. Rusev to test them relentlessly
- **Home advantage in a scrap**: Sofia's 2-0 win at Bistritsa shows they can impose themselves; Dunav arrives as heavy underdogs
Expected lineups:
- **FC CSKA 1948 Sofia**: P. Marinov, O. Gašević, A. Hoffmann, L. Dvali, D. Medina, M. Zemzemi, H. Cuellar, E. Franco, J. Meyer, G. Rusev, A. Iliev
- **FK Dunav Ruse**: G. Kitanov, M. I. Dilchovski, S. Predev, A. Alves, J. Cabarcas, R. Apostolov, S. Gavrilov, A. Valino, V. Vidaković, D. Minchev, I. Keita
Prediction:
**CSKA 2–0 Dunav** 🎯
Sofia edge at home; Dunav's form is too brittle to nick anything here.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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