FK Septemvri Sofia 0-3 Botev Plovdiv: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. FK Septemvri Sofia 0-3 Botev Plovdiv.

90+2'

Z. Atanasov

Attempt missed. Z. Atanasov (FK Septemvri Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

90'

2 minutes of added time.

85'

N. Iliev

Attempt saved. N. Iliev (FK Septemvri Sofia), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.11.

84'

F. Herard

Substitution, FK Septemvri Sofia: A. Dzhamov comes on for F. Herard.

84'

K. Onashchi

Substitution, FK Septemvri Sofia: Z. Atanasov comes on for K. Onashchi.

83'

B. Chibuike Hein

Yellow card for B. Chibuike Hein (Botev Plovdiv).

81'

A. Liberal

Yellow card for A. Liberal (FK Septemvri Sofia).

75'

S. Kalu

Goal! FK Septemvri Sofia 0-3 Botev Plovdiv. S. Kalu (Botev Plovdiv) scores.

73'

B. Penchev

Attempt missed. B. Penchev (FK Septemvri Sofia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

73'

S. Kalu

Attempt missed. S. Kalu (Botev Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

71'

L. Araújo

Substitution, Botev Plovdiv: C. A. López comes on for L. Araújo.

71'

A. Salido

Substitution, Botev Plovdiv: F. Mascote comes on for A. Salido.

70'

M. Senger

Attempt missed. M. Senger (Botev Plovdiv), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

70'

G. Ivanov

Substitution, FK Septemvri Sofia: N. Iliev comes on for G. Ivanov.

68'

K. Onashchi

Yellow card for K. Onashchi (FK Septemvri Sofia).

66'

F. Herard

Attempt saved. F. Herard (FK Septemvri Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

63'

M. Rodrigues

Attempt blocked. M. Rodrigues (Botev Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

62'

A. Salido

Attempt saved. A. Salido (Botev Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

61'

A. Liberal

Attempt missed. A. Liberal (FK Septemvri Sofia), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

60'

P. Igor

Substitution, FK Septemvri Sofia: A. Liberal comes on for P. Igor.

59'

Y. Baurenski

Attempt missed. Y. Baurenski (FK Septemvri Sofia), header from a corner. xG 0.16.

55'

A. Chandarov

Attempt saved. A. Chandarov (Botev Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

54'

S. Kalu

Goal! FK Septemvri Sofia 0-2 Botev Plovdiv. S. Kalu (Botev Plovdiv) scores.

52'

N. Soldo

Substitution, Botev Plovdiv: M. Senger comes on for N. Soldo.

49'

E. Ribeiro

Red card! E. Ribeiro (FK Septemvri Sofia) is sent off.

46'

V. Mendes

Substitution, Botev Plovdiv: B. Kostov comes on for V. Mendes.

46'

I. Videv

Substitution, Botev Plovdiv: W. C. Oluebube comes on for I. Videv.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. FK Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Botev Plovdiv.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

L. Araújo

Attempt missed. L. Araújo (Botev Plovdiv), header from a set piece. xG 0.16.

40'

G. Ivanov

Attempt missed. G. Ivanov (FK Septemvri Sofia), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.00.

37'

F. Herard

Attempt blocked. F. Herard (FK Septemvri Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

36'

S. Petrov

Yellow card for S. Petrov (Botev Plovdiv).

35'

B. Penchev

Off the woodwork! B. Penchev (FK Septemvri Sofia), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.27.

33'

V. Mendes

Yellow card for V. Mendes (Botev Plovdiv).

29'

P. Ferreira

Yellow card for P. Ferreira (FK Septemvri Sofia).

26'

A. Salido

Goal! FK Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Botev Plovdiv. A. Salido (Botev Plovdiv) scores.

21'

F. Herard

Attempt missed. F. Herard (FK Septemvri Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

15'

P. Igor

Attempt blocked. P. Igor (FK Septemvri Sofia), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.00.

9'

P. Igor

Attempt missed. P. Igor (FK Septemvri Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

8'

F. Herard

Attempt missed. F. Herard (FK Septemvri Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

6'

S. Kalu

Attempt missed. S. Kalu (Botev Plovdiv), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.01.

2'

A. Salido

Attempt saved. A. Salido (Botev Plovdiv), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.35.

1'

Kick-off: FK Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv.

Where the money is

33216 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 8066 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

83.5%

-15.5 vs price

Home 490.0 · implied 0.2%

9.1%

+8.8 vs price

Draw 490.0 · implied 0.2%

7.4%

+7.2 vs price

Half time 1354 EUR · live

Away 1.02 · implied 98.0%

96.7%

-1.3 vs price

Draw 5.5 · implied 18.2%

3.0%

-15.2 vs price

Home 36.0 · implied 2.8%

0.3%

-2.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 1200 EUR · live

Under 2.1 · implied 47.6%

52.9%

+5.3 vs price

Over 1.9 · implied 52.6%

46.9%

-5.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 491 EUR · live

Under 1.05 · implied 95.2%

90.4%

-4.8 vs price

Over 16.0 · implied 6.2%

9.4%

+3.1 vs price

7 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 5 clips

Match events

26' ⚽ A. Salido0–1

29' P. Ferreira

33' V. Mendes

36' S. Petrov

Half-time · 0–1

46' 🔁 W. C. Oluebube ◂ I. Videv

46' 🔁 B. Kostov ◂ V. Mendes

49' E. Ribeiro

52' 🔁 M. Senger ◂ N. Soldo

54' ⚽ S. Kalu0–2

60' 🔁 A. Liberal ◂ P. Igor

68' K. Onashchi

70' 🔁 N. Iliev ◂ G. Ivanov

71' 🔁 F. Mascote ◂ A. Salido

71' 🔁 C. A. López ◂ L. Araújo

75' ⚽ S. Kalu0–3

81' A. Liberal

83' B. Chibuike Hein

84' 🔁 Z. Atanasov ◂ K. Onashchi

84' 🔁 A. Dzhamov ◂ F. Herard

Full-time · 0–3

Coaches

Saulo Freitas

Stanislav Genchev

Recent form

FK Septemvri Sofia

LALudogorets1-2

LHBotev Vratsa2-3

DASlavia Sofia1-1

WHFC CSKA 1948 Sofia1-0

WAFK Spartak Varna1-0

Botev Plovdiv

WHLokomotiv Plovdiv2-0

WAArda Kardzhali3-2

LHLevski Sofia1-3

LABotev Vratsa0-1

LALudogorets0-2

About this match

**Botev Plovdiv rolls into Sofia as heavy road favorites** — they've owned this matchup for a decade, and FK Septemvri are wobbling just enough to gift them the perfect chance. 📊

Both sides are mid-table messiness right now. Septemvri have scraped together 2W-1D-2L but keep leaking goals at home; Botev are 2W-0D-3L but just notched back-to-back wins to build momentum. The H2H tells the real story though — **Botev have dominated the last 10 meetings**, winning 7 times to Septemvri's 2.

Key storylines:

- **Botev's recent form click**: Two straight wins (2-0 and 3-2) after a rough patch suggest they've found their rhythm at exactly the right moment
- **Septemvri's home fragility**: Only 1 draw from their last two at Dragalevtsi; conceding at pace is the pattern
- **Historical edge**: Botev haven't forgotten how to win this fixture — their 7 wins in the last 10 meetings is basically a cheat code

Expected lineups:

- **FK Septemvri Sofia**: V. Ivanov, B. Penchev, K. Onashchi, M. Hristov, P. Ferreira, Y. Baurenski, P. Igor, G. Ivanov, F. Herard, E. Ribeiro
- **Botev Plovdiv**: D. Naumov, B. Chibuike Hein, S. Petrov, N. Soldo, L. Araújo, A. Chandarov, S. Kalu, M. Rodrigues, C. Meotti, S. Tsonov

Prediction:

**Botev Plovdiv 2-1 FK Septemvri Sofia**. Lean Botev — the road form and the H2H push them through. 🔴

Where to watch

Diema Sport HD

Match facts

Stadium

Dragalevtsi Stadium

City

Sofia

Referee

Gero Piskov

5.27 yellows/match · 15 matches

Kickoff

19 Sep, 13:30 UTC

Competition

Parva Liga

Highlights & clips

FK Septemvri Sofia 3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1 Botev Plovdiv

12 V. Ivanov 24 Z. Atanasov ↑ 84' 4 M. Hristov 26 V. Ozornwafor 27 A. Liberal ↑ 60' 6 P. Ferreira 5 Y. Baurenski 8 B. Penchev 10 N. Iliev ↑ 70' 11 A. Dzhamov ↑ 84' 7 E. Ribeiro 29 D. Naumov 15 B. Kostov ↑ 46' 87 S. Petrov 22 M. Senger ↑ 52' 27 B. Chibuike Hein 14 C. A. López ↑ 71' 10 A. Chandarov 19 M. Rodrigues 16 V. Vidolov 90 S. Kalu ⚽2 30 F. Mascote ↑ 71'

Substitutes

1GA. Radkov 13DK. Onashchi↓ 84' 15DP. Gospodinov 23DB. Stoichkov 18MP. Igor↓ 60' 33MG. Ivanov↓ 70' 30MV. Dobrev 16MV. Mihaylov 28MS. Stoichkov 14MA. Vutov 29FF. Herard↓ 84'

Coach: Saulo Freitas

Substitutes

1GH. Slavkov 82DV. Mendes↓ 46' 4DN. Soldo↓ 52' 20DT. Awany 77ML. Araújo↓ 71' 88MW. C. Oluebube↑ 46' 28MH. Jocu 66MC. Meotti 17MG. Milanov 10MS. Shopov 7FA. Salido↓ 71'

Coach: Stanislav Genchev

Top stats

0.97Expected goals (xG)1.54

Discipline

3Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Septemvri 22%

26%

Botev Plovdiv 52%

1X2Botev Plovdiv to win 52% · 2.12 @ 1xBet

Who winsBotev Plovdiv to win (DNB) 62% · 1.41 @ Betsson

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 72% · 1.35 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 60% · 1.63 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.17 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 26% · 2.50 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.30 @ betfair

BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.16 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 52% · 1.77 @ Pinnacle

1X2Septemvri to win 22% · 4.53 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

4.15

FK Septemvri Sofia

3.50

Draw

1.75

Botev Plovdiv

Double Chanceconsensus

1.96

FK Septemvri Sofia or Draw

1.25

FK Septemvri Sofia or Botev Plovdiv

1.18

Draw or Botev Plovdiv

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.80

Yes

1.90

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

10.30

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.29

Over 1.50

3.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.93

Over 2.50

1.80

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.40

Over 3.50

1.29

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.92

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.80

FK Septemvri Sofia

1.39

Botev Plovdiv

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.37

Over 7.50

2.73

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.73

Over 8.50

2.02

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.18

Over 9.50

1.62

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.82

Over 10.50

1.35

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.00

Over 11.50

1.16

Under 11.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

4.90

FK Septemvri Sofia

2.20

Draw

2.35

Botev Plovdiv

1X2 (2nd Half)consensus

4.40

FK Septemvri Sofia

2.46

Draw

2.10

Botev Plovdiv

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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